* Update, 3 April, 11:05 a.m.: On the evening of 2 April, after this story was posted, two more
large quakes occurred within the Iquique seismic gap.
Not exact matches
(Once the
quake had
occurred, statistical forecasting based on the size of the main shock did anticipate the possibility of its
largest aftershock: a magnitude - 6.3
quake in February that heavily damaged older structures in Christchurch.)
One of the
largest quakes to strike Japan
occurred in 1944, leading to the loss of more than 1,200 lives on the main and most populated island of Honshu.
While demonstrating a domino effect is a challenge, Lay does have a geological mechanism that can link some
large quakes that
occur several months apart.
Many minor tremors
occur, but
quakes as
large as magnitude 4.5 have been recorded.
Although there is evidence that the ground motions induced by major temblors trigger small
quakes thousands of kilometres away, there's no sign that such triggering
occurs for
large quakes, he adds.
Temblors that size are rare indeed: only 7
quakes as
large or
larger than 8.8 — the magnitude of last February's Chilean event — have
occurred since 1900.
But major earthquakes such as the Mw 7.9 2008 Chengdu
quake in China and New Zealand's 2011 Mw 6.3
quake have shown that
large earthquakes do
occur and can cause significant infrastructure damage and loss of life.
The earthquake — estimated at magnitude 9.0 on the Richter scale —
occurred in a total area much smaller than previous
large earthquakes, such as the 8.8 Chilean earthquake last year, arguing that the slippage was much greater for the Japan
quake, one of the four most powerful earthquakes on record.
In particular, they found that big, destructive
quakes may have a better chance of
occurring offshore of Washington and northern Oregon than farther south along the subduction zone — although any
large quake would impact the surrounding area.
And with the last
large earthquake
occurring in 1700, scientists are expecting a
large quake to
occur in the future, although it's impossible to pinpoint the timing exactly.
Indeed, one of the four
largest quakes of that winter — one that
occurred at about dawn on 16 December 1811 — is considered to be an aftershock of the first
quake in the series, which
occurred about 5 hours earlier.
Comparing the situation to a
large quake that struck L'Aquila in 1703, Boschi said, «It is unlikely that an earthquake like the one in 1703 could
occur in the short term, but the possibility can not be totally excluded.»
The
largest number of phones to record a
quake was 103, after the 5.2 magnitude
quake that
occurred on the San Jacinto fault near Borrego Springs in San Diego County on June 10.
The
largest quake detected
occurred on April 16 in Ecuador: a 7.8 magnitude
quake that triggered two phones, 170 and 200 kilometers from the epicenter.