An optimal transport and
land use scenario was developed through modelling predicted demand, thus creating a future spatial design that promotes urban efficiency and sustainability for residents and the city government.
Not exact matches
The ideal
scenario, according to Goodman, would be for the DuPage County Forest Preserve District to acquire the buffer - zone
land from Good Samaritan, which in turn could
use the money to build on another site.
The Open Houses area a follow - up to a series of
Scenario Planning Mapping Workshops held from November, 2013 through March, 2014 across Erie and Niagara counties where citizens worked together in groups to map a future vision for
land use, development, housing and transportation in Buffalo Niagara.
The
Scenario Planning Open Houses give citizens a chance to do just that by offering four possible approaches to
land use and comparing how these
scenarios would impact some of the region's priorities.
Scenarios tell a story of how our region may change over time based on where Buffalo Niagara is today and the choices we might make about how we
use our
land and how we invest our resources.
The analysis, which
used land elevation and tidal data, found that 460 acres, or about a sixth of Hallandale Beach, would be below sea level during high tide under a 3 - foot
scenario of rise, according to Nancy Gassman, a natural resources administrator for Broward County's Natural Resources Planning and Management Division who worked on the assessment.
The study estimated impacts on forest carbon accumulation in the region between 2007 and 2012, and projected potential changes out to 2017 based on forest growth and
land use change
scenarios.
According to the report, under a «business as usual»
scenario, climate change will be the fastest growing driver negatively impacting biodiversity by 2050 in the Americas, becoming comparable to the pressures imposed by
land use change.
Under various climate and
land -
use scenarios, coniferous stands are expected to lose 71 percent to 100 percent of their current range to deciduous stands across New England by 2085, particularly in Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine, due to increased temperature and precipitation and changes in timber harvesting.
Use of modeling tools to predict the impact of land use and climate scenari
Use of modeling tools to predict the impact of
land use and climate scenari
use and climate
scenarios.
The consistent occurrence of such hotspots in all three
scenarios, despite significant
land -
use variations, «underscores the need to address transportation issues holistically when considering health outcomes,» the researchers state.
They urge the integration of quantitative HIA into long - range
scenario planning to gauge what health outcomes might result from
land use visions.
The team analysed evidence such as
land use,
land suitability and agricultural biomass data to create a robust model that compares different
scenarios for 2050, including
scenarios based on maintaining current trends.
Her postdoc work includes
scenario planning,
land use change modelling, impact assessments, and development of conservation goals and priorities for coastal protection and restoration for the Great Barrier Reef coastal zone.
New Paradigm: Under one
scenario to achieve
Land Degradation Neutrality (Sustainable Development Goal target 15.3), additional commitments in the land use sector, namely to restore and rehabilitate 12 million hectares of degraded land per year could help close the emissions gap by up to 25 % in the year 2
Land Degradation Neutrality (Sustainable Development Goal target 15.3), additional commitments in the
land use sector, namely to restore and rehabilitate 12 million hectares of degraded land per year could help close the emissions gap by up to 25 % in the year 2
land use sector, namely to restore and rehabilitate 12 million hectares of degraded
land per year could help close the emissions gap by up to 25 % in the year 2
land per year could help close the emissions gap by up to 25 % in the year 2030.
Methods: A global collaboration of scientists responded to a request from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and generated a set of four
scenarios to represent future greenhouse gas emissions and
land use change.
Abstract: Models investigating the effects of climate change and human - led
land -
use change on biodiversity have arrived at alarming conclusions, with the worst case
scenarios suggesting extinction rates at such a level as to constitute a sixth mass extinction event in the earth's history.
The
scenario began with 2005 conditions of greenhouse gas emissions,
land use and technologies, and then allowed the model to simulate greenhouse gas emissions and
land use changes until 2100.
Normalized well - to - wake GHG emissions for low -, baseline - and high - emission cases for jet fuel pathways under different
land use change
scenarios.
Methods: To understand the effects of economic forces from climate policy on terrestrial carbon and
land use changes, the researchers
used the MiniCAM, an integrated assessment model developed by the PNNL team over the last two decades, to compare different
scenarios.
Most low - emission
scenarios involve substantial
land -
use change (LUC) including the expansion of bioenergy and food crops, as well as afforestation.
Importantly,
land designated for growing grasses would come primarily from
land used for grazing or
land that's not being
used at all — in other words, food prices would be largely unaffected under both
scenarios.
«
Scenario 3 also considers the conversion of natural and semi-natural vegetation that can be legally converted to cropland and the
use of privately held
land.»
But by presenting historical
scenarios, MacMillan reveals the problems of
using written or oral accounts as a means of proving a point of view, particularly when it comes to
land - rights.
The vehicle
used for these intrepid small group journeys are the
Land Rover Discovery 4 or Discovery Sport, perfect to
use in an urban context, for long highway journeys and, of course, in an off - road
scenario.
These new features are
used in random maps, new
scenarios and a new story campaign, where Halfling survivors settle in a distant
land filled with danger and treasures never seen before.
