Sentences with phrase «likely by late this century»

One tentative estimate put warming two or even three times higher than current middle - range forecasts of 3 to 4 °C based on a doubling of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, which is likely by late this century.

Not exact matches

These higher temperatures mean Indianapolis will see a likely increase of up to 15 additional deaths per 100,000 residents by late century, with a 1 - in - 20 chance of more than 31 additional deaths.
There are nine, possibly ten, of these letters to the churches (Ephesians being of disputed authorship); ant three others, I ant II Timothy and Titus, called the Pastoral Epistles, may have been written by Paul but more likely were the work of some unknown Christian toward the close of the first century or even later.
A more likely explanation was first put forward by Wellhausen, 15 and it has been widely adopted.16 This states that the story of the discovery of the empty tomb ends with these strange words in order to explain to readers why, as late as the mid-first century, they had never heard of this story before.
This implies that future stratospheric cooling, induced by an increase in the anthropogenic carbon dioxide burden, is likely to enhance denitrification and to delay until late in the next century the return of Arctic stratospheric ozone to preindustrial values.
The urn most likely graced a luxuriant garden or opulent villa owned by one of Petra's wealthy residents and later served as a ritual cleansing basin at a Byzantine church destroyed by fire in the sixth century A.D.
The height of exploration may have occurred at the peak of cooling: Starting in the late 16th century, a series of volcanic eruptions likely chilled the Northern Hemisphere by as much as 1.8 degrees Celsius below the long - term average, White says.
Further warming will not only «very likely» drive further such changes but also likely intensify droughts and tropical cyclones by late in the century, at least in the western North Pacific and North Atlantic.
Since October 2015, staff with CAU have found five roundhouses that likely date to 900 B.C.E. (The older posts appear to have belonged to a causeway across the river that had fallen into disrepair by the time the houses were built several centuries later.)
In its latest assessment report published in 2007, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said that by the end of the century sea level rise was most likely to be between 28 and 43 cm.
It found that the number of storms later in the century is likely to drop, while intensity could slightly strengthen and the amount of rainfall around storms — as was found in an earlier analysis led by Dr. Knutson — would substantially rise.
Now how long would that take to get to, say, a 60m rise, once we've reached 6C warming — IF we do reach that, which could happen soonest by 2100, but more likely in a century later, IF we don't mitigate drastically.
The latest IPCC report on climate change notes that our society will likely need net negative emissions by the end of the century to avoid a 2 degree C warming.
A «megadrought» likely will occur late in this century, and it could last for three decades, according to a new report by Cornell and NASA researchers in the journal Science Advances (Feb. 12), an online publication of the American Association for the Advancement of Science.
Considering all the short - term factors identified by the scientific community that acted to slow the rate of global warming over the past two decades (volcanoes, ocean heat uptake, solar decreases, predominance of La Niñas, etc.) it is likely the temperature increase would have accelerated in comparison to the late 20th Century increases.
Achieving a binding agreement by Paris next year in order to prevent runaway climate change later this century is looking far less likely than when we arrived in Lima at the end of November.
Schmidt assumes it did but the PDO record suggests that it likely did not, in which case Schmidt's argument that late - century warming must have been caused by CO2 collapses.
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented compared to the rates of change of temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5) global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
Nevertheless, it seems likely that a CO2 concentration in the range 500 to 900 ppm might produce a temperature rise of at least 2 °C from the late 19th century that could be problematic for humankind; (7) The potential negative impact on humanity has been exaggerated; (8) The only alternative to rising greenhouse gas concentrations is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions — whether this averts a «pending disaster» is not well understood; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 probably resulting in some warming; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are neither technically feasible nor economically affordable, and would necessitate inadequate energy supply to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing, leading to worldwide depression.
But, you're making the same claim that this is the cause of the pause, when it's more likely that a positive AMO and PDO both simultaneously warmed the Northern Hemisphere at the end of the 20th century, the History of the late 30's had the same high temps (and melted Arctic), which were followed by cold PDO phase.
Since the LIA was about a degree cooler than late 20th century and it can take the oceans 300 years or more to recover by 1 degree, some portion of the warming is «likely» due to a return to «normal».
Therefore, modelling studies suggest that late 20th - century warming is much more likely to be anthropogenic than natural in origin, a finding which is confirmed by studies relying on formal detection and attribution methods (Section 9.4.1.4).»
Extensive studies showed that the consequences of a two degree rise would be severe in many parts of the world — and such a rise was more likely than not by the late 21st century, even if governments began to take serious action to restrict greenhouse gas emissions.
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