Balancing claims of Antarctica's soon and
large contributions to sea level rise, wildfires, droughts and more Godzilla super storms.
Not exact matches
«Ice loss from this part of West Antarctica is already making a significant
contribution to sea -
level rise — around 1 mm per decade, and is actually one of the
largest uncertainties in global
sea -
level rise predictions.
Since the 1990s, the retreat of glaciers in Alaska has made a disproportionally
large contribution to global
sea -
level rise.
Sea level rise due to ice shelf collapse is as yet limited, but large ice shelves surrounding some of the major Antarctic glaciers could be at risk, and their collapse would result in a significant sea level rise contribution [2
Sea level rise due
to ice shelf collapse is as yet limited, but
large ice shelves surrounding some of the major Antarctic glaciers could be at risk, and their collapse would result in a significant
sea level rise contribution [2
sea level rise contribution [22].
Eric Rignot most recent work in 2008 supported a
larger, accelerating
contribution of Antarctica's ice mass balance
to the
rise in
sea level.
«Alaskan and immediately adjacent Canadian glaciers supply one of the
largest measured glaciological
contributions to global
sea level rise (~ 0.14 mm yr - 1, equivalent
to new estimates from Greenland).
For example, if this
contribution were
to grow linearly with global average temperature change, the upper ranges of
sea level rise for SRES scenarios shown in Table SPM - 3 would increase by 0.1 m
to 0.2 m.
Larger values can not be excluded, but understanding of these effects is too limited
to assess their likelihood or provide a best estimate or an upper bound for
sea level rise.
For observed 20th - century
sea level rise, based on tide gauge records, Church et al. (2001) adopted as a best estimate a value in the range of 1
to 2 mm yr — 1, which was more than twice as
large as the TAR's estimate of climate - related
contributions.
Hansen refers
to them in this way «They identified eight episodes of
large iceberg flux, with the
largest flux occurring ∼ 14 600 years ago, providing evidence of an Antarctic
contribution to Meltwater Pulse 1A, when
sea level rose an average of 3 — 5 m century − 1 for a few centuries (Fairbanks, 1989).»
Note that the» < 0.5 mm / yr» statement is not definitive: they indicate a possibility of
larger TWS
contributions, but if that is the case there would likely have
to be other factors offsetting or we'd be inferring more
sea level rise than appears
to have actually happened.
If the glacial melt water
contribution to sea level is overestimated, then, the unaccounted - for
contribution to sea level rise becomes much
larger than initially thought.
Now, new research reveals that like their famous brethren, they may make
large contributions to global
sea level rise.
Most of the current models of glacial ice melting (and
contribution to sea level rise) focus on ice melting and less than they need
to on the process of glaciers falling apart in
larger chunks such as ice bergs.
PIG already makes the
largest contribution to sea -
level rise of any single Antarctic glacier and the fact that its bed increases in depth upstream for more than 200 km means there is the possibility of runway retreat that would result in an even bigger
contribution to sea level.»
Present uncertainties of ice shelf mass loss are
large, however, with estimates of their
contribution to sea level rise ranging from a few centimeters
to over one meter.
Studies have indicated an increasing
contribution of the two
largest ice sheets, the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets,
to sea level rise.
However, the amount of water stored in this ice is estimated
to be less than 0.5 m of
sea -
level equivalent (Lemke et al., 2007), so the
contribution to sea -
level rise can not be especially
large before the reservoir is depleted.
«Given the
large variability in discharge and SMB observed within the past decade and the potential for unaccounted positive feedback within the ice - climate system, however, the
contribution of GrIS discharge
to future
sea level rise remains highly uncertain.»
Such solecisms throughout the IPCC's assessment reports (including the insertion, after the scientists had completed their final draft, of a table in which four decimal points had been right - shifted so as
to multiply tenfold the observed
contribution of ice - sheets and glaciers
to sea -
level rise), combined with a heavy reliance upon computer models unskilled even in short - term projection, with initial values of key variables unmeasurable and unknown, with advancement of multiple, untestable, non-Popper-falsifiable theories, with a quantitative assignment of unduly high statistical confidence
levels to non-quantitative statements that are ineluctably subject
to very
large uncertainties, and, above all, with the now - prolonged failure of TS
to rise as predicted (Figures 1, 2), raise questions about the reliability and hence policy - relevance of the IPCC's central projections.
Although thermal expansion has been projected
to contribute the most
to sea level rise, the potential of
large contributions from the Antarctic Ice Sheet has added significant uncertainty
to predictions.
Their article discusses the possibility of a
large contribution to rising sea levels due
to the melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet by global warming.