The increased
likelihood of extreme heat would be astounding.
But if, in addition, global warming increases the variance of regional temperatures, then we increase
the likelihood of extreme heat waves by a lot.
If we increase the mean temperature (and we already have), of course we increase
the likelihood of extreme heat waves (and we already have).
In all cases, they found that climate change played a role in increasing
the likelihood of extreme heat.
«Rather striking» climate link to Australian heat waves Because temperature extremes are easier to decipher, scientists are fairly confident that global warming increased the severity and
likelihood of extreme heat events in 2013 in Australia, New Zealand, South Korea, Japan, China and Europe.
Not exact matches
Scientists are increasingly drawing links between climate change and
extreme weather events, either increasing the
likelihood of heat waves, drought, hurricanes, heavy rainfall...
Using WBGT as a measure
of environmental conditions conducive to
heat stress, we show that anthropogenic influence has very substantially increased the
likelihood of extreme high summer mean WBGT in northern hemispheric land areas relative to the climate that would have prevailed in the absence
of anthropogenic forcing.
Already, scientists have become much less reticent in tying the
likelihood and severity
of certain
extreme events directly to global warming, particularly
heat waves.
Nevertheless, quantifying the causes
of such
extreme summer
heat and projecting its future
likelihood is necessary to develop climate adaptation strategies.