Yet, just one point ahead at present, Labour have not enjoyed as much as a five point
lead in the polls since last April, while the Conservatives have not been seven points ahead since shortly after the last election.
This is the first Conservative
lead in a poll since that brief narrowing in mid-May.
National Republicans think a victory by McDonnell, who has
led in every poll since June, would resonate well beyond Virginia because it would show that although many new, suburban voters have backed Democrats in recent elections, they're not wedded to the party.
The nine point lead is the largest Conservative
lead in any poll since May 1992, and the largest lead in a MORI poll since January 1989 (although MORI polls prior ro 2003 aren't really comparable).
Not exact matches
Since the candidates last met, the GOP nomination fight has been marked first by businessman Cain's rise
in national
polls and then the firestorm over accusations that he sexually harassed women during his time
leading the National Restaurant Association
in the 1990s.
Since then, however, the «Brown bounce» that
led the prime minister's advisers to urge him to call a snap election has disappeared as Labour slumps 13 points behind the Tories
in the
polls.
The SNP have had double digit
leads over Labour
in all the opinion
polls since October, with the majority, including the three most recent
polls, showing 20 +
leads.
The Conservatives have seen a double - digit
lead over Labour
in the
polls being dramatically cut
since the bailout of banks by the government
in October, the announcement of a # 20 billion fiscal stimulus by the prime minister and a 2.5 per cent cut
in the rate of VAT.
The
poll will be welcome news for the Conservatives, marking their best ICM result
since they won a three - point
lead in March 2012, just before the «omnishambles» Budget triggered a wave of government errors and hammered the Tories» reputation for competence.
I recall the same paper and company produced a similarly misleading
poll in 1997, finding the Conservatives just 5 % behind Labour 10 days before John Major
led the Tories to their worst defeat
since Waterloo, Tony Blair securing a 179 - seat majority.
The three point Labour
lead is the smallest recorded
in a YouGov
poll since January and confirms the narrowing of the Labour
lead we saw
in YouGov's immediate post budget
poll.
Unlike ICM and YouGov's
polls since the budget, there is no obvious Conservative leap here,
in fact, their
lead over Labour has narrowed and they are back under 40 %.
Since the Scottish referendum we've had Scottish
polls from MORI, Panelbase, YouGov and Survation and they've been consistent
in showing large
leads for the SNP over Labour
in Westminster voting intentions.
As Hillary Clinton opened up double - digit
leads in several national
polls, it became possible to imagine Democratic control of both houses of Congress — and with it, actual legislative gains on progressive priorities for the first time
since 2010.
In the first
poll released
since two candidates emerged from Louisiana's jungle primary for governor, state House Minority Leader John Bel Edwards, a Democrat, holds a serious
lead over Republican Sen. David Vitter.
The Labour leader needs to remind himself of this fact and also bear
in mind that he can't afford to lose his bloc of ex-Lib Dem voters, who have ensured his party has had a
poll lead since 2010 and who won't be keen on an opposition that brings back the nasty «British jobs for British workers» rhetoric of the New Labour days.
The MORI
poll either reflected a remarkable turnaround for the SNP — showing Labour's
lead dropping by 11 points
in the constituency section
since the previous MORI
poll — or a rogue
poll.
In an election widely touted as the most smoothly held Ghanaian election since 1992, the NDC was walloped in both the presidential and parliamentary polls by their arch-rivals, the Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo - Addo led New Patriotic Party (NPP
In an election widely touted as the most smoothly held Ghanaian election
since 1992, the NDC was walloped
in both the presidential and parliamentary polls by their arch-rivals, the Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo - Addo led New Patriotic Party (NPP
in both the presidential and parliamentary
polls by their arch-rivals, the Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo - Addo
led New Patriotic Party (NPP).
According to Ghanapoliticsonline, they have conducted three different
polls since July this year with latest one as recent as 1st December 2016 where
in all the three different
polls, John Dramani Mahama has been
in the
lead with a relatively huge gap between him and the opposition NPP's twice defeated flagbearer Nana Akufo Addo.
It may be that UKIP have managed to open up a
lead in Thanet South
since November, but there were also substantial methodological differences between the two
polls — the new Survation
poll prompted using the candidates names, which may well have helped Nigel Farage as the most well known of the candidates.
