Kent Moore, a professor of atmospheric physics at the University of Toronto, who published a study in 2016 linking the loss of sea ice to these warm events in the Arctic, said a number of factors may have contributed to
the latest warming episode.
Not exact matches
I've found myself at the center of such
episodes more than once, as a result of what's become known as the iconic «hockey stick» diagram that my co-authors and I had published in the
late 1990s — a graphic display of the data that made plain the unprecedented rate of global
warming.
Therefore one would expect to see the rate of
warming between the
late 197s and the
late 1990s to be greater than the rate of
warming that occurred during the earlier two
warming episodes.
Given that it can not explain those
warming episodes and given that it accepts that CO2 did not cause those
warming episodes, it makes its logical failure with respect to the
late 1970s /
late 1990s
warming even more pronounced.
This rate (0.28 degC per century) is very different to the rates referred to by Phil Jones for the
warming periods detailed in my above comment, so the slow down is very apparent when the last 20 years is compared to the rate of the 1860 to 1880
warming episode which was slightly greater than the 1920 to 1940
warming episode, and also slightly greater than the
late 20th century
warming episode
But there is no acceleration in the rate of
warming between that observed in the
late 1970s to
late 1990s, and that observed in the two earlier
warming episodes of 1860/80 and 1920/40.
... In light of their recent findings, Davies et al. say there is «little support for the existence of a «permanent El Niño»... that there was robust ENSO variability in past «greenhouse»
episodes and that future
warming will be unlikely to promote a permanent El Niño state,» which point they also emphasize in the final sentence of their abstract, where they say that their evidence for robust
Late Cretaceous ENSO variability «does not support the theory of a «permanent El Niño,»» [Andrew Davies, Alan E.S. Kemp, Graham P. Weedon, John A. Barron 2012: Geology]
After reviewing evidence in both the
latest global data (HadCRUT4) and the longest instrumental record, Central England Temperature, a revised picture is emerging that gives a consistent attribution for each multidecadal
episode of
warming and cooling in recent history, and suggests that the anthropogenic global
warming trends might have been overestimated by a factor of two in the second half of the 20th century.
As in
later eras, Cretaceous warmth led to ocean stratification and anoxia; evidence shows many
warm «spikes» accompanied by such anoxic
episodes.