There's quite a few things to consider which make it more complicated (one which particularly interests me is the RF due to land cover change and also other non-radiative effects of
land cover change on temperature).
The impact of
land cover change on the atmospheric circulation.
Richard Betts - You write: «There's quite a few things to consider which make it more complicated (one which particularly interests me is the RF due to land cover change and also other non-radiative effects of
land cover change on temperature).»
Although important differences must be acknowledged — for example, the causes and the amplitudes of the warming, and the probable impacts of
land cover change on temperatures — the medieval droughts can provide some direct evidence of the Southwest hydroclimatic response to warming and a plausible, but conservative, worst - case scenario to be considered in sustainable water - resource planning.
The impact of anthropogenic land use and
land cover change on regional climate extremes.
Even worse, the models inadequately include the diverse myraid effects of aerosols and land use /
land cover change on the climate system, so they are already hindered in their ability to accurately represent the real world spectrum of human climate forcings.
These issues, which are either not recognized at all in the assessments or are understated, include: - the identification of a warm bias in nighttime minimum temperatures - poor siting of the instrumentation to measure temperatures - the influence of trends in surface air water vapor content on temperature trends - the quantification of uncertainties in the homogenization of surface temperature data, and the influence of land use /
land cover change on surface temperature trends.
Determining robust impacts of land - use - induced
land cover changes on surface climate over North America and Eurasia: Results from the first set of LUCID experiments.
Simulated impacts of historical
land cover changes on global climate in northern winter.
Not exact matches
If the world continues to accept disappearing tree -
cover,
land degradation, the expansion of deserts, the loss of plant and animal species, air and water pollution, and the
changing chemistry of the atmosphere it will also have to accept economic decline and social disintegration... such disintegration would bring human suffering
on a scale that has no precedent...» 7
Over a 16 - year period, about half of the orangutans living
on the island of Borneo were lost as a result of
changes in
land cover.
Since 1988, the ministry has relied
on the National Institute of Space Research (INPE) to analyze
land cover changes in the Amazon, which holds the world's largest intact swaths of forest.
To inform its Earth system models, the climate modeling community has a long history of using integrated assessment models — frameworks for describing humanity's impact
on Earth, including the source of global greenhouse gases,
land use and
land cover change, and other resource - related drivers of anthropogenic climate
change.
Depending
on whether development and
land - use
change is unrestricted or managed to maintain forest
cover, the extinction outcomes for tigers are different.
International Meeting:
Land Cover /
Land Use
Changes (LC / LUC) and Impacts
on Environment in South / Southeast Asia
These forcings are spatially heterogeneous and include the effect of aerosols
on clouds and associated precipitation [e.g., Rosenfeld et al., 2008], the influence of aerosol deposition (e.g., black carbon (soot)[Flanner et al. 2007] and reactive nitrogen [Galloway et al., 2004]-RRB-, and the role of
changes in
land use /
land cover [e.g., Takata et al., 2009].
However, Helbig et al. [2017], using a set of nested paired eddy covariance flux towers in a boreal forest - wetland landscape, point to the increasing importance of warming temperatures
on ecosystem respiration potentially overwhelming enhanced productivity occurring from
land cover change under projected anthropogenic trends.
Jerry's research team has developed and uses a simulation model, the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM), to consider the impacts of various aspects of global
change — climate, chemistry of the atmosphere and precipitation,
land cover and
land use —
on the structure and function of terrestrial ecosystems across the globe.
In the context of the ESA Climate
Change Initiative, ESA and UCLouvain are pleased to invite you to the 1st CCI
Land Cover User Workshop at ESRIN (Frascati, Italy)
on the 31st August 2017 (see agenda).
On the question of hurricanes, the theoretical arguments that more energy and water vapor in the atmosphere should lead to stronger storms are really sound (after all, storm intensity increases going from pole toward equator), but determining precisely how human influences (so including GHGs [greenhouse gases] and aerosols, and
land cover change) should be
changing hurricanes in a system where there are natural external (solar and volcanoes) and internal (e.g., ENSO, NAO [El Nino - Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation]-RRB- influences is quite problematic — our climate models are just not good enough yet to carry out the types of sensitivity tests that have been done using limited area hurricane models run for relatively short times.
Options Magazine, Summer 2014: Read the latest research in climate
change vulnerability, adaptation, and mitigation options, as well as new findings
on elemental balance in the environment, citizen science and
land cover, and IIASA's unique advisory role for policymakers in Europe and beyond.
We also report
on the respondents» views
on other factors contributing to global warming; of these
Land Use and
Land Cover Change (LULCC) was considered the most important.
Land comprises only about 30 % of the Earth's surface, but it can have the largest effects
on the reflection of global solar radiation in conjunction with
changes in ice and snow
cover, and the shading of the latter by vegetation.
To point out just a couple of things: — oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than
lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase
change inside oceans, so no latent heat) or oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years
land temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that
lands» warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters warming slower than
lands, and because
lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the
covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night - time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
«Further studies
on the regional and seasonal
changes associated with
land cover changes are needed.»
Land cover and land use change may have an impact on the surface albedo, evapotranspiration, sources and sinks of heat - trapping gases (greenhouse gases), or other properties of the climate system and may thus have a radiative forcing and / or other impacts on climate, locally or globa
Land cover and
land use change may have an impact on the surface albedo, evapotranspiration, sources and sinks of heat - trapping gases (greenhouse gases), or other properties of the climate system and may thus have a radiative forcing and / or other impacts on climate, locally or globa
land use
change may have an impact
on the surface albedo, evapotranspiration, sources and sinks of heat - trapping gases (greenhouse gases), or other properties of the climate system and may thus have a radiative forcing and / or other impacts
on climate, locally or globally.
