Sentences with phrase «likelihood of that particular event»

So if a standard $ 100 contract costs $ 40, the market believes the likelihood of that particular event to be around 40 %.

Not exact matches

He is far from alone, this is a giant industry led by reinsurance companies trying to place their bets properly, and, needless to say, getting repeatedly burned; who can ever calculate the likelihood of Libyas or Fukushimas — and even if you can it is the particular modalities of the unfolding event rather than the occurrence of the event itself that determine the impact and outcome.

Like the risk of an accident in a particular new class of power station, such a probability for a single future event can not be calculated objectively; it is an expression of a subjective assessment of the likelihood based on limited available knowledge.

The bookie is glad of all the publicity so isn't bothered about the profit margin on this particular event so his odds reflect the true likelihood that any particular year will win.

In particular, over NH land, an increase in the likelihood of very wet winters is projected over much of central and northern Europe due to the increase in intense precipitation during storm events, suggesting an increased chance of flooding over Europe and other mid-latitude regions due to more intense rainfall and snowfall events producing more runoff.

Further, the likelihood of tension among siblings when mothers have experienced a recent health event is greater when siblings perceive that their mothers prefer particular children as future caregivers, regardless of which child they prefer.

In this way, smart data can be utilized as a sort of snapshot of past and present events to provide perspective on the possibility of future outcomes — in particular, the likelihood of any given homeowner looking to sell their home within the next 12 months.