One of the most devastating potential impacts of global climate change is
a large global sea level rise over the coming century and beyond.
Not exact matches
But the study, published today in Earth's Future, finds that scientists won't be able to determine, based on measurements of
large - scale phenomena like
global sea level and Antarctic mass changes, which scenario the planet faces until the 2060s.
«Ice loss from this part of West Antarctica is already making a significant contribution to
sea -
level rise — around 1 mm per decade, and is actually one of the
largest uncertainties in
global sea -
level rise predictions.
The Pine Island Glacier, which sits on part of west Antarctica, is the single
largest contributor to
global sea -
level rise.
Greenland is more than twice as
large as Texas and if the entire ice sheet melted, scientists estimate
global sea levels would rise roughly 24 feet.
Since the 1990s, the retreat of glaciers in Alaska has made a disproportionally
large contribution to
global sea -
level rise.
Our study underlines that these conditions have led to a
large loss of ice and significant rises in
global sea level in the past.
The Greenland ice sheet is thought to be one of the
largest contributors to
global sea level rise over the past 20 years, accounting for 0.5 millimeters of the current total of 3.2 millimeters of
sea level rise per year.
Fact # 1: Carbon Dioxide is a Heat - Trapping Gas Fact # 2: We Are Adding More Carbon Dioxide to the Atmosphere All the Time Fact # 3: Temperatures are Rising Fact # 4:
Sea Level is Rising Fact # 5: Climate Change Can be Natural, but What's Happening Now Can't be Explained by Natural Forces Fact # 6: The Terms «
Global Warming» and «Climate Change» Are Almost Interchangeable Fact # 7: We Can Already See The Effects of Climate Change Fact # 8:
Large Regions of The World Are Seeing a Significant Increase In Extreme Weather Events, Including Torrential Rainstorms, Heat Waves And Droughts Fact # 9: Frost and Snowstorms Will Still Happen in a Warmer World Fact # 10:
Global Warming is a Long - Term Trend; It Doesn't Mean Next Year Will Always Be Warmer Than This Year
All this matters because ice melt in Greenland is the single
largest cause of
global sea level rise, which is affecting coastlines around the world.
Thanks in
large part to satellite measurements, scientists» skill in measuring how much
sea levels are rising on a
global scale - currently 0.13 inch (3.4 millimeters) per year - has improved dramatically over the past quarter century.
The
global increase in ocean heat content during the period 1993 to 2003 in two ocean models constrained by assimilating altimetric
sea level and other observations (Carton et al., 2005; Köhl et al., 2006) is considerably
larger than these observational estimates.
This implies that
large - scale observations — for example, of
global mean
sea -
level change or of the change mass of the Antarctic ice sheet — will not on their own significantly narrow the range of late - century
sea -
level projections for decades to come.
A
large ensemble of Earth system model simulations, constrained by geological and historical observations of past climate change, demonstrates our self ‐ adjusting mitigation approach for a range of climate stabilization targets ranging from 1.5 to 4.5 °C, and generates AMP scenarios up to year 2300 for surface warming, carbon emissions, atmospheric CO2,
global mean
sea level, and surface ocean acidification.
The
largest contibution to
global sea level rise from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets combined is around 16.9 mm per year, but is more likely to be around 5.4 mm per year by 2100.
The important point is that the uncertainty is not about whether continued rapid CO2 emissions would cause
large sea level rise, submerging
global coastlines — it is about how soon the
large changes would begin.
The series of
large - scale woodcut prints will be exhibited locally and internationally, to bring attention to the impact rising
sea levels due to
global warming are having in Hawaii.
I think these are simply features of
global climate that are embedded and as predictable as other
large features like hurricane patterns, the gulf stream, the jet stream,
sea ice extent and mass,
global glacial conditions,
sea level etc..
Global sea level rise is one of the most often cited potential large impacts of global climate change over the coming ce
Global sea level rise is one of the most often cited potential
large impacts of
global climate change over the coming ce
global climate change over the coming century.
First, there is room for disussion regarding whether a modest amount of
global warming is bad, but I don't believe there can be much debate that a
large amount of
global warming would be horrible — there is no easy work - around for the relocation of a third of the world's major cities due to
sea -
level rise.
The simple approach is only valid for the initial
sea level response to
large and rapid rise in
global temperature, as sketched in Fig. 1 of my paper.
In one projected event,
large parts of the ice sheet melt and drain into the ocean over the next millennia, raising
global sea levels by several tens of meters.
«Alaskan and immediately adjacent Canadian glaciers supply one of the
largest measured glaciological contributions to
global sea level rise (~ 0.14 mm yr - 1, equivalent to new estimates from Greenland).
For example, if this contribution were to grow linearly with
global average temperature change, the upper ranges of
sea level rise for SRES scenarios shown in Table SPM - 3 would increase by 0.1 m to 0.2 m.
Larger values can not be excluded, but understanding of these effects is too limited to assess their likelihood or provide a best estimate or an upper bound for
sea level rise.
Why use individual tide gauge records when we have perfectly good combinations, from much
larger samples, which give a
global picture of
sea level change and show vastly less noise?
The Greenland ice sheet, earth's second
largest after Antarctica, holds enough ice that, if it were to melt entirely, it would raise average
global sea level by about seven meters.
