After the election, observers tried to explain how the Tories blew a 25 point
lead in the polls at the start of the campaign.
Not exact matches
Given that the opinion
polls at the moment have a small Conservative
lead and given that four years ago when most of the seats were up for grabs there was a small Labour
lead, if indeed the Labour party is gaining ground
in London it must be losing ground somewhere else.
In recent weeks,
polling shows that Carson is beginning to edge out Trump among likely Republican Iowa caucus voters, with an October 22 Quinnipiac University
poll showing Carson
leading at 28 percent to Trump's 20 percent.
In the introduction to a series that will look back
at the events
leading up to the election, Silver seems on the defensive somewhat, justifying his analysis of the
poll results and pointing out that he predicted Clinton would be weak with the Electoral College and that Trump might prevail.
Trump vowed
at his rally that he would win Washington state, even though the state tends to support Democrats and that party's nominee, Hillary Clinton,
leads by large margins
in opinion
polls ahead of the Nov. 8 election.
Bad news (for markets,
at least) is that ND's
lead is razor thin — just 0.5 percent ahead of SYRIZA
in the exit
polls.
In the category of «Well, that... didn't... work out,»
leading Tea Party Republican Ted Cruz, who has been
at the forefront of the shutdown and debt ceiling offensive, commissioned a
poll.
In the first wave of exit
polls that came out
at 12:00 PM ET, the pro-bailout, conservative New Democracy party held a razor thin 0.5 %
lead over the leftist SYRIZA party.
At press time, their
poll showed «honest»
in the
lead with about 11,000 more votes.
Public opinion
polling during the summer of 2008 placed the Conservatives and Liberals
in a virtual dead heat,
leading most to speculate
at the time that if an election were held there would be a third minority government.
Cordray, most recently the director of the federal Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, was up 28 % -13 % after the previous
poll showed a smaller 23 % -16 % Cordray
lead, although a huge number of undecideds means the race could break
in unexpected ways
at the end.
Hillary Clinton's
lead over Donald Trump
in the
polls has decreased
in recent weeks, with a recent RCP survey putting the Democrat
at 47 per cent and the Republican
at 45 per cent.
The pledge to freeze energy prices received wide support
in post-election
polling, and when it comes to which party would be better
at increasing people's living standards, Miliband and his party have a
lead (albeit, a narrow two - point one) over Cameron and the Conservatives.
Betty Ann Canizio - Aqil, a Board of Elections chief clerk
in Brooklyn, is expected to be suspended after a vote by the board's commissioners — the second BOE official to be suspended over New York's primary day snafu that
led many voters to be turned away
at the
polls.
A Quinnipiac University
poll released yesterday showed Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump with commanding double - digit
leads in the upcoming New York state primary, with Clinton taking 53 percent of the vote to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders» 40 percent, and Trump winning 55 percent — far ahead of the No. 2 candidate, Ohio Gov. John Kasich,
at 20 percent.
For instance, the most recent
poll in the table above suggests
at least a 6 - point popular vote share
lead.
While she commands
leads in the opinion
polls her party will follow her,
at least for now.
Now, with less than 100 days until election day, we have an opportunity to take advantage of our strong position and solidify our
lead in the fundraising race and
at the
polls.
This measure is worth looking
at in more detail as voting intention
polls led many forecasters astray
in 2015.
The YouGov
poll recording a healthy
lead over Owen Smith points clearly to him winning when the result's announced
in Liverpool
at the start of the party's annual conference.
The Fixed - term Parliaments Act (FTPA) was introduced by the Conservative - Liberal coalition government
in 2011, primarily to prevent David Cameron, the prime minister
at the time, from seizing on the first significant
poll lead for the Conservatives to call an early election and win a Conservative majority.
At a campaign stop
in the Capital Region this afternoon, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand did not have much to say about her slipping
lead over her Republican challengers, according to the latest Siena
Poll.
In calling the snap election at this point, Theresa May has put a lot of confidence in her projected lead in the poll
In calling the snap election
at this point, Theresa May has put a lot of confidence
in her projected lead in the poll
in her projected
lead in the poll
in the
polls.
Pasok is
in turmoil as its 43 %
at the 2009 elections has now dropped to around 11 %
in the opinion
polls, with voters blaming the Papandreou -
led government for its handling of the deep crisis even more than they blame New Democracy which was
in power and increased the deficit substantially from 2004 - 2009.
While
polls indicate Hillary Clinton would be the overwhelming frontrunner if she runs for president
in 2016, a CNN / ORC International
Poll conducted
in November shows that if the former Secretary of State passes on a second White House bid, Biden would be the
leading contender
in the Democratic primary with 43 %, with Cuomo coming
in next
at 15 %.
