Data from ice cores show little change in the atmospheric CO2
levels over millennia despite changes in land use and small emissions from humans.
The rise and fall of sea
level over the millennia, coupled with natural karst topography and clear waters, results in a diverse submarine seascape of patch reefs, fringing reefs, faros, pinnacle reefs, barrier reefs as well as off - shelf atolls, rare deep water coral reefs and other unique geological features such as the Blue Hole and Rocky Point where the barrier reef touches the shore.
Not exact matches
Jody has
over 25 years of experience in the water sector where she has been responsible for driving a range of initiatives including state water reforms under the National Water initiative, driving the momentum and integration of The Living Murray, delivery of environmental water with and on behalf of Basin states, development and implementation of a plan to avoid widespread acidification to the lower lakes of the Murray system during the
Millennium drought and identification of the sustainable
level of take to be embodied in the Murray - Darling Basin Plan.
However, Professor Stewart believes that
over a few
millennia those sea
level rises could have caused the fault system beneath and around Mount Etna to completely change in behaviour, sealing up old lava flows and ultimately forcing them to emerge elsewhere on the island.
This is distinctly alarmist... It is common ground that if indeed Greenland melted, it would release this amount of water, but only after, and
over,
millennia, so that the Armageddon scenario he predicts, insofar as it suggests that sea
level rises of 7 metres might occur in the immediate future, is not in line with the scientific consensus.
Although we will not see immediate effects by tomorrow — some of the slow processes will only respond
over centuries to
millennia — the consequences for long - term ice melt and sea
level rise could be substantial.
This would still lead to substantial climate change, with the temperature rising by 2 °C to 5 °C and the sea
level rising by 0.3 to 0.8 metres by 2100, and by 7 to 13 metres
over the next
millennium.
Some of the world's most recognisable and important landmarks could be lost to rising sea -
levels if current global warming trends are maintained
over the next two
millennia.
The IPCC's assessment of the literature, prior to our study, was that global sea -
level fluctuations
over the last 5
millennia were < ± 25 cm, and that there was no clear evidence of whether specific fluctuations seen in some regional sea
level records reflected global changes.
That estimate was based in part on the fact that sea
level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m /
millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change of ice sheet mass balance
over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
These global projections are consistent with an independent set of global projections based upon the relationship between temperature and rate of sea -
level change
over the last two
millennia.
============================= Says Steve McIntyre, commenting on the new sea
level reconstruction paper by Kemp et al at PNAS, «Climate Related sea -
level variations
over the past two
millennia»:
In one projected event, large parts of the ice sheet melt and drain into the ocean
over the next
millennia, raising global sea
levels by several tens of meters.
Over many centuries or
millennia, sea
level could rise by several metres (Section 10.7.4).
Rather, excess CO2 returns toward baseline at a multitude a different rates, with chemical equilibration in the ocean occurring
over decades (depending on depth), ocean carbonate buffering through sediment dissolution requiring centuries to
millennia, and eventual restoration of carbonate sediment
levels by terrestrial weathering occurring
over hundreds of thousands of years — a long «tail» that can account for as much as 20 to 40 percent of CO2 excess in the estimates described by David Archer et al in CO2 Atmospheric Lifetimes.
It is certainly possible and may be likely for the polar ice sheets to disappear, causing sea
level rise (SLR) of 22 + / - 10 metres
over coming
millennia.
The first is climate inertia — on very many
levels, from fossil lock - in emissions (decades), ocean - atmospheric temperature inertia (yet more decades), Earth system temperature inertia (centuries to
millennia) to ecological climate impact inertia (impacts becoming worse
over time under a constant stress)-- all this to illustrate anthropogenic climate change, although already manifesting itself, is still very much an escalating problem for the future.
Thus there is no reason the doubt the value of the ice core CO2 measurements and all observations support that dT is a limited driver of CO2
levels, from fast (3 ppmv / °C) on short term (months) to slow (8 ppmv / °C)
over millennia.
The researchers studied outcrops of sediments left behind when the lake was far larger, and used those and other markers to construct a timeline of lake
levels, and the fluctuation of rainfall
over millennia.
At the risk of oversimplifying, the effects of groundwater storage can be differentiated between shallow - aquifer effects that modulate global sea
level on year to year and decade to decade timeframes, versus deep aquifer effects that modulate sea
level trends
over centuries and
millennia.
