So this saying is valid in mid
latitudes if the timing of weather systems is just right.
Not exact matches
But,
if nothing else, it gives people a record of the
latitudes for next
time.
... Polar amplification explains in part why Greenland Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet appear to be highly sensitive to relatively small increases in CO2 concentration and global mean temperature... Polar amplification occurs
if the magnitude of zonally averaged surface temperature change at high
latitudes exceeds the globally averaged temperature change, in response to climate forcings and on
time scales greater than the annual cycle.
If I understood Armour's paper correctly, he claimed that all feed - backs were close to linear in response to temperature over
time, but that different regional warming rates (specifically, slow warming at high
latitudes) could make the feed - backs and sensitivity appear to increase with
time.
This rise of temperature could honcvcr he explained, qualitatively
if not quantitatively, by changes in the atiiiospheric circulation, arid in those regions where a change in the circulation aould be expected to cause a fall of temperature, there had actually been a fall; moreover the rise of temperature \ vas about ten
times as great in the arctic regions as in middle or low
latitudes, and he cliil not think that a change in the amount of carbon dioxide could cause such a differential effect.
It seems clear enough from evidence of the geologic past that before the earth started ringing like a bell every 120K years from glacial to interglacial with the former dominating the other 10:1 in persistence, the Eocene optimum 50 million years ago the earth was ice - free, green from pole to pole, it was about 11F warmer overall, with the most dramatic warming in the highest
latitudes (right where you'd want it
if you could ask for it), and atmspheric CO2 was several
times what it is today, which makes sense in light of much warmer global ocean not able to hold as much CO2.
Well they are predicting 2C tonight in Central South America (Tropics - subtropics) as I have said many
times on this site, I believe that the highly significant constant increase in antarctica ice extent and thickness may begin to affect the reach of polar air into the southern
latitudes if it happens to be directed in the right direction making it go farther north than usual.
The basic physics of greenhouse gases are simply not one of those things that are not well - enough understood and
if you don't understand how greenhouse gases work you can't possibly move on to any reasonable debate about other phenomena which can and do (IMO) largely negate the effects of increasing greenhouse gases and leave us in a situation where the modest increase in carbon dioxide has vast beneficial effect by warming the planet at high
latitudes where warming is welcome, not warming it at low
latitudes where it is already warm enough, increasing the growth rate of green plants, and decreasing the water needs of green plants at the same
time.
Thus
if near - surface winds stayed constant, one would expect a reduction in westerly flow at some level above at least at some
latitudes and
times of year.