Not exact matches
The
house -
price bubble, combined with record
levels of household debt, represent the biggest threat facing the Canadian economy; the sooner real - estate markets mellow and Canadians lower their debt burdens, the better.
A parade of reports and experts explained away high
house prices and debt
levels with many of the same arguments we hear today in Canada — yes,
prices are way up compared to rents, but the analysis is built on flawed data; debt
levels are high, but so are
house prices, which minimizes the risk; America's demographics support the boom; and then the classic: There'll be a soft landing.
Pretty much from his first statements as governor in 2013 — that's about $ 100,000 ago in real estate appreciation terms — through to last week when the bank released its latest financial system review, Poloz has walked a tightrope between admitting that elevated
house prices and debt
levels pose a risk to the economy, and assuring Canadians that the likelihood of a crash is actually pretty low.
No. 1:
Housing doomsayers argue that when interest rates rise from their currently low
levels, it'll take away the credit punch bowl and cause
house prices to tumble.
On the other hand, leaving the interest rate low encourages the kind of borrowing and spending that has produced record - high
levels of consumer debt in Canada and pushed
housing prices into the stratosphere.
«International research has found that highly indebted households cut back their spending to a greater degree in response to declining
house prices than those with lower debt levels,» he said in a letter to the House finance committee this m
house prices than those with lower debt
levels,» he said in a letter to the
House finance committee this m
House finance committee this month.
UK
house prices should, however, continue to be supported by an ongoing shortage of property for sale, low
levels of housebuilding, and exceptionally low interest rates.
«County and ZIP code
level data suggest that areas with long commute times — which benefit disproportionally from lower gasoline
prices — have experienced a boost in their labor and
housing markets relative to other locations,» Shan and Pandl wrote.
In its latest statement, it said «household vulnerabilities have moved higher,» which is how policy makers describe the troubling nexus between excessive
housing prices in many cities and record
levels of household debt.
Housing prices continue to recover, and small businesses are going strong, with increasingly adequate
levels of capital.
Similarly, some will point to high
levels of inflation, but breaking China inflation down into food, non food and
housing (see chart below; white line - food, orange line - non food, yellow line - rents), a big part of non-food makes it pretty clear that food is beginning to turn for its own reasons, while
house prices and rents really are falling out of bed.
TORONTO, August 30, 2016 - Soaring
housing prices in Vancouver and Toronto continued to squeeze housing affordability at the national level in the second quarter, even though affordability was close to historical norms in most other Canadian markets, according to the Housing Trends and Affordability Report issued today by RBC Economics Re
housing prices in Vancouver and Toronto continued to squeeze
housing affordability at the national level in the second quarter, even though affordability was close to historical norms in most other Canadian markets, according to the Housing Trends and Affordability Report issued today by RBC Economics Re
housing affordability at the national
level in the second quarter, even though affordability was close to historical norms in most other Canadian markets, according to the
Housing Trends and Affordability Report issued today by RBC Economics Re
Housing Trends and Affordability Report issued today by RBC Economics Research.
The Congressional Budget Office defines asset bubbles as: «An economic development in which the
price of a class of physical or financial assets (such as
houses or securities) rises to a
level that appears to be unsustainable and well above the assets» value as determined by economic fundamentals.
This has been the situation in Canada for the past seven years, as reflected in increasing
levels of household indebtedness and elevated
house prices — although, as I'll discuss later, regulatory measures have been used to mitigate the resulting financial system risks (Chart 2).3
Housing data from the day before had showed US home
prices were down 4 % this year, bringing the average home value back to 2002
levels.
I believe that Canada's high
house prices in relation to incomes, combined with record household debt
levels and overinvestment in residential construction, will cause a severe correction in the real estate market.
This brings me to a third plot line: that is, how we deal with the higher
level of household debt and higher
housing prices, especially in a world of more normal interest rates.
To recap, a massive
housing bubble that built up through the naughties (2000s) finally burst in 2008, feeding a financial crisis, as extremely loose (some would say fraudulent) lending practices pushed
housing prices up to spectacular, never - seen - before
levels, and created a plague -LSB-...]
In fact, Canadian median
house prices peaked this year at
levels higher than median
prices at the top of the market in the U.S.
«Major declines in
house prices and the continuing high
level of unemployment are reflected in the various measures of household debt and credit.
