The most commonly used method for representing lightning in global atmospheric models generally predicts
lightning increases in a warmer world.
Not exact matches
Today's climate models predict a 50 percent
increase in lightning strikes across the United States during this century as a result of
warming temperatures associated with climate change.
And since
lightning strikes are predicted to
increase in a
warming world... we may end up seeing less of the Sun itself... but more of its electrifying influence.
In the remainder, such
increases were mostly unrelated to
warming or drying trends and therefore may be due to other climate effects not explored (e.g.
lightning ignitions) or possible anthropogenic influences.
Scientists also have found that every degree of
warming sets off a 12 percent
increase in lightning activity, Flannigan says.
Regardless of the extent to which
lightning increases with
warming,
lightning damage should
increase because of its role
in igniting forest fires.
Today's climate models predict a 50 percent
increase in lightning strikes across the United States during this century as a result of
warming temperatures associated with climate change.
Compared to those problems (bias and random variation), here is a large unknown: a 2 %
increase in cloud cover would prevent the
warming effect of
increased CO2; will a 7 %
increase in water vapor pressure, or 12 %
increase in lightning ground strike rate, or a 2 % — 7 %
increase in rainfall rate be accompanied by a 2 %
increase in cloud cover?