The reconstructed changes in sea
level over the past millennium are consistent with past global temperatures, the researchers say, and can be determined using a model relating the rate of sea level rise to global temperature.
Not exact matches
That estimate was based in part on the fact that sea
level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m /
millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change of ice sheet mass balance
over the
past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
============================= Says Steve McIntyre, commenting on the new sea
level reconstruction paper by Kemp et al at PNAS, «Climate Related sea -
level variations
over the
past two
millennia»:
Kemp, A. C., B. P. Horton, J. P. Donnelly, M. E. Mann, M. Vermeer, and S. Rahmstorf, 2011: Climate related sea -
level variations
over the
past two
millennia.
«It is exceptionally unlikely that we would be seeing a record year, during a record warm decade, during a multi-decadal period of warmth that appears to be unrivaled
over at least the
past millennium — if it were not for the rising
levels of planet - warming gases produced by fossil fuel burning.»
That estimate was based in part on the fact that sea
level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m /
millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change of ice sheet mass balance
over the
past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
Except and unless you accept the premise that all observations are completely useless because someone is able to quibble
over their details, follow through the math, compare with the original works, and you still come up with much too little error to account for the 22 % -25 % differences seen
over the
past quarter
millennium and the maximum CO2
level measured in the
past 60K - 85K years and extrapolated for the
past 10 - 15 million years.
«Having a detailed picture of rates of sea
level change
over the
past two
millennia provides an important context for understanding current and potential future changes,» says Paul Cutler, program director in NSF's Division of Earth Sciences.