By re-enacting
scenarios that were once accompanied by a grand, world dominating narrative (the first moon -
landing, or the conquest of Everest) and
using model - making and make - believe to spin the yarn, these short video works quietly subvert the epic tale.
Use your pragmatism wisely and just as in the cockpit, look at all the potential
scenarios regarding what kind of
landing we are in for based on our decisions as a global community.
Bickmore's own graph showing the temperature anomaly results had actually
landed outside the ball park before dribbling back in demonstrates that the bulk of the IPCC
scenarios are in the upper extreme and the modelling
used should be reconsidered.
Today's modeling tools, updated
land use information, and the inclusion of future rainfall
scenarios that account for a range of possible future climate conditions would combine to provide a better indication of the future likelihood of a storm burst creating this level of flooding in the area.
GCAM reference
scenario results showing a global GDP and population drivers, b global primary energy consumption by fuel source, c global electricity production by technology, and d global allocation of
land among major
land cover and
land use categories
We will then proceed to describe the underlying socioeconomic assumptions that shape RCP4.5 and its associated reference
scenario and discuss the characteristics of RCP4.5, highlighting the global energy, economic,
land use, and
land cover systems, as well as the mechanisms employed to limit radiative forcing to 4.5 W m − 2 and contrast RCP4.5 to its reference
scenario.
RCP4.5 is based on the MiniCAM Level 2 stabilization
scenario reported in Clarke et al. (2007) with additional detail on the non-CO2 and pollution control assumptions documented by Smith and Wigley (2006), and incorporating updated
land use modeling and terrestrial carbon emissions pricing assumptions as reported in Wise et al. (2009a, b).
Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 is a
scenario of long - term, global emissions of greenhouse gases, short - lived species, and
land -
use -
land - cover which stabilizes radiative forcing at 4.5 W m − 2 (approximately 650 ppm CO2 - equivalent) in the year 2100 without ever exceeding that value.
«Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 is a
scenario of long - term, global emissions of greenhouse gases, short - lived species, and
land -
use -
land - cover which stabilizes radiative forcing at 4.5 Watts per meter squared (W m - 2, approximately 650 ppm CO2 - equivalent) in the year 2100 without ever exceeding that value.»
The kind of (model supported)
scenario construction that is deserving a lot of attention nowadays is the generation of synthetic weather events
using a climate model, but cast in a future setting by adjusting the boundary conditions driving the climate system (greenhouse gas, aerosol,
land use,...).
In all the SRES marker
scenarios, most emissions related to
land use originate from the ASIA and ALM regions (Tables 5 - 13a - d).
A framing of these individual events is needed, and a top - down
scenario approach is well capable of providing this framework, certainly when complemented by
scenarios of other drivers than climate, such as population, water requirements,
land use etcetera.
We'd driving the models with the GHG concentrations, and
using carbon cycle models within the climate models to simulate the natural carbon fluxes (atmosphere -
land and atmosphere - ocean), which themselves are affected by the simulated climate change, and the residual needed to balance the carbon budget then indicates the anthropogenic emissions that would give the prescribed
scenario of CO2 rise.
As for CO2 emissions related to
land use (see Section 5.3.2), at least one
scenario from all four SRES
scenario families falls within the 25th and 75th percentiles of the emission range.
The underlying integrated assessment model outputs for
land use, atmospheric emissions and concentration data were harmonized across models and
scenarios to ensure consistency with historical observations while preserving individual
scenario trends.
This is in particular relevant for
scenario elements that are only indirectly coupled to the radiative forcing targets such as
land use /
land cover and air pollutant emissions.
One of the featured projects is to generate
scenarios for the future of forests in different parts of the United States in light of climate change,
land -
use changes and other factors.
For example,
scenarios that rely on the results from GCM experiments alone may be able to represent some of the uncertainties that relate to the modelling of the climate response to a given radiative forcing, but might not embrace uncertainties caused by the modelling of atmospheric composition for a given emissions
scenario, or those related to future
land -
use change.
Excerpt from PV magazine, by Dustin Zubke, 17 August 2017 RMI's Positive Disruption report lays out five
scenarios based on recent advancements in renewable energy and efficiency as well as changes in
land use.
In this manual, a methodology is proposed to relate different future
scenarios of
land use to changes in the runoff indicator and in flood risk.
The paper by Hurtt et al. (2011) is the first to harmonize
land -
use history data with future
scenario data from multiple IAMs to form a single consistent, spatially gridded, set of
scenarios on
land -
use change, to study human impacts on the past, present, and future Earth system.
The main purpose of the first phase (development of the RCPs) is to provide information on possible development trajectories for the main forcing agents of climate change, consistent with current
scenario literature allowing subsequent analysis by both Climate models (CMs) and Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs).1 Climate modelers will
use the time series of future concentrations and emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants and
land -
use change from the four RCPs in order to conduct new climate model experiments and produce new climate
scenarios as part of the parallel phase.
In the context of the RCPs it refers to emissions and
land use and signifies that, as a set, the RCPs should be compatible with the full range of
scenarios available in the current scientific literature, including extreme as well as intermediate
scenarios.
Development of a
scenario set containing emission, concentration and
land -
use trajectories — referred to as «representative concentration pathways» (RCPs).