Sentences with phrase «latest model forecasts»
The latest model forecasts are less confident that a La Niña will form, which would mean 2016 has a better chance of besting 2015.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/ Not exact matches
The seventh annual edition of the Index covers 1970 - 2040 and incorporates the latest historical data and forecast models.
The latest 24 - hour forecast of the oil's trajectory, created by feeding currents and wind predictions into computer models, shows oil hitting dozens of places along Louisiana shorelines, from Caillou Bay in the west to Breton Sound, just east of where the Mississippi meets the gulf.
Severe UK winters, like the «big freeze» of 2009/10, can now be better forecast months in advance using the Met Office's latest model, new research suggests.
While reading James O'Shaughnessy's Predicting the Markets of Tomorrow (full review to come later), I came across an interesting section with three different models used to forecast the Standard & Poor's 500 Index.
In fact, the latest Q2 GDP growth forecast from the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model is for a growth rate more than double the Q1 GDP rate.
During 2015 our decadal prediction system was upgraded to use the latest high resolution version of our coupled climate model, consistent with our seasonal forecasts.
Using a new model that takes into account what happens under the sun's surface and data about previous solar cycles, astronomers offered a long - range forecast for solar activity that could start as soon as this year or as late as 2008.
The Met Office used the latest model in the new decadal forecast.
The previous forecast used a model that contributed to AR3 so was released in the late 1990s.
Eilperin glosses over the fact that this latest UN climate «report» is a strategically timed political document peppered with unproven computer climate models that violate the basic principles of forecasting and that even the UN does not call «predictions.»
The forecast possibility of El Niño nears 50 % by the winter, as many of the computer models are trending to warmer tropical sea surface conditions in the later months of 2018.
This study evaluates the forecast skill of the fourth version of the Canadian coupled ocean — atmosphere general circulation model (CanCM4) and its model output statistics (MOS) to forecast the seasonal rainfall in Malaysia, particularly during early (October — November — December) and late (January — February — March) winter monsoon periods.
The first part of the forecast did not occur as the models had projected, so why should we believe that the later portions will?
The latest dynamical model forecasts are calling for well above average precipitation throughout California during the January - March period, and the recent forecasts from the CFS model have shifted towards a wet December as well.
However, the latest upgrades to the GFDL hurricane model have led to significant improvements in hurricane intensity forecasts by better representing the atmospheric and oceanic physical processes critical for intensity prediction.
Much unlike 2014, ocean - atmosphere model forecasts continued to grow more emphatic regarding the potential for a very significant El Niño event by late summer.
Moreover, the warm «Blob» in the North Pacific essentially disappears in model forecasts later this winter, likely a product of numerous storm systems bringing vigorous vertical mixing of the ocean and drawing up cooler water from beneath.
Beck's latest, even if his cycle were correct and he hadn't fudged the x-axis scaling, it wouldn't disprove the forecasts derived from the physically based climate models.
In Hargreaves the skill test for Hansen is only reported against the forecast based on latest flat line observation, not for any other models.
«The latest addition is a variable resolution UK model (UKV) which has a high resolution inner domain (1.5 km grid boxes) over the area of forecast interest, separated from a coarser grid (4 km) near the boundaries by a variable resolution transition zone.
Late last year, University of Alabama's John Christy and Richard McNider showed that the observed rate of warming in the tropical mid-atmosphere is around 0.13 ⁰ C / decade since 1979, while the model average forecast is 0.30 ⁰ C / decade.
Kuo bases the forecast on pre-order checks, writing that «30 - 35 percent and 45 - 50 percent of [iPhone 7] pre-orders around the world and in China» are for the jet black model Apple introduced with its latest iPhones.
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