Not exact matches
Multipliers are frequently used in offsetting to compensate for the risk
of failure
of the offset measures and the
time lag between when negative impacts
of the development project are felt and the positive impacts
of offsetting come to fruition, often a
period of many years.
... [H] is risk - adjusted returns... have
lagged the market over a number
of time periods over the trailing 15 years.»
To test robustness
of influencers, they consider: (1) subsamples to test consistency over
time; (2) daily and monthly measurements to test consistency across sampling frequencies (except consumer price indexes, available only monthly); and, (3) contemporaneous and one
period -
lagged (predictive) relationships.
Even if you count yourself among the lucky dead dedicated index investors, the performance
lag only comes into play over a long
period of time.
He notes that even «Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway
lagged the S&P 500 in more than one - third
of rolling three - year
periods in the 25 years since 1987,» which, he says, is «something to keep in mind when trying to gauge manager skill over shorter
time periods.
If the price
of oil balloons to $ 110 + in a short
period of time, it will
lag all
of the oil majors.
«Ten years ago, we were probably 95 percent
lager and 5 percent ale, and
lagers generally take longer
periods of time,» Wiener explains.
«If humans have similar circuitry, it should be possible to adjust to jet
lag during a west - to - east flight by having a
period of starvation, followed by refeeding at 7 a.m. or 8 a.m. in your new
time zone.»
Here, the study argues that, notwithstanding changes in tests and proficiency thresholds in the states over this
period of time, the relative position
of Arizona vis - a-vis these comparison entities remains very similar, with Arizona continuing to
lag behind both in percent
of ELL students achieving proficiency in reading and math.
There's a noticeable
period of lag between the
time you hit the throttle and when the car starts moving.
Even the most powerful devices around can get the dreaded
lag that comes around after using it for a prolonged
period of time.
Some studies have also shown that DCA strategies
lag those
of lump - sum investing over long
periods of time.
Following are the things that can effect changes on your scores: • Consistent and constant late payments • Increased or reduced credit limits • Higher credit card balances • Higher HELOC (Home Equity Line
of Credit) balance • Closing revolving accounts • Recent credit inquiries made In the same way, any new practice you start in managing your credit takes effect and influence your credit scores within 30 to 60 days; due to the
lag time between the action you take against the
period it takes the creditor to report the action to the agencies who handle credit reports.
A friend related to me a conversation he had had with the director
of equity research at an investment management firm that was seeing consistent outflows because
of index -
lagging performance for the year - to - date, one year, and three year
periods (not surprising as most investment and financial consultants have a much shorter investment
time - horizon than the one they advise their clients to have).
The Fund's Chief Compliance Officer, or a Compliance Manager designated by the Chief Compliance Officer, may also grant exceptions to permit additional disclosure
of Fund portfolio holdings information at differing
times and with different
lag times (the
period from the date
of the information to the date the information is made available), if any, in instances where the Fund has legitimate business purposes for doing so, it is in the best interests
of shareholders, and the recipients are subject to a duty
of confidentiality, including a duty not to trade on the nonpublic information and are required to execute an agreement to that effect.
Since a market's P.A. reflects all variables affecting that market for any given
period of time, using
lagging price indictors like stochastics, MACD, RSI, and others is just a flat waste
of time.
However, keeping too much in cash over long
periods of time can cause your investment returns to
lag.
Many traders get caught up in using different combinations
of lagging indicators, these methods often have not been used for long
periods of time by many other traders due to their ineffectiveness to adapt to ever - changing market conditions.
We can define
periods of economic and market agreement and
periods of discord by using timely variables, such as the New Orders series from the monthly Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Report, to forecast the probability, at any
time,
of agreement between the economy and the market.5 Typically macro-based measures suffer from a significant
lag in reporting as well as frequent revisions, making them inferior to the immediacy
of observing market data, month by month, day by day, even tick by tick.
Exposure to these works — with which many Chinese artists might be familiar only in reproduction or online — is seen by Tinari as a means
of fostering creative dialogue between the two artistic traditions and diminishing the «
time -
lag» that hindered domestic art for so long after the Reform and Opening Up
period that followed Mao's death in 1976, traditionally taken as the «starting point»
of contemporary Chinese art (Tinari concedes that this is a useful marker, but suggests that a new generation
of art historians should «complicate» such simplified narratives).
Re # 33 (Dave D.): Ice core measurement issues aside, remember that there has to be some degree
of lag because a) the initial warming is from Milankovitch changes, not CO2, and 2) the delayed turnover
of ocean water means that not all the CO2 will outgas in a short
period of time.
