The magnitude and inter-model range of simulated warming over high northern latitudes are very similar in the high - end and non-high-end models, which indicates that the biases among the models are
larger than the climate change signal.
Not exact matches
In December 2009, I was one of more
than 4,000 journalists who attended the UN's Copenhagen summit on
climate change — probably the
largest press presence for an international event outside of sport.
The area of wildfires in Borneo during drought years turns out to be ten times
larger than during non-drought years, an international research team reports in Nature
Climate Change of this week.
They found that the nasal cavities of cold, dry
climate populations are relatively high and show a
larger and more abrupt
change in diameter in the upper part of the cavity
than those of hot, humid
climate populations.
The simulations suggest that, for greenhouse gas emissions at or above current rates,
changes in
climate will very likely be
larger than the
changes already observed during the 20th century.
This decrease is about five times
larger than the annual emissions reduction target for the first commitment period (2008 - 2012) of the Kyoto Protocol on
climate change.
The researchers, from the University of Reading and University of Iowa, found that
large parts of the projected
changes in AR frequency and intensity would be down to thermodynamic
changes in the atmosphere, rather
than the natural variability of the
climate, suggesting that it is a response to anthropogenic
climate change.
«This long - term view shows that the next few decades offer a brief window of opportunity to minimize
large - scale and potentially catastrophic
climate change that will extend longer
than the entire history of human civilization thus far,» the team concluded.
Moreover, a jump in the region's erosion rates about a million years ago coincides with a transition to more powerful ice ages — a sign that
climate change can have a
larger than expected effect in tearing down mountains.
Using the
largest dated evolutionary tree of flowering plants ever assembled, a new study suggests how plants developed traits to withstand low temperatures, with implications that human - induced
climate change may pose a bigger threat
than initially thought to plants and global agriculture.
In addition, wheat yield declines due to
climate change are likely to be
larger than previously thought and should be expected earlier, starting even with small increases in temperature,» points out Prof. Dr. Reimund Rötter from Natural Resources Institute Finland.
It's nothing a person would notice — a reduction barely more
than one - tenth of one mile per hour — but on a
large scale over an entire region, such a seemingly minor
change has a profound effect on
climate and air quality.
That means the sun, at least for those three years, played a
larger role in ongoing
climate change than previously thought.
These trends suggest that
large - scale
climate changes, rather
than local factors, could be driving increases in fire activity, the scientists report.
Temperature and other
climate changes in open expanses, such as the Amazon basin or Sahara Desert, will cover broader swaths of land
than steep peaks, meaning that «
large geographic displacements are required to
change temperature appreciably,» wrote the researchers.
A new study shows that
climate change that significantly decreases plant quality grants a competitive advantage to
larger invertebrate herbivores, such as grasshoppers, who can convert the foliage to energy more efficiently
than smaller herbivores.
The study, published in Nature
Climate Change, suggests that nearly 4 million square kilometres of frozen soil — an area
larger than India — could be lost for every additional degree of global warming experienced.
The model shows that
climate change that significantly decreases plant quality grants a competitive advantage to
larger invertebrate herbivores, such as grasshoppers, ants and other insects, which are able to convert the foliage to energy more efficiently
than smaller herbivores.
The draft report says it is «very likely» that the past three decades have all been warmer
than any time in the past 800 years; that we could see almost 9 °C of warming by 2300; and that «a
large fraction of
climate change is largely irreversible on human timescales».
Fact # 1: Carbon Dioxide is a Heat - Trapping Gas Fact # 2: We Are Adding More Carbon Dioxide to the Atmosphere All the Time Fact # 3: Temperatures are Rising Fact # 4: Sea Level is Rising Fact # 5:
Climate Change Can be Natural, but What's Happening Now Can't be Explained by Natural Forces Fact # 6: The Terms «Global Warming» and «
Climate Change» Are Almost Interchangeable Fact # 7: We Can Already See The Effects of
Climate Change Fact # 8:
Large Regions of The World Are Seeing a Significant Increase In Extreme Weather Events, Including Torrential Rainstorms, Heat Waves And Droughts Fact # 9: Frost and Snowstorms Will Still Happen in a Warmer World Fact # 10: Global Warming is a Long - Term Trend; It Doesn't Mean Next Year Will Always Be Warmer
Than This Year
In the drive to survive
changing climates,
larger herbivores may fare slightly better
than their smaller competitors, according to new research from the National Institute for Mathematical and Biological Synthesis and the Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies.
This sea level rise estimate is
larger than that provided by the last IPCC report, but highlights the need for further research on ice sheet variablity and ice sheet response to
climate change, both now and in the past.
Towns and small cities are often less able to mainstream
climate change adaptation into policies and practices
than larger urban areas.
Why it matters: Current global
climate models used to predict
climate change account for
large - scale
climate processes, typically at scales greater
than 100 kilometers, or about 62 miles.
In the world's first
large - scale investigation of how
climate affects the composition of coral reefs, an international team of marine scientists concludes that the picture is far more complicated
than previously thought — but that total reef losses due to
climate change are unlikely.
But the annual amount of human - caused global emissions of carbon dioxide, the main greenhouse gas driving
climate change, is now about 50 percent
larger than in 1992.
