I've already written how techniques
like backcasting can help connect vision with reality, and I think they have a wider lesson to teach — namely that bold, courageous plans are needed for the medium - to long - term, but equally those visions will not be achieved overnight.
Not exact matches
Also, I would
like to see some real validation of models rather than
backcasting and continuous adjustment.
In this chart, the red is the «
backcasting» of temperature history using climate models, the black line is the highly smoothed actuals, while the blue is a guess from the models as to what temperatures would have looked
like without manmade forcings, particularly CO2.