And by that we mean bring an end to double - digit
price gains, bring about a steep correction in
house prices to
levels the city's lowly middle - class incomes can afford, bring about an end to staggering household debt
levels and ultimately, bring about the end of
housing as the economy's engine of growth?
For a given
level of
prices, more fuel - efficient furnaces encourage larger
houses, and more fuel - efficient engines encourage larger cars.
Soaring
housing prices in Vancouver and Toronto continued to squeeze
housing affordability at the national
level in the second quarter...
2016.08.30 Canadian
Housing Affordability deteriorates the most in six years amid surging prices in hot markets: RBC Economics Soaring housing prices in Vancouver and Toronto continued to squeeze housing affordability at the national level in the second qua
Housing Affordability deteriorates the most in six years amid surging
prices in hot markets: RBC Economics Soaring
housing prices in Vancouver and Toronto continued to squeeze housing affordability at the national level in the second qua
housing prices in Vancouver and Toronto continued to squeeze
housing affordability at the national level in the second qua
housing affordability at the national
level in the second quarter...
According to the latest Real
House Price Index from First American, today's home buyers have «historically high levels of house - purchasing power.&r
House Price Index from First American, today's home buyers have «historically high
levels of
house - purchasing power.&r
house - purchasing power.»
San Jose
housing market forecasts for 2017 suggest that
prices might have reached peak
levels, and that they could
level off over the coming months.
Meanwhile, home
prices in San Diego are approaching the peak
levels reached during the last
housing bubble.
Nationally, the index (which showed 15 years of
house price increases up to its peak early in 2006) is now back to the
levels of summer 2003.
In fact, the Pleasant Hill
housing market could experience some cooling over the next year or so, with home -
price appreciation
leveling off.
The fact that
house prices in San Diego are
leveling, or even dipping slightly, is no cause for alarm.
Get a free San Diego mortgage rate quote Over the last few years, San Diego home
prices rose steadily and approached the peak
levels seen during the last
housing boom.
Over the last few years, San Diego home
prices rose steadily and approached the peak
levels seen during the last
housing boom.
They are established at the county
level and are based on median
house prices.
Despite the significant
price gains of 2016 and 2017, the Phoenix
housing market is still well below the peak
price level reached during the last
housing boom.
The
housing analysts and economists at Zillow recently predicted that home
prices within the San Diego
housing market would remain
level over the next year or so, with little to no upward movement.
Home buyers today have historically high
levels of
house - purchasing power, and that's one important reason why, even as unadjusted
house price growth exceeds household income growth, the talk of an affordability crisis is over-stated for now.»
As a result, the Fresno
housing market is expected to have a healthy
level of home -
price appreciation in 2017, while other California markets could
level off.
Still, high
housing prices and consumer - debt
levels are economic risks.
«Some people want to cash in and pull out now,» said Jay, a 26 - year veteran of the Toronto
housing market, noting some are spooked by worst - case predictions of a 20 percent drop in
prices from current
levels.
While benchmark home
prices were up from year - ago
levels in 11 of 13
housing markets tracked by the MLS
House Price Index (HPI), price trends continued to vary widely by loca
Price Index (HPI),
price trends continued to vary widely by loca
price trends continued to vary widely by location.
Australia today has so many high
level markers of a
housing market in extreme territory, one wonders how they would look after a 30 - 50 %
house price fall.
Nonetheless, Canadians trying to imagine how a broad economic downturn could play out should pay attention to what's happening on the Prairies, where high
house prices, soaring personal debt
levels and an unexpected wave of job losses proved to be a toxic mix.
While benchmark home
prices were up from year - ago
levels in 11 of 13
housing markets tracked by the MLS HPI,
price trends continued to vary widely by location.
Prices here dropped during the
housing crash of 2008 but have since
leveled off.
Lower inventory
levels have served to push
housing prices steadily higher.
It was also because these states had the highest debt
levels when
house prices crashed.
Growth has been underpinned by a number of factors, including a high
level of consumer confidence, a decline in the unemployment rate, favourable financial conditions and increases in wealth, fostered by rising
housing prices.
But then again,
housing prices were never supposed to decline on a national
level, so a good investor never says never.
Nonetheless, the higher debt
levels suggest that households may have become more vulnerable to unforeseen falls in
house prices or changes in household cash flow.
A recent forecast for the San Francisco
housing market in 2017 suggests that home
prices could
level off over the next 12 months.