He
polled 1000 people by telephone
in each of 16 different seats (15 Labour seats with 2010
leads over the SNP of
at least 33 points but often 40 points or more; and 2 Lib Dem seats — Gordon and Inverness).
In a number of Labour targets, constituency
polls and local election results suggest the party simply does not have enough of a
lead (and sometimes none
at all) over the Conservative incumbent.
According to recent
polls, DioGuardi
leads the three - way Republican Primary, and keeps Senator Gillibrand
at 43 % — very low for an incumbent —
in a Quinnipiac
Poll.
After yesterday's Channel 4 News
poll showing plummeting Conservative support
in key marginal seats,
leading Tory lobbyist Peter Bingle emails colleagues to describe his «despair»
at his party's election campaign.
Jeremy Corbyn and his party performed poorly elsewhere
in the 2017 local elections and with a large Conservative
poll lead, the Tories expected to make large gains
in the area
at the general election.
Facing each other eight days before the November election, as Schneiderman's
lead over Donovan narrowed
in the
polls, tensions
at the WAMC studios
in Albany were high.
As Paul
led all his opponents
in pre-Primary
polls, they each targeted him for attack, slinging mud
at him for the support he received from an organization he legally could not control.
In 1992, the
polls predicted a Labour
lead only for the Conservatives to win a majority
at election day.
I arrive
at that figure by taking the current CON - LAB
lead of 7 %
in the latest
polls and adding an expected 2.5 % underestimate
in the Conservative
lead over Labour based on my analysis of historical
polling errors.
Both Teachout and Faso
led by
at least 30 points
in polling ahead of their respective primaries.
In the weeks
leading up to the result I conducted some
polling to compare the views of Labour members and union supporters with those of voters who moved away from the party
at the last election.
Yet, just one point ahead
at present, Labour have not enjoyed as much as a five point
lead in the
polls since last April, while the Conservatives have not been seven points ahead since shortly after the last election.
At 17 points the SNP lead is actually rather less than the 24 point one in a poll conducted by Survation at almost the same time, but published shortly before Christma
At 17 points the SNP
lead is actually rather less than the 24 point one
in a
poll conducted by Survation
at almost the same time, but published shortly before Christma
at almost the same time, but published shortly before Christmas.
From a
lead in the
polling of about 10 %
at the start of the official campaign
in June, Yes closed the gap to low single figures by the election day
in September.
In the 19th District, for example, where Faso
led Teachout by a single point
at the end of last month, a Time Warner Cable News / Siena College
poll showed Trump was
leading by 5 points.
Depending on which opinion
poll you happen to believe either the No or Yes to AV campaigns are
in the
lead at the moment.
At present, he
leads his Clinton - backing Democratic challenger, Southhampton Town Supervisor Anna Throne - Holst,
in the
polls.
Regardless of how big a
lead Labour has
in the
polls — and trust me that
lead is not nearly as big as it should be
at this stage of a Parliament — Ed Miliband and Ed Balls still trail David Cameron and George Osborne when it comes to the question of economic competency.
Labour have a good
lead in the
polls and my expectation is that it will get bigger
in the coming months, Ed Miliband has the strategic choice of whether to gamble on the coalition remaining unpopular and just hammering away
at the cuts and reaping the rewards of opposing them, or using the luxury of a
poll lead to reposition Labour to a more opportune position should the economy improve and the cuts not be a disaster.
After the YouGov
poll at the weekend showed a narrowing
in the Tory
lead to 7 %, there is a new Populus
poll in tomorrow's Times, which shows Labour flatlining on 30 % and a slight increase
in the Conservative
lead to 13 %.
While the New York Times / Siena College
poll indicates Quinn
in the
lead, it was a different story
in a Quinnipiac University survey released
at the beginning of the week.
A new YouGov
poll for tomorrow's People newspaper shows the Tory
lead remaining
at 18 %,
in line with the most recent YouGov / Daily Telegraph
poll from earlier this week:
According to him, Akufo - Addo had several consultations after he was rejected
at the
polls in 2012 about his chances of
leading the NPP as its flag bearer
in the 2016 elections and was told to drop his ambition but he arrogantly rubbished it.
In the constituencies surveyed, Labour lead the voting intention poll, at 38 %, three point ahead of the Tories at 35 % with the Lib Dems in third at 21
In the constituencies surveyed, Labour
lead the voting intention
poll,
at 38 %, three point ahead of the Tories
at 35 % with the Lib Dems
in third at 21
in third
at 21 %.
Slightly over half of eligible Labor Party primary voters cast ballots
in the party's leadership primaries by the time
polls closed
at 10 p.m. Thursday, already
leading to worries
in Yachimovich's camp that the low turnout could unseat her.