It appears the global economy may be moving ever closer to the the dreaded double - dip recession.The premier
leading economic indicator in the U.S., the ECRI Weekly Leading Indicator (WLI), now stands at a level that foreshadowed the past 7 downturns, observes David Rosenberg, chief economist with Glushkin Sheff + Associates.
Not exact matches
Leading economic indicators from the Conference Board point to minor stress
in the U.S. economy, but not another recession.
THE proposed large increases
in global steel production
in WA have been welcomed by the Australian gas industry as a
leading indicator of improved metals demand and a sign of
economic recovery
in the North East Asian markets.
Hotel demand can be forecast using several
leading and coincident
economic indicators, including GDP growth, corporate profits, wage growth, employment growth
in the leisure and hospitality sectors, and airline / vehicle miles.
Needless to say, the rise
in the «
leading indicators» is not a valid indication of an upturn
in my view, apart from the fact that statistically, the
leading indicators are fairly poor predictors of
economic turns anyway.
Eurostat stated that eurozone unemployment was 10.9 %
in July, the first time it fell below 11 % since February 2012, while a range of
leading indicators (such as the Markit composite purchasing managers» index, the European Commission's
Economic Sentiment Index and money supply data) suggest growth has continued apace
in the third quarter.
In that position he served as spokesman on the Chinese business cycle and was a designer of The Conference Board
Leading Economic Index for China ®, a widely - followed, market - moving economic in
Economic Index for China ®, a widely - followed, market - moving
economic in
economic indicator.
And stocks were positive 6 out of the past 9 times
in the year
leading up to the start of a recession, dispelling the myth that the stock market always acts as a
leading indicator of
economic activity.
The latest round of OECD Composite
Leading Indicators was just released, and given how useful these indicators can be in shedding light on the state of the economic cycle (and market cycle) it's worth taking a look at the trends within
Indicators was just released, and given how useful these
indicators can be in shedding light on the state of the economic cycle (and market cycle) it's worth taking a look at the trends within
indicators can be
in shedding light on the state of the
economic cycle (and market cycle) it's worth taking a look at the trends within the data.
The
Leading Economic Index is a monthly publication from the Conference Board that attempts to predict future movements in the economy based on a composite of 10 economic indicators whose changes tend to precede changes in the overall
Economic Index is a monthly publication from the Conference Board that attempts to predict future movements
in the economy based on a composite of 10
economic indicators whose changes tend to precede changes in the overall
economic indicators whose changes tend to precede changes
in the overall economy.
On the
economic front, I believe that the most consistent interpretation of the data is that of an economy that is generally deteriorating, but where the weakness
in leading indicators hasn't filtered through to the most lagging ones.
In our equity portfolios, we will therefore continue to steer clear of European companies that are exposed to both further dollar depreciation and the growth - trend reversal signalled by any number of
leading economic indicators.
In the analysis, a long history of data over a number of different
economic and market cycles is usually required to identify the key factors and
leading indicators that can predict relative performance.
Suffice it to say that the improvement
in new unemployment claims strikes me as a legitimately hopeful development, but there is too much short - term noise, and inconsistency with other
economic evidence (reliable
leading indicators, falling tax withholdings) to draw a convincing signal.
If I were to take all the
leading economic indicators as evidence of my own mood I would say they we are
in a depression.
Mr Ebenezer Hammah, an Engineer and the Chief Executive Officer of McHammah Engineering, said
in practical terms, good
economic indicators must
lead to a reduction
in prices of raw materials for industries.
Center for Science, Technology and Innovation
Indicators and Human Sciences Research Council, March 2014 (South Africa workforce); Women
in Science, UNESCO Institute for Statistics (gender);
Leading the Way: Increasing the Diversity of the Science Workforce: Project Two: Exploring the Impact of Socio -
Economic Background on Careers
in Science, by TBR.
Leading indicator: An
economic indicator or signal that is
in the forefront of changes
in economic activity.
While the stock market is a
leading economic indicator, the bond market reveals what actually happens
in the current economy.
NFP is considered a
leading indicator of employment, which
in turn is a
leading indicator of overall
economic health
in the U.S. Currently, as the U.S. economy attempts to gain solid footing after the financial debacle of the last few years, NFP holds extreme importance since employment is a major problem right now.
Overall, my impression is that the near - term dynamics of the market are likely to be dominated by this sort of speculative trend following activity - primarily because it will probably still take another 4 - 8 weeks until sensitive coincident
economic measures (such as ISM figures and new claims for unemployment) begin to predictably reflect the deterioration we've seen
in various composites of
leading indicators.
Home prices are generally considered a
leading economic indicator since a drop
in housing prices implies excess demand and houses being overvalued.
In the early stages of
economic growth degradation and pollution increase, but beyond some level of income per capita (which will vary for different
indicators) the trend reverses, so that at high - income levels
economic growth
leads to environmental improvement.
[16] NEMS is used by the Energy Information Administration (EIA)
in the Department of Energy as well as various nongovernmental organizations for a variety of purposes, including forecasting the effects of energy policy changes on a plethora of
leading economic indicators.
«The SARB
Leading Indicator has been pointing upwards for some months, and the Barclays Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index, a useful high frequency
indicator of
economic direction has also moved back into «expansionary» territory
in recent months.
In the year 2000, Dr. Blitzer was named to SmartMoney magazine's distinguished list of the 30 most influential people in the world of investing, which ranked him seventh, and in the year 1998, Dr. Blitzer was named the nation's top economist, receiving the Blue Chip Economic Forecasting Award for most accurately predicting the country's leading economic indicators for four years in a ro
In the year 2000, Dr. Blitzer was named to SmartMoney magazine's distinguished list of the 30 most influential people
in the world of investing, which ranked him seventh, and in the year 1998, Dr. Blitzer was named the nation's top economist, receiving the Blue Chip Economic Forecasting Award for most accurately predicting the country's leading economic indicators for four years in a ro
in the world of investing, which ranked him seventh, and
in the year 1998, Dr. Blitzer was named the nation's top economist, receiving the Blue Chip Economic Forecasting Award for most accurately predicting the country's leading economic indicators for four years in a ro
in the year 1998, Dr. Blitzer was named the nation's top economist, receiving the Blue Chip
Economic Forecasting Award for most accurately predicting the country's leading economic indicators for four years i
Economic Forecasting Award for most accurately predicting the country's
leading economic indicators for four years i
economic indicators for four years
in a ro
in a row.
While recent
economic reports suggest that home building took a pause at the beginning of 2013,
leading indicators point to more growth for housing
in the months ahead.
Long ones, according to the Conference Board, whose index of
leading economic indicators (including jobless claims) continued to perk up
in February
in the biggest increase
in nearly a year.
Overall housing and
economic activity
in metro markets across the nation remained on a gradual, upward trend
in the fourth quarter of 2017 even as permit activity remained a stubbornly lagging
indicator, according to the NAHB / First American
Leading Markets Index (LMI) released today.