Perhaps this implies that ENSO is a leading indicator
of whatever is driving global climate over an intermediate
time period, and the actual temperatures is more
of a
lagging indicator.
So if the second half
of the 20th century had the highest average absolute levels
of solar activity for «several thousand years» (Solanki) and at least 350 + years (Lean), then this could well have been a significant cause
of late 20th century warming (building in all the «
time lags» one might envision), despite the fact that the absolute level
of solar activity was declining over this
period.
There is a climate
lag time of 5 to 14 years as the Earth slowly warms and cools in this Global warming
period.
Similarly, in a study
of air temperature and CO2 data obtained from Dome Concordia, Antarctica for the
period 22,000 - 9,000 BP — which
time interval includes the most recent glacial - to - interglacial transition — Monnin et al. (2001) found that the start
of the CO2 increase
lagged the start
of the temperature increase by 800 years.
General Introduction Two Main Goals Identifying Patterns in
Time Series Data Systematic pattern and random noise Two general aspects of time series patterns Trend Analysis Analysis of Seasonality ARIMA (Box & Jenkins) and Autocorrelations General Introduction Two Common Processes ARIMA Methodology Identification Phase Parameter Estimation Evaluation of the Model Interrupted Time Series Exponential Smoothing General Introduction Simple Exponential Smoothing Choosing the Best Value for Parameter a (alpha) Indices of Lack of Fit (Error) Seasonal and Non-seasonal Models With or Without Trend Seasonal Decomposition (Census I) General Introduction Computations X-11 Census method II seasonal adjustment Seasonal Adjustment: Basic Ideas and Terms The Census II Method Results Tables Computed by the X-11 Method Specific Description of all Results Tables Computed by the X-11 Method Distributed Lags Analysis General Purpose General Model Almon Distributed Lag Single Spectrum (Fourier) Analysis Cross-spectrum Analysis General Introduction Basic Notation and Principles Results for Each Variable The Cross-periodogram, Cross-density, Quadrature - density, and Cross-amplitude Squared Coherency, Gain, and Phase Shift How the Example Data were Created Spectrum Analysis — Basic Notations and Principles Frequency and Period The General Structural Model A Simple Example Periodogram The Problem of Leakage Padding the Time Series Tapering Data Windows and Spectral Density Estimates Preparing the Data for Analysis Results when no Periodicity in the Series Exists Fast Fourier Transformations General Introduction Computation of FFT in Time Se
Time Series Data Systematic pattern and random noise Two general aspects
of time series patterns Trend Analysis Analysis of Seasonality ARIMA (Box & Jenkins) and Autocorrelations General Introduction Two Common Processes ARIMA Methodology Identification Phase Parameter Estimation Evaluation of the Model Interrupted Time Series Exponential Smoothing General Introduction Simple Exponential Smoothing Choosing the Best Value for Parameter a (alpha) Indices of Lack of Fit (Error) Seasonal and Non-seasonal Models With or Without Trend Seasonal Decomposition (Census I) General Introduction Computations X-11 Census method II seasonal adjustment Seasonal Adjustment: Basic Ideas and Terms The Census II Method Results Tables Computed by the X-11 Method Specific Description of all Results Tables Computed by the X-11 Method Distributed Lags Analysis General Purpose General Model Almon Distributed Lag Single Spectrum (Fourier) Analysis Cross-spectrum Analysis General Introduction Basic Notation and Principles Results for Each Variable The Cross-periodogram, Cross-density, Quadrature - density, and Cross-amplitude Squared Coherency, Gain, and Phase Shift How the Example Data were Created Spectrum Analysis — Basic Notations and Principles Frequency and Period The General Structural Model A Simple Example Periodogram The Problem of Leakage Padding the Time Series Tapering Data Windows and Spectral Density Estimates Preparing the Data for Analysis Results when no Periodicity in the Series Exists Fast Fourier Transformations General Introduction Computation of FFT in Time Se
time series patterns Trend Analysis Analysis
of Seasonality ARIMA (Box & Jenkins) and Autocorrelations General Introduction Two Common Processes ARIMA Methodology Identification Phase Parameter Estimation Evaluation
of the Model Interrupted
