Conditions may potentially rival the 2007 record minimum, if the majority of the remaining first - year ice disappears and some second - year ice at lower
latitudes melts back between now and the September minimum.
«What I will do is to pick up the absorptivities in a region of interest (
latitudes northwards of 30 degrees north, March through June), and replace them with the absorptivities from 30 days earlier (February through May), so as to simulate the effect of the putative delayed
melting of the snow and ice
back in 1750 compared to the present.