One tentative estimate put warming two or even three times higher than current middle - range forecasts of 3 to 4 °C based on a doubling of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, which is
likely by late this century.
Not exact matches
These higher temperatures mean Indianapolis will see a
likely increase of up to 15 additional deaths per 100,000 residents
by late century, with a 1 - in - 20 chance of more than 31 additional deaths.
There are nine, possibly ten, of these letters to the churches (Ephesians being of disputed authorship); ant three others, I ant II Timothy and Titus, called the Pastoral Epistles, may have been written
by Paul but more
likely were the work of some unknown Christian toward the close of the first
century or even
later.
A more
likely explanation was first put forward
by Wellhausen, 15 and it has been widely adopted.16 This states that the story of the discovery of the empty tomb ends with these strange words in order to explain to readers why, as
late as the mid-first
century, they had never heard of this story before.
This implies that future stratospheric cooling, induced
by an increase in the anthropogenic carbon dioxide burden, is
likely to enhance denitrification and to delay until
late in the next
century the return of Arctic stratospheric ozone to preindustrial values.
The urn most
likely graced a luxuriant garden or opulent villa owned
by one of Petra's wealthy residents and
later served as a ritual cleansing basin at a Byzantine church destroyed
by fire in the sixth
century A.D.
The height of exploration may have occurred at the peak of cooling: Starting in the
late 16th
century, a series of volcanic eruptions
likely chilled the Northern Hemisphere
by as much as 1.8 degrees Celsius below the long - term average, White says.
Further warming will not only «very
likely» drive further such changes but also
likely intensify droughts and tropical cyclones
by late in the
century, at least in the western North Pacific and North Atlantic.
Since October 2015, staff with CAU have found five roundhouses that
likely date to 900 B.C.E. (The older posts appear to have belonged to a causeway across the river that had fallen into disrepair
by the time the houses were built several
centuries later.)
In its
latest assessment report published in 2007, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said that
by the end of the
century sea level rise was most
likely to be between 28 and 43 cm.
It found that the number of storms
later in the
century is
likely to drop, while intensity could slightly strengthen and the amount of rainfall around storms — as was found in an earlier analysis led
by Dr. Knutson — would substantially rise.
Now how long would that take to get to, say, a 60m rise, once we've reached 6C warming — IF we do reach that, which could happen soonest
by 2100, but more
likely in a
century later, IF we don't mitigate drastically.
The
latest IPCC report on climate change notes that our society will
likely need net negative emissions
by the end of the
century to avoid a 2 degree C warming.
A «megadrought»
likely will occur
late in this
century, and it could last for three decades, according to a new report
by Cornell and NASA researchers in the journal Science Advances (Feb. 12), an online publication of the American Association for the Advancement of Science.
Considering all the short - term factors identified
by the scientific community that acted to slow the rate of global warming over the past two decades (volcanoes, ocean heat uptake, solar decreases, predominance of La Niñas, etc.) it is
likely the temperature increase would have accelerated in comparison to the
late 20th
Century increases.
Achieving a binding agreement
by Paris next year in order to prevent runaway climate change
later this
century is looking far less
likely than when we arrived in Lima at the end of November.
Schmidt assumes it did but the PDO record suggests that it
likely did not, in which case Schmidt's argument that
late -
century warming must have been caused
by CO2 collapses.
«Climate science» as it is used
by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of temperature in the 20th and 21st
centuries is unprecedented compared to the rates of change of temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th
century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5) global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates in the 21st
century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level
by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the
late 19th
century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050
by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is
likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm
by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
Nevertheless, it seems
likely that a CO2 concentration in the range 500 to 900 ppm might produce a temperature rise of at least 2 °C from the
late 19th
century that could be problematic for humankind; (7) The potential negative impact on humanity has been exaggerated; (8) The only alternative to rising greenhouse gas concentrations is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions — whether this averts a «pending disaster» is not well understood; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is
likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm
by 2100 probably resulting in some warming; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are neither technically feasible nor economically affordable, and would necessitate inadequate energy supply to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing, leading to worldwide depression.
But, you're making the same claim that this is the cause of the pause, when it's more
likely that a positive AMO and PDO both simultaneously warmed the Northern Hemisphere at the end of the 20th
century, the History of the
late 30's had the same high temps (and melted Arctic), which were followed
by cold PDO phase.
Since the LIA was about a degree cooler than
late 20th
century and it can take the oceans 300 years or more to recover
by 1 degree, some portion of the warming is «
likely» due to a return to «normal».
Therefore, modelling studies suggest that
late 20th -
century warming is much more
likely to be anthropogenic than natural in origin, a finding which is confirmed
by studies relying on formal detection and attribution methods (Section 9.4.1.4).»
Extensive studies showed that the consequences of a two degree rise would be severe in many parts of the world — and such a rise was more
likely than not
by the
late 21st
century, even if governments began to take serious action to restrict greenhouse gas emissions.