Sentences with phrase «large uncertainty bars»
I'm not «arguing for large uncertainty bars».
https://wattsupwiththat.com/ Not exact matches
The large error bars on that number inject uncertainty into our projections of the effects of climate change — from changing storm patterns to sea level rise.
The error bars in state - of - the - art SST compilations take into account such sampling uncertainties, and indeed they become larger back in time, especially the earliest decades (1850s - 1870s) in part due to the fact that there is substantial eddy variance.
In the end, I would hypothesize that the result of the freeing of data and code will necessarily lead to a more robust understanding of scientific uncertainties, which may have the perverse effect of making the future less clear, i.e., because it will result in larger error bars around observed temperature trends which will carry through into the projections.
The «true» error bars should be slightly larger given the uncertainty in the annual estimates themselves.
Having Santer show here that the mismatch between model and data for the troposphere and stratosphere is just another example of a new uncertainty or larger error bar.
Where I have some difficulty is reconciling the narrow error bars with Stephens et al. (2012) who state, «The current uncertainty in this net surface energy balance is large, and amounts to approximately 17 Wm — 2.
This is a large shift, and the reaction to it is becoming predictably stronger as her uncertainty error bars go down while at the same time she makes this very rigid, almost intolerant, view more public.
But if we question it too hard we would need to either strip out every error bar and uncertainty limit from every paper without a known prior, or put large horror warnings against each one stating that these error limits are the result of a subjective judgement of the authors.
I am fairly sure their error bars don't take these a priori uncertainties into account, but they have a lengthy discussion that says aerosols could conceivably have a large effect on their results if correlated with surface temperature.