Think of
this less as a prediction and more of a state of the union.
Not exact matches
For sites on the left end of the Social Longevity Spectrum search is much
less important
as users tend to rely on an ever - refreshing ticker of content based on who they follow in conjunction with their recommendation engines (this concept was discussed in length in my content marketing
predictions post).
SEE MORE: Watch: England's Unofficial Euro 2016 Song — «Gon na Win The Euros», made for
less than # 20 Euro 2016 Tips: Top 5 Free Bets Offers Getting Punters in a Frenzy
as Tournament Set For Kick Off Euro 2016
predictions part 6: England's star man — shouts for five Tottenham stars & Arsenal rival
As well as these big more main stream bets we will also pick out a correct score prediction for each game as well as a first goal scorer prediction, these are higher odds and less likely to come in but long term we feel could make a good profi
As well
as these big more main stream bets we will also pick out a correct score prediction for each game as well as a first goal scorer prediction, these are higher odds and less likely to come in but long term we feel could make a good profi
as these big more main stream bets we will also pick out a correct score
prediction for each game
as well as a first goal scorer prediction, these are higher odds and less likely to come in but long term we feel could make a good profi
as well
as a first goal scorer prediction, these are higher odds and less likely to come in but long term we feel could make a good profi
as a first goal scorer
prediction, these are higher odds and
less likely to come in but long term we feel could make a good profit.
Yet, just
as Ukip did a little worse than some
predictions, so the others suffered
less badly than first appeared.
My
prediction draws on the Labour List poll of Labour Party members
as the basis for the CLP
prediction except that I think that the Labour List sample is likely to be slightly biased towards the Centre - Right of the party and I therefore give both Abbott and Balls slightly more and David Miliband slightly
less.
Predictions about drought and hurricanes becoming more frequent are seen
as less certain now than they were thought to be in 2007
Although Sunday sees her work
as laying the groundwork for
less pessimistic
predictions of the future fate of marine life, not everyone agrees that the approach is realistic.
«We can say that the amount of energy emitted by each burst
as neutrinos is
less than a certain amount, which can then be compared to
predictions from individual theories,» Vandenbroucke explains.
Since the window for successful fertilization can be
as short
as a day or
less, you also need accurate
prediction as the time of ovulation draws close.
CAPTAIN PHILLIPS»S Best Adapted Screenplay win proves
less of a reliable
prediction for the Academy Awards,
as its biggest contender in this category, 12 YEARS A SLAVE, was not eligible for the WGA award.
More fun is in store
as they talk some
lesser - known Bond rumors, start to keep track of each others» box office
predictions, read a listener email and chew through some DVD and Blu - ray recommendations.
While a poor history counts against you, so does having little credit history
as it makes
predictions less certain.
Similarly, FICO classifies other factors
as less important, but still relevant to credit
predictions.
Moreover, the results can not be dismissed
as aberrations... Surveying these scores across regions, time periods, and outcome variables, we find support for one of the strongest debunking
predictions: it is impossible to find any domain in which humans clearly outperformed crude extrapolation algorithms,
less still sophisticated statistical ones.
Yet we know well that our current flooding
predictions will be entirely obsolete in
less than two decades,
as thousands of miles of coastlines are slowly claimed by rising seas, due both to coastal subsidence and global warming.
An alternative along these lines which seems fairly popular nowadays is known
as Bayesian calculus, where if a given theory is viewed
as relatively unlikely but makes a
prediction which is also seen
as highly improbable (given the rest of what we believe we know) the theory is viewed
as more likely and the alternatives to it which predicted something else are viewed
as less likely, including the alternative which was dominant.
Note well, if the climate remains flat, AR6 is going to reduce sensitivity to
less than 2 C just
as AR5 is dropping it well below 3C — nobody believes the extreme
predictions any more.
The Global Warming Speedometer for January 2001 to June 2016 shows observed warming on the HadCRUT4 and NCEI surface temperature datasets
as below IPCC's least
prediction in 1990 and somewhat on the low side of its 1995 and 2001
predictions, while the satellite datasets show
less warming than all IPCC
predictions from 1990 to 2001.
Even worse, if the models produce
less natural variability, even if their
prediction does not change one jot, they will be reported
as «more skillful» by this type of analysis.
Current global multi-decadal
predictions are unable to skillfully simulate regional forcing by major atmospheric circulation features such
as from El Niño and La Niña and the South Asian monsoon, much
less changes in the statistics of these climate features.
