If your waters break before labour is underway, you'll most
likely go into labour within 24 hours.
Not exact matches
It's also a significant symptom that you are
likely to
go into labour soon.
The more seats a party or grouping has, the more chance it has of forming a government - with 198 seats out of 646 the Conservative Party could only form a government if significant numbers of other MP's decided to back them, as happened in 1924 when there was a situation that the Conservatives didn't want to form a coalition with either other main party and equally the Liberals didn't want a coalition with
Labour and the Liberals and Conservatives saw it as an opportunity to allow
Labour into government but in a situation in which legislation was still reliant on Liberal and Conservative votes and they could be brought down at the most suitable time, supposing the notional gains were accurate and in the improbable event of the next election
going exactly the same way in terms of votes then 214 out of 650 is 32.93 % of seats compared to at 198 out of 646 seats - 30.65 % of seats and the Conservative Party would then be 14 seats closer towards a total neccessary to form a government allowing for the greater number of seats, on the one hand the Conservatives need
Labour to fail but equally they need to succeed themselves given that the Liberal Democrats appear
likely to oppose anyone forming a government who does not embark on a serious programme to introduce PR, in addition PC & SNP would expect moves towards Independence for Scotland and Wales, the SDLP will be
likely to back
Labour and equally UKIP would want a committment to withdraw from Europe and anyway will be
likely to be in small numbers if any, pretty much that leaves cutting a deal with the DUP which would only add the backing of an extra 10 - 13 MP's.
Oakeshott has clearly backed those Lib Dem candidates he hopes are probably more
likely to want to
go into coalition with
Labour than the Tories, but he stresses his donation has been entirely unconditional.
It could
go any way — BNP and UKIP voters are presumably more
likely to move to the Tories than elsewhere, or the other votes may drift towards the Liberal Democrats, the traditional repository for voters disillusioned with both main parties, or these may merely be protesting
Labour voters who will return to voting
Labour once Tony Blair himself is replaced (or, of course, things could be different this time and the high level of «other support could persist
into the next election — it is impossible to tell).
Labour's vote base here is increasingly ethnic, so it's hardly
likely that UKIP is
going to be able to bite much
into it.
Labour has to choose a new leader, and decide whether to try and do a deal, or
go into opposition - I understand the leader's
likely to be one of Sinfin's Baggy Shanker (pictured) or Darley's Lisa Eldret.