This week I split my 1,000 sample into two, and asked half of them what they thought was the most
likely outcome of the general election, regardless of what they would prefer to happen.
Not exact matches
The single most
likely outcome of the May
general election is a seriously hung parliament with the Conservatives as clearly the largest party but a majority on the left.
If this kind
of bias occurs in the polls in the run up to
general elections it could be seriously misleading as to the
likely outcome.
However, whereas the previous effects
of the West Lothian Question remained either theoretical or obscure, the
outcome of the 2015
general election is
likely to result in four circumstances that will maximise West Lothian's practical effects and visibility and are all consequences
of the independence referendum.