Not exact matches
But
Hurricane Irma, which made
landfall in the Keys and Southwest Florida little more than two weeks ago, threw a monkey - wrench into the contest, temporarily putting campaign
activities on hold after the massive storm knocked out power, internet, cable and mail delivery to much of the district.
We can expect ongoing high levels of
hurricane activity — and very importantly high levels of
hurricane landfalls — as long as the active era continues.»
1) The start date in 1923 is a relatively low period in
landfalling and basin - wide
hurricane / or tropical storm time series with relatively higher
activity in the late 1800s.
While many studies of the effects of global warming on
hurricanes predict an increase in various metrics of Atlantic basin - wide
activity, it is less clear that this signal will emerge from background noise in measures of
hurricane damage, which depend largely on rare, high - intensity
landfalling events and are thus highly volatile compared to basin - wide storm metrics.
Specifically with regards to the energy and power companies, these contracts are for medium - range (days to weeks) forecasts of
hurricane activity and
landfall impacts, and also energy demand (temperature).
Thus while we can already detect trends in data for global
hurricane activity considering the whole life of each storm, we estimate that it would take at least another 50 years to detect any long - term trend in U.S.
landfalling hurricane statistics, so powerful is the role of chance in these numbers.
A particulary ominous aspect of this prediction is that the increase in
activity appears most clearly as an increase in devastating major
hurricane landfalls from one every other year to one every year.
In contrast to strong sea surface temperature control on basin counts, unpredictable internal variability in track density is strong over the Gulf Coast and US East Coast - indicating that prediction of regional cyclone
activity, especially
landfall hurricanes, is challenging.