Generally, low correlations between fire weather season length and global land carbon uptake are to be expected because wildfires represent a small proportion of the total
land carbon flux.
Nonetheless, our global fire weather season length metrics were significantly correlated to global net
land carbon flux.
Likewise, fire weather season length and long fire weather season affected area were significantly correlated with global net
land carbon flux calculated from an analysis of the global carbon budget from 1979 to 2012 (ref.
The highest correlations between the net
land carbon flux and continental biome mean fire weather season metrics were observed in the tropical and subtropical forests, grasslands and savannas and xeric shrublands of South America where regional fire weather season length metrics accounted for between 15.7 and 29.7 % of the variations in global net
land carbon flux (Table 5).
In addition, when correlations were constrained to the time period that satellite burned area observations were available from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)(2001 - 2012), and thus where estimates of land - use change carbon emissions were more certain2, correlations between fire weather season length, long fire season affected area and net
land carbon fluxes increased substantially to ρ = − 0.797 and ρ = − 0.825, respectively, n = 12, P < 0.01).
Not exact matches
His research efforts will contribute to a better understanding of vertical and lateral
carbon fluxes — the amount of
carbon exchanged between the
land and the atmosphere, and the amount of
carbon exchanged between the
land and the coastal ocean — in tidal coastal wetlands.
Here, greenhouse gas «
fluxes» refers to the cycling of
carbon between
land, plants and the atmosphere.
Human - induced changes to
carbon fluxes across the
land - ocean interface can influence the global
carbon cycle, yet the impacts of rapid urbanization and establishment of wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) on coastal ocean
carbon cycles are poorly known.
Eighty - eight percent of the reported
carbon fluxes in the
land - use change and forestry category are from the changes in forest and other woody biomass stocks sub-category.
Burning wood instead of coal therefore creates a
carbon debt — an immediate increase in atmospheric CO2 compared to fossil energy — that can be repaid over time only as — and if — NPP [net primary production] rises above the
flux of
carbon from biomass and soils to the atmosphere on the harvested
lands.»
We'd driving the models with the GHG concentrations, and using
carbon cycle models within the climate models to simulate the natural
carbon fluxes (atmosphere -
land and atmosphere - ocean), which themselves are affected by the simulated climate change, and the residual needed to balance the
carbon budget then indicates the anthropogenic emissions that would give the prescribed scenario of CO2 rise.
However, by Houghton, R.A. 2008 he found, «The estimated global total net
flux of
carbon from changes in
land use increased from 500.6 Tg C in 1850 to a maximum of 1712.5 Tg C in 1991 ``.
Houghton's method of reconstructing
Land - Use Based Net Flux of Carbon appears arbitrary and susceptible to bias; i.e. «Rates of land - use change, including clearing for agriculture and harvest of wood, were reconstructed from statistical and historic documents for 9 world regions and used, along with the per ha [hectare] changes in vegetation and soil that result from land management, to calculate the annual flux of carbon between land and atmosphere.&ra
Land - Use Based Net
Flux of Carbon appears arbitrary and susceptible to bias; i.e. «Rates of land - use change, including clearing for agriculture and harvest of wood, were reconstructed from statistical and historic documents for 9 world regions and used, along with the per ha [hectare] changes in vegetation and soil that result from land management, to calculate the annual flux of carbon between land and atmosphere.&ra
Flux of
Carbon appears arbitrary and susceptible to bias; i.e. «Rates of
land - use change, including clearing for agriculture and harvest of wood, were reconstructed from statistical and historic documents for 9 world regions and used, along with the per ha [hectare] changes in vegetation and soil that result from land management, to calculate the annual flux of carbon between land and atmosphere.&ra
land - use change, including clearing for agriculture and harvest of wood, were reconstructed from statistical and historic documents for 9 world regions and used, along with the per ha [hectare] changes in vegetation and soil that result from
land management, to calculate the annual flux of carbon between land and atmosphere.&ra
land management, to calculate the annual
flux of carbon between land and atmosphere.&ra
flux of
carbon between
land and atmosphere.&ra
land and atmosphere.»
Furthermore Houghton's findings have varied significantly over time, i.e. in Houghton & Hackler, 2001 they found that, «The estimated global total net
flux of
carbon from changes in
land use increased from 397 Tg of
carbon in 1850 to 2187 Tg or 2.2 Pg of
carbon in 1989 and then decreased slightly to 2103 Tg or 2.1 Pg of
carbon in 1990 ``.
Changes in vegetation
carbon residence times can cause major shifts in the distribution of
carbon between pools, overall
fluxes, and the time constants of terrestrial
carbon transitions, with consequences for the
land carbon balance and the associated state of ecosystems.
The need to adapt to a changing climate and eventually to mitigate climate change increasingly requires more accurate information on
fluxes across the traditional domains atmosphere, ocean,
land in order to improve our understanding of the major climatic cycles,
carbon, water and energy.
The following sections explain the controls on these
fluxes, with special reference to processes by which anthropogenic changes may influence the overall
carbon balance of the
land and oceans on time - scales from years to centuries.
Fluxes of
carbon can be estimated from changes in inventoried
carbon stocks (e.g., UN - ECE / FAO, 2000), or from combining data on
land - use change with methods to calculate changes in
carbon stock (e.g., Houghton, 1999).
«As a result, the loss of glacier mass worldwide, along with the corresponding release of
carbon, will affect high latitude marine ecosystems, particularly those surrounding the major ice sheets that now receive fairly limited
land - to - ocean
fluxes of
carbon.»
You might also look at the global
carbon fluxes at http://lgmacweb.env.uea.ac.uk/lequere/co2/ which includes an estimate of effects due to
land - use changes.
Well - known examples of such cases are the direct radiative forcing of black
carbon (BC) and other absorbing aerosols and the changes in latent and sensible heat
fluxes due to
land - use modifications.
The overall net emission over this period = + 0.5 units yet we can see how anthropogenic and sea (e.g. warming) contribute equally to this figure while net natural emission (i.e. sea +
land) is — 0.5 Do we really know enough about the
carbon cycle, in particular the natural
fluxes of CO2, to rule out that some thing like this is going on?
Scientific confidence of the occurrence of climate change include, for example, that over at least the last 50 years there have been increases in the atmospheric concentration of CO2; increased nitrogen and soot (black
carbon) deposition; changes in the surface heat and moisture
fluxes over
land; increases in lower tropospheric and upper ocean temperatures and ocean heat content; the elevation of sea level; and a large decrease in summer Arctic sea ice coverage and a modest increase in Antarctic sea ice coverage.
The emissions and their partitioning only include the
fluxes that have changed since 1750, and not the natural CO2
fluxes (e.g., atmospheric CO2 uptake from weathering, outgassing of CO2 from lakes and rivers, and outgassing of CO2 by the ocean from
carbon delivered by rivers) between the atmosphere,
land and ocean reservoirs that existed before that time and still exist today.
There are also large soil
carbon stocks in boreal systems — to the extent that boreal soil
carbon flux is linked with
land use /
land cover, that's another important wrinkle to the boreal forest climate story.
I haven't yet studied the article in detail but my thoughts are that the relative uncertainties are high, as expected since the atmospheric CO2 level at a given time is the response of the complex
carbon cycle to the net anthro increase (6 Gt from fossil + est 2 Gt from
land use change), small but not negligible compared to the gross
carbon cycle
fluxes (90 Gt to / from ocean, 120 Gt to / from biosphere).
Neither the
carbon stock of different
land use types is clear nor is the co2
flux data.