These indicators have not surpassed their highs from
the last economic expansion, Sonders said, and recessions happen when there are excesses in the economy, such as high inflation or surplus inventories.
«We still expect a long
lasting economic expansion of moderate growth, which should rival the US record of 10 years with S&P EPS growth averaging 6 % until the next recession, on 5 % sales growth, flat margins, 1 % share shrink,» Bianco wrote.
Steve Liesman reports on the long -
lasting economic expansion from the depths of the 2008 financial crisis.
And that low point occurred just before the biggest and longest -
lasting economic expansion in the history of the world, from 1983 until 2008.
Not exact matches
If the consumer doesn't believe that the
economic and employment
expansion we are seeing is built to
last, it could become a self fulfilling prophecy driven by sluggish consumer spending.
Over the past 150 years, the average
economic expansion has
lasted about 39 months.
This «says to me that we are in an
economic expansion that will
last a long time,» he said.
Markets tend to move in long sweeping eras that reflect underlying
economic activity; think of the
expansions that
lasted a decade or two, such as the postwar era (1946 - 66), or the tech bull market (1982 - 2000).
Being in a more mature phase of an
economic expansion currently, however, the next market peak might come sooner than it did
last cycle.
Meanwhile the
last decade's rapid
economic expansion has yet to filter down to many of the population who continue to live well below the poverty line and whose livelihoods remain at risk from adverse climatic conditions.
Productivity growth is another major contributor to
economic expansion, and the
last five years have come up short: productivity grew just 0.5 % a year on average over the
last five years versus 2.2 % average gains for the past 70 years.
This suggests, to me, the markets are priced for really good news ahead, and we've seen four of these
economic speed - ups in this
last expansion, going back to 2009, and all of them have faded.
Black Tuesday signaled the end of a period of post-World War I
economic expansion and the beginning of the Great Depression, which
lasted until the beginning of World War II.
Last week was not a crash, though a free - fall appears increasingly possible, as the reality of emerging recession (and all that it implies for fresh credit risks, sovereign defaults, fiscal imbalances, banking strains and other problems) will likely smash against the consensus view of
economic expansion in next few months.
click for PDF graphics Standard and Poors 500 Nasdaq Composite Dow Jones Industrial Average Nikkei 225 Household Debt Percent Personal Income Personal Consumption Expenditures as % of Disposable Personal Income Performance of Real PCE vs. 1991, 2001 and Avg of
Last Six
Expansions Economy (Index of Coincident
Economic Indicators)-- Revised
Last month, they came in at 221,000, 208,000 and 245,000, respectively, all stronger than the 200,000 average level of jobs growth that has been typical of past periods of
economic expansion.
But we need to remember that the average growth rate for US GDP in
economic expansion cycles of the
last six decades has been roughly 3 1/2 -4 %.
Last year, demand for ETFs was driven primarily by a constructive backdrop for US stocks: a synchronized and broad global
economic expansion, and historically low levels of US stock market volatility.
We see the Fed pushing ahead with a rate rise later in the year given a strong labor market and steady above - trend
economic expansion, reflecting Fed Chair Janet Yellen's comments
last week that rate normalization should proceed.
NYS Labor Department officials say that newly revised data shows that New York State's
economic expansion continued
last year, with the annual private sector job count exceeding eight million for the first time.
«Here we are in the ninth longest national
economic expansion and as we see over the
last eight years we keep cutting funding for a lot of core state programs to pay for tax cuts for the wealthiest individuals in the state.»
The Albany - area Regional
Economic Development Council announced projects it wants funded in the $ 800 million race this year for state grants and tax credits, including redevelopment of the old Starlite Theater property in Colonie and the Palace Theatre's proposed renovation and
expansion, which was on the wish list
last year.
«Over the
last few decades, we have worked hard to build a well - planned
economic model that has sustained and invigorated the local economy - and our
expansion projects have almost always exceeded expectations,» Halbritter said.
In a sense, a recession is always ahead, as no
economic expansion lasts forever.
And yet... 92» happened to mark the very beginning of the longest
economic expansion and greatest equity bull market in US history — one that would
last for 3,452 days...
As discussed
last week, the Trump Administration can probably not achieve its promised
economic revival without a substantial oil and gas production
expansion and greatly increased exports of US fossil fuel production.
The industry's breakneck
expansion in the archipelagic country has fueled
economic growth but also deforestation, land grabbing and the annual peatland fires that
last year blanketed the region in a choking haze, sickened half a million people and pumped more carbon into the atmosphere than the entire EU during a two - month period.
In the postwar period, law business boomed as Canada rode an
economic expansion that
lasted nearly a quarter of a century.
In the
last half century, however, robust
economic expansion in San Diego and the rest of the region has led to the creation of immense housing developments and Escondido has almost no agricultural land remaining.
«A very healthy labor market and stronger confidence and spending from both consumers and businesses boosted
economic expansion to a solid 3.0 percent
last quarter,» says Yun.
Though the Los Angeles
Economic Development Corp. says the five - county Los Angeles area recorded a lower level of major business
expansion activity during the first half of 2002 compared to the same period
last year, the economy in the southern half of the state remains robust compared to the northern half.