Future coupling of demography with existing global land model
predictions could enable assessment of these potentially important die - off responses [44],
as well
as implementation of more realistic reductions in tree loss to drive scenarios (i.e., enabling assessments of ecological changes
less drastic or occurring on shorter time - scales than conversion from forest to grassland biomes).
As to your comments above, the trend of course s to get less and less specific as prediction after prediction bites the dus
As to your comments above, the trend of course s to get
less and
less specific
as prediction after prediction bites the dus
as prediction after
prediction bites the dust.
Pekka you write «
As every
prediction is always based on a model of some kind, we may well judge it prudent to pick one or several of the
less than perfectly validated models to make one or more
predictions»
Girma, you are on the right track... except that the graph you present shows the
prediction as a range from 0.7 to 1.0; and it can be tested at 2025, which is
less than twenty years away.
Some
predictions show that in the decades to come, more of California's mountain precipitation will fall
as rain and
less as snow.
It also predicts the reverse (lack of condensation where u ∇ p = 0), but the latter
prediction is
less informative
as it does not specify the scale at which this lack of condensation should be manifested (it can be very narrow).
Even though it is hard to predict individual rainstorms in California and their local impacts months or seasons ahead, the model
predictions still have better chance to determine whether on average the next year will have drier or wetter soil conditions
as well
as more or
less wildfire probability.
When you imply that the goodness of a model's
predictions can be assessed from a sample of a size that is
less than or equal to 2, it sounds
as though you are a believer in the law of small numbers.
There is currently
less skill in predicting precipitation and other variables compared to temperature although progress is expected to be made
as a consequence of the Decadal Climate
Prediction Project (DCPP) and other projects and investigations.
Predictions at longer timescales, such
as 10 or 20 yr are also found to be
less skillful, given the observed multidecadal variability.
So
as the 21st century progresses, the assumption may provide
less high quality
predictions.
assuming what you say about skeptics changing topic
as you describe is accurate, and at this point I do we are talking about data that is
less than 200 years old, out of which extraordinary claims are made
as to how that data relates to distant past and future trends tough sell assuming that all adjustments to the data are scientifically sound, It is very difficult for me to believe that measurements that have gone through so many iterations can be trusted to.0 and.00 in most other sciences, I doubt they would tough sell (the photo of the thermometer is downright funny) in terms of goal post moving I observe predicted heat being re-branded
as «missing» a
prediction of no snow re-branded
as more snow a warming world re-branded to a «warm, cold, we don't know what to expect» world topped off with suggestions that one who thinks the above has some sort of psychological disorder extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence especially when you are teaching children that their world is endangered
However, I disagree with your
prediction vis a vis the crocodile tears — to shed them (much
less admit to them) the MoB would have to shed his cloak of aristocratic superiority
as well.
I simply compared IPCC
predictions with observations
as an example of how to do a verification, which is standard practice in the atmospheric sciences, but much
less so in the climate modeling community (and yes, I think this is indeed the case).
(1) A «business
as usual» approach based on
predictions from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations; this scenario was used
as the reference point for the study (2) A «healthy global diets» scenario in which people adopt the global dietary guidelines for healthy eating and consume just enough calories to maintain a healthy body weight; it includes at least 5 servings of fruits and vegetables,
less than 50g of sugar, and a max of 43g of meat daily (3) A vegetarian diet that includes eggs and dairy, 6 servings of fruits and vegetables, and 1 portion of pulses (4) A completely plant - based vegan diet, with 7 servings of fruits and vegetables and 1 portion of pulses
As the tool now provides a
prediction and a range, a mere list of cases is
less useful.
Less than a month after I ranked «Constitutional Challenges to the Tory Crime Agenda»
as my number two
prediction - to - watch for in my 2012 Crime & Punishment column, an Ontario Superior Court has launched the first salvo in the resurgent war against mandatory minimum sentences.
The latest report is in line with recent
predictions that IoT devices such
as smart speakers are likely to become significantly more expensive in the coming years
as their growing power requirements push manufacturers into equipping them with more capable hardware, thus making them
less reliant on cloud processing but also increasing their production costs which will be passed on to consumers.
And (6) even if these
predictions can be confirmed, it is theoretically,
as well
as empirically, not clear, if the attachment to the romantic partner suffers from the attachment bonds to the siblings depending on sibling type (i.e., the attachment to the romantic partner is strongest to the non-twin siblings, but
less strong to DZ and MZ twins; MZ < DZ < NT).