Clinton (54 percent) expanded her
lead over Trump (30 percent) by 4 percentage points
in the Empire State
since the last Siena
poll of likely voters
in mid-September.
Her backing from Labour supporters remains solid
in the new
poll — at 37 per cent — and she has
led the race
since the series of
polls began.
It has now been more than a year
since Labour
led in an ICM / Guardian
poll, while their faltering popularity has been confirmed by successive surveys.
Eddie Izzard was the
leading candidate
in the last
poll but has
since said he won't stand
in 2016.
A Quinnipiac
poll conducted
in the Sunshine State earlier this month indicated Clinton's
leads over Bush, Rubio, Paul, Christie, Ryan and Cruz had slightly increased
since the beginning of the year.
I always urge some amount of caution with great big shifts
in support, but
in this case we have already seen Labour increasing their support into the mid 30s and the Lib Dems dropping into the mid-teens with YouGov's daily
polling, so while it's not to the same degree (this is the smallest Conservative
lead any
poll since the election has shown), the trends are
in the same direction.
At the moment the Conservatives are ahead
in the opinion
polls — amongst some of the pollsters it is their first
lead since the fuel strikes.
Today's Guardian leader says» With the sole exception of September 2000,
in the aftermath of the tanker drivers» fuel protest, this is the first ICM
poll since January 1993
in which the Conservatives have
led Labour.»
In actual fact it's the first ICM poll to show a Tory lead since... er... a week and a half ago in the Sunday Telegrap
In actual fact it's the first ICM
poll to show a Tory
lead since... er... a week and a half ago
in the Sunday Telegrap
in the Sunday Telegraph.
Populus tend to show the smallest Labour
lead of the main pollsters, and their Tory
lead was as low as this as recently as October, but the drop
in the Conservative share of the vote is more notable — they have been steady on 36 % for the last four Populus
polls, and this is their lowest level of support
since prior to the local elections.
For example, last week's YouGov / Sunday Times
poll, showing a ten - point Conservative
lead, the highest
since January, could have been dismissed as a rogue
poll, had it not extended a trend detected earlier
in the week, with the Tory
lead growing steadily from four points to eight points
in the days following Alistair Darling's Budget.
The eleven point
lead for Labour
in the capital represents a swing of 4.5 points to Labour
since the election, suggesting a smaller swing to Labour than
in the country as a whole (it would be the equivalent of a 2 point national Labour
lead), and significantly less than YouGov's recent London
polls.
In yesterday's Sunday Times / YouGov
poll, Labour
leads by 11 points — much the same as its
leads since last March.
This is the lowest score our daily
polling has given to the Conservatives
since the General Election (although we have recorded a higher Labour
lead in the meantime, on days when there was lower support for the Liberal Democrats or minor parties).
The Tories» majority
in Corby at the last election was 1,951 but
since then Labour has established a solid
poll lead.
A drop of 3 points
in Labour's
lead, across 3 different
polls suggests something has changed
since the Autumn Statement.
Underlying party support
in Britain is pretty stable — if you graph opinion
polls over the last couple of years it's clear that the only events that have actually shifted political support have been David Cameron's election as Conservative leader, which moved the Labour and Conservative parties pretty much neck and neck, and the week prior to the local elections when Labour was hit by both John Prescott's affair and the foreign prisoner release scandal,
since when the Conservatives have had a consistent
lead.
(CNN)-- A new
poll in the race to fill the Connecticut U.S. Senate seat being vacated by independent Sen. Joe Lieberman shows the party frontrunners increasing their
leads since the last survey
in March.
Cruz confuses weather and climate Trump jumped to the head of the pack
in Saturday's
poll,
leading in Iowa for the first time
since August with 28 percent of likely Republican caucusgoers.
Udall has
led Schaffer
in most
polls since the race began last summer and recent results put him ahead by high single digits, though roughly a quarter of Colorado's voters remain undecided.
Steve Carell has maintained his top 3 consistency
since the beginning of the
poll and with word that he'll most likely stay
in lead those numbers should stay strong.
also pointed to election jitters ahead of New Zealand's September 23 elections
since the Labour and National parties that currently
lead in the
polls both have policies that may be seen as negative for the Kiwi.