In turning to a methodological issue, the new archaeological horizons in the Monte Verde area are difficult to trace laterally over areas
larger than ~ 8 — 10 m2 and probably represent only fragments of a broader landscape utilized by people adapting to
changing climates and environments in the area.
I can clearly understand that sea - level rise would result in a loss of real - estate (including many major cities); I can also understand that a faster
than «normal»
climate change might force a
larger number of species into extinction.
I don't think anyone denies that the sun matters for
climate, but the question is whether the variability of the sun in recent history has had the impact that we project from greenhouse gases over the next 100 — and there, I think, a majority of your «AGW» ers» would think the evidence suggests that
changes in human forcing will likely be several times (at least)
larger than any solar variability we've seen in a thousand years or more.
This article minimizes what credibly could be the
largest challenge in dealing with
climate change: Holding the atmosphere to a CO2 content no greater
than 450 PPM to prevent an increase of no more
than 2 degrees C, beyond which runaway growth in CO2 could occur from natural sources.
A
larger mystery
than either missing carbon or the influence of clouds / water vapor on
climate change models is why the physical and life science community and the (in theory) science - based
climate change advocates have not taken the time to adequately consult the evidence or experts (albeit exceptions certainly do exist) on communication about environmental issues, risk, or environmental and health literacy.
In other words, a DO event (brought on this time by anthropogenic global warming) should be seen as
larger and more rapid
climate change than anthropogenic global warming.
The two kinds of
climate change are sometimes confounded by non-experts — e.g., when it is claimed that DO events represent a much
larger and more rapid
climate change than anthropogenic global warming.
page 30: «Current carbon dioxide emissions are, in fact, above the highest emissions scenario developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC), implying that if we stay the current course, we're heading for even
larger warming
than the highest projections from the IPCC.»
The point I am trying to make is «when it is claimed that DO events represent a much
larger and more rapid
climate change than anthropogenic global warming,» perhaps DO events do cause rapid regional
climate change larger and more rapid
than anthropogenic global warming generally.
Organizers say that the meeting is
larger than last year's, which centered on challenging the 2007 reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change.
A globally warm medieval period could be a simple forced response to increased solar, in which case it doesn't imply any
larger intrinsic variability
than already assumed, and since solar has been pretty much constant over the last 50 years, improvements to our understanding of solar forced
climate changes are irrelevant for the last few decades.
The work of Schmittner et al. demonstrates that
climates of the past can provide potentially powerful information to reduce uncertainty in future
climate predictions and evaluate the likelihood of
climate change that is
larger than captured in present models.
A
large rise in heat related deaths in Australia is mentioned without noting that most of the effect is due to population rather
than climate change.
:: We Can Solve It Al Gore Al Gore Readies Sequel to «An Inconvenient Truth» Al Gore Announces Big
Climate Change Ad Campaign
Climate Change Climate Change Melting Glaciers, Shrinking Harvests in China and India Global Warming
Changes to Snowmelt Patterns in Western US Could Have
Larger Impact
Than Previously Thought Renewable Energy Solar Power to Reach Parity by 2015, New Study Claims Second Siemens Wind Turbine Plant to Open in Illinois
I don't claim to know anything about social or psychological sciences to elaborate, but this might just be a consequence of the fact that
climate change operates on timescales much
larger than a political term or the time it takes to schedule your son's soccer practice.
As we discussed at the time, those results were used to conclude that the Earth System Sensitivity (the total response to a doubling of CO2 after the short and long - term feedbacks have kicked in) was around 9ºC — much
larger than any previous estimate (which is ~ 4.5 ºC)-- and inferred that the committed
climate change with constant concentrations was 3 - 7ºC (again much
larger than any other estimate — most are around 0.5 - 1ºC).
The IPCC range, on the other hand, encompasses the overall uncertainty across a very
large number of studies, using different methods all with their own potential biases and problems (e.g., resulting from biases in proxy data used as constraints on past temperature
changes, etc.) There is a number of single studies on
climate sensitivity that have statistical uncertainties as small as Cox et al., yet different best estimates — some higher
than the classic 3 °C, some lower.
The company that he leads ran a huge two - page - spread advertisement in the Times earlier this week that is probably
larger (in terms of page space)
than all of the Times's articles regarding
climate change this past week, COMBINED!
But this human adaptation time scale may be longer
than the time over which
climate change affects storms, so that comparatively small
changes in the frequency of generational events can have
large social consequences.
If, for example, scientists had somehow underestimated the
climate change between Medieval times and the Little Ice Age, or other natural
climate changes, without corresponding errors in the estimated size of the causes of the
changes, that would suggest stronger amplifying feedbacks and
larger future warming from rising greenhouse gases
than originally estimated.
«The science emphatically proves that black carbon has a
larger impact on
climate change than was previously understood and we can't escape reality.
But it does say; «Natural
climate variations, which tend to involve localized
changes in sea surface temperature, may have a
larger effect on hurricane activity
than the more uniform patterns of global warming...»
Scientists quoted in a past DailyTech article link the cooling to reduced solar activity which they claim is a much
larger driver of
climate change than man - made greenhouse gases.
More: 10th International Congress of Ecology Global Warming Effects Global Warming
Changes to Snowmelt Patterns in Western US Could Have
Larger Impact
Than Previously Though
Climate Change Closes the World's Highest Ski Run Global Warming Melting Glaciers, Shrinking Harvests in China and India