This Section places particular emphasis
on current knowledge of past
changes in key climate variables: temperature, precipitation and atmospheric moisture, snow
cover, extent of
land and sea ice, sea level, patterns in atmospheric and oceanic circulation, extreme weather and climate events, and overall features of the climate variability.
Estimating the carbon stocks in terrestrial ecosystems and accounting for
changes in these stocks requires adequate information
on land cover, carbon density in vegetation and soils, and the fate of carbon (burning, removals, decomposition).
For instance AOGCM - based climate scenarios do not usually allow for the effect
on climate of future
land use and
land cover change (which is itself, in part, climatically induced).
Many negotiators tell Ecosystem Marketplace that REDD itself is no longer a contentious issue, but that things get hairy when they try to digest the decision made in Bali to expand the
land - use debate from REDD alone into broader issues of «conservation, sustainable management of forests,
changes in forest
cover and associated carbon stocks and greenhouse gas emissions and the enhancement of forest carbon stocks to enhance action
on mitigation of climate
change and to the consideration of reference levels.»
Nor do the SRES
land -
cover scenarios include the effect of climate
change on future
land cover.
Meanwhile the Woods Hole Research Institute reported progress
on a high resolution global forest map for tracking
land cover change.
What impact did pre-industrial
land cover change have
on the hydrological responses?
Dryland ecosystems comprise a substantial proportion of total
land cover and constitute a significant component of global biogeochemical cycles1, 6, yet owing to strong limitations by water and nutrients7, 8, undisturbed drylands are typically thought to maintain relatively low annual rates of ecosystem processes — such as plant photosynthesis5 (but see refs 9, 10)-- and to harbour biological communities that
change composition
on relatively slow timescales11.
No systematic studies
on these
land cover changes and their impacts
on climate or drought have been undertaken (68), but these
changes are another important reason that droughts of the past are unlikely to be an exact analogue for current and future droughts.
[It] is based
on measurements made by many independent institutions worldwide that demonstrate significant
changes on land, in the atmosphere, the ocean and in the ice -
covered areas of the Earth.»
My visit was
covered by dozens of media outlets and I
landed on the front page of the nation's largest newspaper, which also published a long interview with me, an op - ed about why I
changed my mind about nuclear, and an unsigned editorial endorsing our open letter.
In summary, it is indisputable that UHI [Urban Heat Island] and LULC [
land - use
land -
cover change] are real influences
on raw temperature measurements.
The latter will improve our understanding of past
land cover - climate interactions and the effect of current and future
land - use
change on tomorrow's climate.
The goal of PAGES» LandCover6k Working Group is to use pollen, archaeological and historical data to provide information
on past
land cover and land use change that can be used to evaluate and improve Anthropogenic Land - Cover Change (ALCC) scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of land - use as a climate forc
land cover and land use change that can be used to evaluate and improve Anthropogenic Land - Cover Change (ALCC) scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of land - use as a climate for
cover and
land use change that can be used to evaluate and improve Anthropogenic Land - Cover Change (ALCC) scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of land - use as a climate forc
land use
change that can be used to evaluate and improve Anthropogenic Land - Cover Change (ALCC) scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of land - use as a climate fo
change that can be used to evaluate and improve Anthropogenic
Land - Cover Change (ALCC) scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of land - use as a climate forc
Land -
Cover Change (ALCC) scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of land - use as a climate for
Cover Change (ALCC) scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of land - use as a climate fo
Change (ALCC) scenarios for palaeoclimate modelling and the study of
land - use as a climate forc
land - use as a climate forcing.
For Carbon Storage, 10 % Forest
Cover ≠ Forest Certainly a good thing: Creating ways to help farmers financially benefit by preserving forests on their lands is a vital part of combatting climate change — but (at the risk of being too snarky) I can't help but thinking that the differences in carbon storage of a particular area of land when it's an actual forest and when it's only got 10 % of its original tree cover is pretty signifi
Cover ≠ Forest Certainly a good thing: Creating ways to help farmers financially benefit by preserving forests
on their
lands is a vital part of combatting climate
change — but (at the risk of being too snarky) I can't help but thinking that the differences in carbon storage of a particular area of
land when it's an actual forest and when it's only got 10 % of its original tree
cover is pretty signifi
cover is pretty significant.
Mahmood, R., R.A. Pielke Sr., K. Hubbard, D. Niyogi, P. Dirmeyer, C. McAlpine, A. Carleton, R. Hale, S. Gameda, A. Beltrán - Przekurat, B. Baker, R. McNider, D. Legates, J. Shepherd, J. Du, P. Blanken, O. Frauenfeld, U. Nair, S. Fall, 2013:
Land cover changes and their biogeophysical effects
on climate.
This section focuses
on the relationship of runoff, lake levels, groundwater, floods and droughts, and water quality, with observed climate variability, climate trends, and
land - use and
land -
cover changes reported since the TAR.
Ken Caldeira has been a Carnegie investigator since 2005 and is world renowned for his modeling and other work
on the global carbon cycle; marine biogeochemistry and chemical oceanography, including ocean acidification and the atmosphere / ocean carbon cycle;
land -
cover and climate
change; the long - term evolution of climate and geochemical cycles; climate intervention proposals; and energy technology.
It's the same old Hue app you've always used, and you'll still
change the color of your bulbs using the same tedious drag - and - drop display that forces you to
cover the part of the spectrum you're trying to
land on with your finger as you try and
land on it.
I'm with you — only a
covered «
landing»
on the front... there is a patio in back, but no roof, which
changes things significantly.