The weighted sum is calculated just using the three categories with
the largest implied probabilities, because the probabilities for other categories are so small and unstable.
Not exact matches
The 8.59 % gap between projected
probability and
implied chance is the
largest among the title contenders.
That 9.5 % gap between
implied probability and the team's actual win rate is the
largest in basketball, which makes Duke the most overrated team in the country.
Obviously, the
probability of an ECS this low is much
larger than what the regression analysis
implies.