Not exact matches
In cooler areas, the less intense warming and
large decrease in cold - related deaths may mean no net change or a marginal reduction in
temperature - related deaths.
While the overlap during deglaciations is
large (which makes it near impossible to make any estimates of relative forcings), during the start of the last ice age, there was no overlap: CO2 started to
decrease (some 40 - 50 ppmv) when the
temperature was already near it's minimum.
What's more, the haze has masked the effects of global warming across
large parts of China, particularly in the central and eastern regions, where daily high
temperatures have actually been
decreasing.
[1] CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are increasing its concentration in the atmosphere, raising
temperatures globally; the second GHG, water vapor, exists in equilibrium with water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the oceans cover so much of the planet, water is a
large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the atmosphere warms
decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives
larger polar warming than the global average;
decreasing the
temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient
decreases; the
larger slower meanders increase the amplitude and duration of blocking highs, increasing drought and extreme
temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
It could be smaller than that or
larger, depending on the way that
temperature varies with height; but it will not be
larger than twice that, provided that a temporary saturation doesn't happen and then significantly reverse in the span of a single doubling — in other words, provided that the process of any temporary saturation and following reversal (wherein BTc0 increases, halts, and then
decreases, or in the opposite order) can be sufficiently resolved by the fractional change in CO2.
While the overlap during deglaciations is
large (which makes it near impossible to make any estimates of relative forcings), during the start of the last ice age, there was no overlap: CO2 started to
decrease (some 40 - 50 ppmv) when the
temperature was already near it's minimum.
This is a result of a weaker wind - driven ocean circulation, when a
large decrease in heat transported to the deep ocean allows the surface ocean to warm quickly, and this in turn raises global surface
temperatures.
In my opinion, such a change notice should have reported the 0.15 deg C
decrease in post-2000 US
temperatures, noted the change in rankings since that was a source of discussion that year, alerted users of the data base that changes at individual stations might be much
larger than that (and in either direction).
The mass balance and d13C balance shows that vegetation as sink is not
large enough to absorb all human CO2 if the oceans are a source and ice cores show that CO2 and
temperature go to a (surprisingly linear) new equilibrium for every change in
temperature level, not a sustained increase or
decrease.
So we should welcome gradual warming and fear
large decreases in global
temperatures.
In commenting on their findings, the three researchers write that «the
large number of stable glacier termini and glacier advances is influenced by positive glacier mass balances in the central Karakoram during the last decade,» citing Gardelle et al. (2012, 2013) and Kaab et al. (2012), which they indicate is «induced by increasing winter precipitation and
decreasing summer
temperatures since the 1960s,» citing Archer and Fowler (2004), Williams and Ferrigno (2010), Bolch et al. (2012), Yao et al. (2012) and Bocchiola and Diolaiuti (2013).
In addition to the very
large carbon dioxide offset, the researchers calculated a potential
decrease in
temperature of about 0.07 °C
This increased demand for cooling by the middle of this century is projected to exceed 10 gigawatts (equivalent to at least five
large conventional power plants), requiring more than $ 6 billion in infrastructure investments.72 Further, approximately 95 % of the electrical generating infrastructure in the Midwest is susceptible to
decreased efficiency due to higher
temperatures.72
According to the model,
temperatures in the North Atlantic and Greenland showed the
largest decrease, with slightly less cooling over parts of North America and Europe.
Even in areas where precipitation does not
decrease, these increases in surface evaporation and loss of water from plants lead to more rapid drying of soils if the effects of higher
temperatures are not offset by other changes (such as reduced wind speed or increased humidity).5 As soil dries out, a
larger proportion of the incoming heat from the sun goes into heating the soil and adjacent air rather than evaporating its moisture, resulting in hotter summers under drier climatic conditions.6
One thing that annoys me a lot about normal reconstruction of
temperature, they tend to conclude to a
large decrease in diurnal
temperature range.
The flat or
decreasing decadal
temperature outcome is not unprecedented, neither in the much - longer timespan periods of
large overall global
temperature rise we see historically nor in the GCMs.
While the overall sea ice extent in the Southern Ocean has not changed markedly in recent decades, there have been increases in oceanic
temperatures and
large regional
decreases in winter sea ice extent and duration in the western Antarctic Peninsula region of West Antarctica and the islands of the Scotia Arc.
If you look at the average global response to
large volcanic eruptions, from Krakatoa to Pinatubo, you would see that the global
temperature decreased by only about 0.1 °C while the hypersensitive climate models give 0.3 to 0.5 °C, not seen in reality.
«From 1910 - 1949 (pre-agricultural development, pre-DEV) to 1970 - 2009 (full agricultural development, full - DEV), the central United States experienced
large - scale increases in rainfall of up to 35 % and
decreases in surface air
temperature of up to 1 °C during the boreal summer months of July and August... which conflicts with expectations from climate change projections for the end of the 21st century (i.e., warming and
decreasing rainfall)(Melillo et al., 2014).»
Hence,
decreases in relative humidity occur at stations experiencing the
largest temperature increases in winter and spring as shown in Fig. 7.
(With increasing altitude the pressure drops and that makes the density go down, but the
temperature drops also and that has the opposite effect making the
decrease in density with altitude the weaker the
larger the lapse rate is.)
Scientific confidence of the occurrence of climate change include, for example, that over at least the last 50 years there have been increases in the atmospheric concentration of CO2; increased nitrogen and soot (black carbon) deposition; changes in the surface heat and moisture fluxes over land; increases in lower tropospheric and upper ocean
temperatures and ocean heat content; the elevation of sea level; and a
large decrease in summer Arctic sea ice coverage and a modest increase in Antarctic sea ice coverage.
But even if the rest of the month is not quite cold enough to push the entire year into negative territory, the 2013 annual temperate will still be markedly colder than last year's record high, and will be the
largest year - over-year
decrease in the annual
temperature on record, underscoring the «outlier» nature of the 2012
temperatures.
It is one stage within a
large climate pattern known the El Niño - Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, that increases and
decreases the
temperatures in the Pacific Ocean in somewhat predictable cycles, thereby affecting climate worldwide.
So, if you have a
large enough influx of cold water from the deep ocean, it can cause the global
temperature to
decrease temporarily, even while the greenhouse component is acting to push the global
temperature to be warmer.
Furthermore, the earth's surface will become much more ice - and snow - covered leading to a
larger albedo and hence a further
temperature decrease.
The retreat has been most noticeable at high elevations, driven in
large part by warming
temperatures contributing directly to melting and indirectly to more precipitation falling as rain rather than snow, in turn increasing the rate at which the glaciers move and increasing the size of glacial lakes, both
decreasing ice cover.
For JJA (figure 4b), Central America, parts of Brazil, southern Africa, and parts of Europe, northern Africa and the adjacent part of Central Asia are projected to suffer
large rises in
temperature and
decreased precipitation.
Similarly, if global
temperatures drop for some reason (for example, a
large volcanic eruption dumping massive amounts of aerosols into the air), we should expect to see water vapor concentrations
decrease.
Increased
temperature will increase the absolute humidity according to the Clausius - Claperyon equation; a
larger amount of water vapor will
decrease the density of air, all else being equal, which will increase convection and the relative amount of adiabatic versus radiative cooling.
To claim that the global avg temp might as well have
decreased 0.7 degrees as increased 0.7 degrees since preindustrial times flies in the face of basic physics, namely that the planetary
temperature is governed (a.o.) by the planetary energy balance, and that this balance has substantially changed over the past 100 or so years due in
large part to anthropogenic climate forcings, with a bit of help from natural climate forcings.