Sea
Level: Delegates included new text on the timeframe indicating: a transition in the late 19th to early 20th century from relatively low mean rates of rise over the previous two millennia to higher rates («high confidence»); and that the rate of global mean sea level rise has «likely» (66 - 100 % probability) continued to increase since the early 20th cen
Level: Delegates included new text on the timeframe indicating: a transition in the late 19th to early 20th century from relatively low mean rates of rise
over the previous two
millennia to higher rates («high confidence»); and that the rate of global mean sea
level rise has «likely» (66 - 100 % probability) continued to increase since the early 20th cen
level rise has «likely» (66 - 100 % probability) continued to increase since the early 20th century.
A new study examining the long - term effects of sea -
level rise on the 720 spots around the world that have been designated UNESCO World Heritage Sites found that roughly 20 percent of them could be ruined if temperatures rise 5.4 degrees Fahrenheit (3 degrees Celsius) above pre-industrial
levels over the next two
millennia, said study lead author Ben Marzeion, an assistant professor at the Institute of Meteorology and Geophysics at the University of Innsbruck in Austria.
Anyway, today we try to explain the exact opposite: how northern hemisphere ice ages can quite suddenly weaken — at least in case of the last one, which had its cold peak around 18,000 years ago, after which atmospheric CO2
levels «suddenly» (
over a
millennium or so) rose by 30 per cent, and temperatures started to climb closer * to our current Holocene values.
Kemp, A. C., B. P. Horton, J. P. Donnelly, M. E. Mann, M. Vermeer, and S. Rahmstorf, 2011: Climate related sea -
level variations
over the past two
millennia.
«It is exceptionally unlikely that we would be seeing a record year, during a record warm decade, during a multi-decadal period of warmth that appears to be unrivaled
over at least the past
millennium — if it were not for the rising
levels of planet - warming gases produced by fossil fuel burning.»
It is defined as the amount of warming expected if carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations doubled from pre-industrial
levels and then remained constant until Earth's temperature reached a new equilibrium
over timescales of centuries to
millennia.
Over millennia, marine life have endured and responded to CO2
levels well beyond anything projected, and temperature changes that put coral reefs and tropical plants closer to the poles or had much of our land covered by ice more than a mile thick.
If the CO2 were to stay in the atmosphere for
millennia, why has its
level in the atmosphere not doubled in the last 15 years, or gone up tenfold - plus
over the last 100 hundred years?
That estimate was based in part on the fact that sea
level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m /
millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change of ice sheet mass balance
over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
There is medium confidence that at least partial deglaciation of the Greenland ice sheet, and possibly the West Antarctic ice sheet, would occur
over a period of time ranging from centuries to
millennia for a global average temperature increase of 1 - 4 °C (relative to 1990 - 2000), causing a contribution to sea -
level rise of 4 - 6 m or more.
Except and unless you accept the premise that all observations are completely useless because someone is able to quibble
over their details, follow through the math, compare with the original works, and you still come up with much too little error to account for the 22 % -25 % differences seen
over the past quarter
millennium and the maximum CO2
level measured in the past 60K - 85K years and extrapolated for the past 10 - 15 million years.
The reconstructed changes in sea
level over the past
millennium are consistent with past global temperatures, the researchers say, and can be determined using a model relating the rate of sea
level rise to global temperature.
«Having a detailed picture of rates of sea
level change
over the past two
millennia provides an important context for understanding current and potential future changes,» says Paul Cutler, program director in NSF's Division of Earth Sciences.
Proxy and instrumental sea
level data indicate a transition in the late 19th to the early 20th century from relatively low mean rates of rise
over the previous two
millennia to higher rates of rise (high confidence).
Sustained warming greater than some threshold would lead to the near - complete loss of the Greenland ice sheet
over a
millennium or more, causing a global mean sea -
level rise of up to 7 meters [23 feet](high confidence).
The statement, and the figure selection, emphasizes the noise in the sea
level curve's first derivative, and glosses
over the facts that (1) the rate always is positive in that period, and also the fact that (2) the total amount of sea
level rise
over the last 114 years is comparable to the total amount
over the previous two
millennia.
Based on the findings from wide - ranging studies of community variation (eg, why Aboriginal teen suicide and Aboriginal employment
levels vary hugely from band to band; why seniors die during heat waves in some neighbourhoods and not others; why some watershed communities maintain sustainable agriculture
over a
millennium while others do not; why the United States biogenetic technology industry is now concentrated in only three places, compared with thirty areas a few decades ago) there is now a strong evidentiary base revealing common underlying characteristics of groups, at the nongovernmental
level, that successfully address these challenges.