If
we knew ocean heat uptake as well as we know atmospheric temperature change, then we could pin down fairly well the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere, which would give us a fair indication of how much warming is «in the pipeline» given current greenhouse gas concentrations.
Given a free choice of GCMs, I would not choose to use OHC data from a model with
a known ocean heat transport problem.
Not exact matches
More amazingly, we now
know that beneath the crust of Enceladus is a global
ocean of liquid saltwater and organic molecules, all being
heated by hydrothermal vents on the seafloor.
«Ultimately, we want to
know what effect the transportation and storage of
heat has on the
ocean.
More frequent and larger changes in the North Pacific High appear to originate from rising variability in the tropics and are linked to the record - breaking El Niño events in 1983, 1998, and 2016 and the 2014 - 2015 North Pacific
Ocean heat wave
known as «The Blob.»
Charlie's research told him that during El Niño weather cycles, the surface seawaters in the Great Barrier Reef lagoon, already
heated to unusually high levels by greenhouse gas — induced warming, were being pulsed from a mass of
ocean water
known as the Western Pacific Warm Pool onto the reef's delicate living corals.
One reason the
oceans took up more
heat was because of a phenomenon
known as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.
Whipped up by surface winds and girded by the Coriolis effect (produced by Earth's rotation), eddies may grow to several hundred kilometers in diameter and are
known to transport
heat, chemicals and biology throughout the
oceans» shallower depths.
«People who try to predict the circulation of
ocean currents and the atmosphere have to
know how energies mix — in this case, the
heat energy and
heat flux,» Hou said.
There is no way to
know that for sure, but the revised sea - level numbers are consistent with the idea that the
oceans are absorbing much of the lost
heat in the past decade.
It has been
known since far before industrial times that land
heats faster than the
oceans.
But they now
know this is not the case — so something else must be
heating the
ocean.
In Earth's
oceans, that sort of
heating shows up at sites
known as hydrothermal vents.
We
know that it has an internal
heat source (hence the liquid
oceans).
The upper
ocean, which scientists
know captures much of the excess energy trapped in the atmosphere, also reached its largest
heat content on record in 2017, Arndt said.
During the fall, the
heat that was added to the
oceans gets released into the atmosphere as sea ice reforms, and this added
heat is bound to change weather patterns somehow (this is a process
known as «Arctic Amplification»).
«Scientists do not yet
know exactly how the tiny moon generates enough
heat to sustain this large
ocean.»
I am not sure if WUWT fans
know that here are no urban
heat islands over the arctic
ocean??
Data collected by a network of free - floating sensors,
known as ARGO floats, show that from January 2006 to December 2013, a lot more
heat has been finding its way to the deep
ocean instead.
I
know about the aerosols and the
heat in the deep
oceans.
Your attempt to estimate equilibrium climate sensitivity from the 20th C won't work because a) the forcings are not that well
known (so the error in your estimate is large), b) the climate is not in equilibrium — you need to account for the uptake of
heat in the
ocean at least.
If global surface temperatures continue not to increase v quickly over the next decade or two then I think this could seriously slow down action to cut GHG emissions,
no matter how well understood the «slow - down» is, and
no matter how much additional
heat is measured accumulatng in the
oceans.
As you will
know,
heat passes from a hotter to a cooler body; and on the average, the surface layers of the
oceans are cooler than the air above them (as anyone who has tried swimming in the North Sea on a sunny day in August will testify).
You do
know the
oceans release
heat daily, weekly, seasonally, and in various oscillations and cycles, etc..
... not intended to suggest that the
heat capacity exchange / transfer / transport rates used are a realistic representation of actual
ocean circulation, although from what little I
know, it could be a step in that general direction from using one upper and one deep
ocean reservoir.
- but yes, by IPWP I meant the Indo - Pacific Warm Pool and sorry if the term seems obscure but it is well
known by those studying
ocean to atmosphere interactions and as such, is key to really understanding El Niño activity and the spikes in tropospheric
heat El Niños can bring.
We're essentially running a large experiment where we're putting this
heat into the deep
ocean and we don't quite
know what the downstream effects are going to be.