Time Series Exponential Smoothing General Introduction Simple Exponential Smoothing Choosing the Best Value for Parameter a (alpha) Indices of Lack of Fit (Error) Seasonal and Non-seasonal Models With or Without Trend Seasonal Decomposition (Census I) General Introduction Computations X-11 Census method II seasonal adjustment Seasonal Adjustment: Basic Ideas and Terms The Census II Method Results Tables Computed by the X-11 Method Specific Description of all Results Tables Computed by the X-11 Method Distributed Lags Analysis General Purpose General Model Almon Distributed Lag Single Spectrum (Fourier) Analysis Cross-spectrum Analysis General Introduction Basic Notation and Principles Results for Each Variable The Cross-periodogram, Cross-density, Quadrature - density, and Cross-amplitude Squared Coherency, Gain, and Phase Shift How the Example Data were Created Spectrum Analysis — Basic Notations and Principles Frequency and Period The General Structural Model A Simple Example Periodogram The Problem of Leakage Padding the Time Series Tapering Data Windows and Spectral Density Estimates Preparing the Data for Analysis Results when no Periodicity in the Series Exists Fast Fourier Transformations General Introduction Computation of FFT in Time Se
Time Series Exponential Smoothing General Introduction Simple Exponential Smoothing Choosing the Best Value for Parameter a (alpha) Indices
of Lack
of Fit (Error) Seasonal and Non-seasonal Models With or Without Trend Seasonal Decomposition (Census I) General Introduction Computations X-11 Census method II seasonal adjustment Seasonal Adjustment: Basic Ideas and Terms The Census II Method Results Tables Computed by the X-11 Method Specific Description
of all Results Tables Computed by the X-11 Method Distributed
Lags Analysis General Purpose General Model Almon Distributed
Lag Single Spectrum (Fourier) Analysis Cross-spectrum Analysis General Introduction Basic Notation and Principles Results for Each Variable The Cross-periodogram, Cross-density, Quadrature - density, and Cross-amplitude Squared Coherency, Gain, and Phase Shift How the Example Data were Created Spectrum Analysis — Basic Notations and Principles Frequency and
Period The General Structural Model A Simple Example Periodogram The Problem
of Leakage Padding the
Time Series Tapering Data Windows and Spectral Density Estimates Preparing the Data for Analysis Results when no Periodicity in the Series Exists Fast Fourier Transformations General Introduction Computation of FFT in Time Se
Time Series Tapering Data Windows and Spectral Density Estimates Preparing the Data for Analysis Results when no Periodicity in the Series Exists Fast Fourier Transformations General Introduction Computation
of FFT in
Time Se
Time Series
I've understood that he also predicted the ~ 1000 year
time lag between temperature rise and CO2 at the end
of a glacial
period, before it was observed in the ice cores thanks to better dating techniques.
For earlier
times, we adopt Greenland temperature estimated as follows (33): For the
period 128,700 B.P. to 340,000 B.P., this temperature was derived from a proxy based on Antarctic ice core methane data using the relation T = − 51.5 + 0.0802 [CH4 (ppb)-RSB- from a linear regression
of Greenland temperature estimates on Antarctic methane for the
period 150 B.P. to 122,400 B.P.. For the remaining
period of 122,400 B.P. to 128,700 B.P., data from a variety
of climate archives indicate that Greenland warming
lags that
of Antarctica, with rapid warming commencing around 128.5 ky B.P. in the northern North Atlantic and reaching full interglacial levels by about 127 ky B.P. (51).
The
lag is a different (and mostly unresolved) problem: while the
lag during warming
periods is explainable as the about 800 year turnover
time for deep ocean down / upwelling flows, the much longer delay
of CO2 during
periods of cooling towards a new ice age is difficult to explain, the more that methane does follow temperature far more closely, thus errors in ice age — gas age difference are not at the base
of the
lag...
My arithmetic for a 2x C02 would be: Present Warming: 0.75 deg C Current warming Rate 0.15 deg C per decade
Time to 2x C02 (BAU scenario) approx 100 years So 0.15 x 10 +0.75 = 2.25 deg C Further warming due to time lag at end of 100 year period ~ 0.75 deg, probably over several deca
Time to 2x C02 (BAU scenario) approx 100 years So 0.15 x 10 +0.75 = 2.25 deg C Further warming due to
time lag at end of 100 year period ~ 0.75 deg, probably over several deca
time lag at end
of 100 year
period ~ 0.75 deg, probably over several decades.
Now we have a
period where the decline in temperature and CO2 don't overlap, even if the
timing of the CO2
lag may have some error: that is the end
of the previous interglacial, the Eemian.
To facilitate compliance with the new data breach reporting regime under PIPEDA, the proposed Regulations provide for implementation at the same
time as the related statutory requirements under Division 1.1
of PIPEDA, and allow for a
lag period between the publication
of final Regulations and their coming into force.
This
lag refers to the
period of time between when an incident occurs, and when that incident is first reported to us.
That said, iOS 11 is currently
lagging behind its previous versions
of iOS, as iOS 10 was said to have surpassed a 60 percent adoption rate in a similar
time period after its 2016 release.