Scientists have discovered two seafloor gateways that are hastily melting East Antarctica's
largest and most rapidly thinning glacier, threatening to raise
global sea levels.
In theory, if a
large mass of glaciers or ice sheets melted, this could cause a
global sea level rise.
The desire to avoid
large ice sheet shrinkage and
sea level rise implies a need to get
global temperature back into or close to the Holocene range on the time scale of a century or less.
Paleontological records indicate that
global mean
sea level is highly sensitive to temperature (7) and that ice sheets, the most important contributors to
large - magnitude
sea -
level change, can respond to warming on century time scales (8), while models suggest ice sheets require millennia to approach equilibrium (9).
The
global increase in ocean heat content during the period 1993 to 2003 in two ocean models constrained by assimilating altimetric
sea level and other observations (Carton et al., 2005; Köhl et al., 2006) is considerably
larger than these observational estimates.
Now, new research reveals that like their famous brethren, they may make
large contributions to
global sea level rise.
Quantitatively, Vasskog et al. estimate that during this time (the prior interglacial) the GrIS was «probably between ~ 7 and 60 % smaller than at present,» and that that melting contributed to a rise in
global sea level of «between 0.5 and 4.2 m.» Thus, in comparing the present interglacial to the past interglacial, atmospheric CO2 concentrations are currently 30 % higher,
global temperatures are 1.5 - 2 °C cooler, GrIS volume is from 7 - 67 %
larger, and
global sea level is at least 0.5 - 4.2 m lower, none of which observations signal catastrophe for the present.
I noted (as I have previously in this blog) the
large number of states that are either divided on or hostile about claims of human - caused
global warming that are nonetheless hotbeds of collective activity focused on counteracting the adverse impacts of climate change, including
sea level rise.
In our previous article of the series we've looked at an overview of
global sea level rise forecasts for the year 2100 — and seen that these forecasts have a very
large spread, and also seem to increase with time... Continue reading →
The IPCC 2007 Fourth Assessment of climate change science concluded that
large reductions in the emissions of greenhouse gases, principally CO2, are needed soon to slow the increase of atmospheric concentrations, and avoid reaching unacceptable levels.However, climate change is happening even faster than previously estimated;
global CO2 emissions since 2000 have been higher than even the highest predictions, Arctic
sea ice has been melting at rates much faster than predicted, and the rise in the
sea level has become more rapid.
The millennial (500-2000 year) time scale of deep ocean ventilation affects the time scale for natural CO2 change and thus the time scale for paleo
global climate, ice sheet, and
sea level changes, but this paleo millennial time scale should not be misinterpreted as the time scale for ice sheet response to a rapid
large human - made climate forcing.
Global sea level has risen, and there have been
large reductions in snow - cover extent, glaciers, and
sea ice.
Given even
larger underestimations in
sea level rise and Arctic ice disappearance I assume you're point is that climate scientists have been overly cautious about the dangers of
global warming.
«However, Fig. 15 and the associated uncertainties discussed in Section 3.4 show that long term estimates of time variable
sea level acceleration in 203 year
global reconstruction are significantly positive, which supports our previous finding (Jevrejeva et al., 2008a), that despite strong low frequency variability (
larger than 60 years) the rate of
sea level rise is increasing with time.»
The
global decline in glacial and ice - sheet volume is predicted to be one of the
largest contributors to
global sea level rise during this century (Ch.
The small
global mean change, however, is expected to create
large problems in sensitive areas of the Earth system — rising
sea level leading to increased coastal flooding, more heat waves and drought, and the disappearance of summer Arctic
sea ice, to name a few.
The important point is that the uncertainty is not about whether continued rapid CO2 emissions would cause
large sea level rise, submerging
global coastlines — it is about how soon the
large changes would begin.
«long term estimates of time variable
sea level acceleration in 203 year
global reconstruction are significantly positive, which supports our previous finding (Jevrejeva et al., 2008a), that despite strong low frequency variability (
larger than 60 years) the rate of
sea level rise is increasing with time.»
The
sea level rate since 1870 or, since 1930 when
global coverage became
large enough, is a roughly a «linear trend».
This small thickening, sustained over thousands of years and spread over the vast expanse of these sectors of Antarctica, corresponds to a very
large gain of ice - enough to outweigh the losses from fast - flowing glaciers in other parts of the continent and reduce
global sea level rise.
Glaciologists have announced that a huge ice stream in western Antarctica, recognised as the
largest single contributor of ice to the
sea, has begun an accelerated and irreversible melt rate that could see it shedding 100 billion tonnes a year, equating to a
global sea level rise of up to 10 mm in 20 years.
The
largest contributors to projected
global sea level increases are glaciers in Arctic Canada, Alaska and landmass - bound glaciers in the Antarctic.
The Greenland ice sheet is one of the
largest contributors to
global sea level rise, and if completely melted, could add ~ 7 meters to
sea level.
A
large majority of people in New York believe that
global warming is happening because of human activities, and more than two - thirds think that parts of the city will even have to be abandoned over the next 50 years because of rising
sea levels, according to survey results released this morning by Columbia and Yale Universities, which called the research the first comprehensive study of opinions from residents of the five boroughs about
global warming.