- This semi-permanent state might end up when the AMOC will stear its trajectory or slow down to the point that it
no longer bring
heat into the Artic
ocean which may refreazed, get colder and stop the Greenland melt.
I
know nothing about climate science, but just reading your post I wonder if it is possible that the decrease in measured
ocean heat content is mostly a factor of having better tools (the ARGO floating profilers)?
Another 0.5 K of warming is already «in the pipeline» due to
ocean heat storage
no matter what we do.
Lawrence, yes, the accumulation of
heat in the
oceans is the primary metric of global warming, but it's distributed unevenly, and we don't
know how much of it will be diluted in cold waters and how much, when and where it will be released to the atmosphere.
The
heat would dissipate to the general volume of the
ocean — so,
no, the deep
ocean would NOT be hot.
What you don't seem to
know is that most of the
heat retained by the earth because of the difference between incoming and outgoing radiation (which is inhibited by CO2 and H2O and other GHG's) is almost entirely absorbed by the
oceans 90 % of it, which have a huge
heat capacity.
It did not «cause» the LIA, as indeed, you
know the LIA was quite variable, but it made a serious dent in global
ocean heat content, and thus, was the doorway to the LIA cooling period that followed.
Why would you look for a direct correlation there unless you are too dumb to
know most of the
heat is stored in the
oceans, over 90 % in fact.
As such I am extremely skeptical of goofy claims to
know what the global
heat content of the
ocean is to hundredths of a degree.
Despite measurements of total
heat absorbed by the
oceans by Levitus et al. (2000) and Levitus et al. (2001), «20th - century sea level remains an enigma — we do not
know whether warming or melting was dominant, and the budget is far from closed,» according to Munk (2003).
I don't
know about all of you, but I do find that the uncertainty around e.g. the various issues related to
ocean heat content or issues regarding connecting the Argo float network to other data networks is SO much better covered in Judith's bizarre and uniquely repetitive mischaracterizations of other scientists» comments, than by the published science and its critical review.
It would not only have to release the carbon, but would have to warm the entire planet by 5ºC within 13 years, which is impossible, unless the
heat capacity of the
ocean is zero, which we
know is not the case!»
We also
know for a fact that our GHG emissions have resulted in large amounts of
heat being stored in the
ocean.
--
no it isn't
Ocean heat content is rising —
no it isn't, model - based The tropical belt is widening — since LIA Storm tracks are shifting polewards.
A quick sample confirmed my suspicion that 17 times as many people
know that the world ends this Friday as
know that the
ocean is not absorbing
heat, contrary to the claims of climate scientists.
Bob Droege, since you
know that only the «
known» anomaly may have doubled with a fairly large range of uncertainty, do you think saying, «
ocean heat content doubled in 16 years.»
SUN, yo: sequestered in the
oceans, lakes and subsurface clays, and the
heat is on the move, and the
heat continually arrives as we all
know based on anciet scrolls — i.e.: the
heat it arrives via a flaming chariot drawn by four winged horses that are flogged by GOD
So if the DLR is not
heating the
ocean, and we
know less than a quarter of it is going into evaporation, and it's not
heating the air... then where is it going?
If they don't have the instruments to measure the temperature if the deep
ocean, how do they
know the
heat has gone there?
Well now, that is something you should take up with Webster, I just
know that more efficient mixing increases the average temperature of the
oceans which is increasing the total
heat in the
ocean system which has about 1000 times the
heat capacity of the air that that
heat would be lost to if the mixing didn't take place as efficiently.
fanciful — has it ever been proposed that
ocean heat uptake during interglacials might be the planets way of preparing for the next ice age, when the
oceans give up the
heat to preserve continuity of life on the surface — I
know, sounds a bit link an intelligent Gaia mythology, but doesn't the notion of synergy suggest the possibility?
One of the prime suspects for this has been an increase in trade winds which help to mix
heat into the subsurface
ocean - part of a natural oscillation
known as the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO).
I would have liked to see mention of uncertainty that inherent in examining short term data, whether the end points used introduces an element of bias, whether the «pause» is on a much higher plateau of warming than in the past, whether decadel cycles in
ocean heat displacement may have interacted with the the
known minimum levels of solar activity (not modelled) to cause this «pause».