But even without a final consensus emerging, it has been interesting to see how even a modest narrowing of the range of
likely policy outcomes has been enough to dramatically change the environment for carbon market participants.
Not exact matches
«You want to set
policy based on the most
likely outcomes, rather than the least
likely outcomes,» Wright argues.
The forecasts outlined in the recent Statement on Monetary
Policy give our best assessment of the most
likely outcomes for Australia, contingent on these and other factors.
The findings summarized in this review have major
policy implications, as they strongly suggest that investing in breastfeeding promotion is
likely to lead not only to improved physical health but also to improved intellectual and psycho - emotional
outcomes.
Trump had been publicly discussing ending the agreement, so one could argue that Kerry may have broken the spirit of the law, (or you could argue that he was simply acting as a lobbyist and 100 % legally because the meeting was regarding existing
policy), but even if you take the argument that he deliberately went against what Trump was proposing as a
likely outcome, Kerry didn't violate the Logan act because it was still
policy at the time.
Perhaps the more interesting thing will be to see where the Assembly stands on the challenge from the Senate regarding changes made through budget language to how prisoners are counted for legislative districting, where the Assembly
likely sides with the governor on the
policy outcome but with the Senate on institutional prerogatives and procedure.
The protracted, multi-party negotiations
likely to follow an indecisive electoral
outcome will be a stage for taking on and discarding
policy and rhetorical stances as parties manoeuvre for power.
The
likely outcome of these
policies will be more homeless sleeping on the streets throughout Dutchess County.
A defence
policy review under such chairmanship, now without the restraint of a defence spokesman with a different view, makes it even less
likely that the moderates still sitting round the shadow cabinet table can ultimately live with the
outcome.
But just finding that some
policy is
likely to improve student
outcomes does not mean that the improvement will reach the high levels sought by Washington Learns, or by others with similar views about what students should know.
With the Common Core State Standards Initiative
likely to release the final version of its English and mathematics standards in early June, and states having to decide whether or not to adopt them, a crucial question has been neglected in the public
policy debate: Is there good reason to believe that national standards will improve educational
outcomes?
Given the substantial differences between students who were and were not assigned to double - dose algebra, simply comparing their later
outcomes would
likely produce misleading evidence on the
policy's impact.
«Performance - based pay will
likely take more of the focus away from the true exploration of ideas... and redirect the focus onto achieving higher test scores, which don't necessarily reflect «better» educational techniques or
outcomes,» said one teacher who submitted their story to NC
Policy Watch's «Your Soapbox» feature.
The study analyzes student
outcomes associated with specific aspects of curriculum and instruction and identified
policy conditions - especially regarding standards - based reform - under which effective classroom practices were
likely to flourish.
This begs the obvious questions of whether the national
policy commitment to structural change is
likely to bring about a transformation in
outcomes and whether any improvements that may follow are worth the expense, effort and (in the case of forced academisation) the turmoil that are entailed.
Jonathan Simons, head of education at the right - leaning think tank
Policy Exchange, said: «Given all the candidates have mentioned the importance of social mobility and improving life
outcomes, and given Gove's previous role, it is
likely to give education a welcome prominence in this campaign.»
C's requirement that shelters take all necessary steps to find placement for animals, many of the
policies outlined here regarding shelter standards, live - release, return of owned animals, and transparency, also provide procedural safeguards for animals entering shelters that make euthanasia a less
likely outcome.
«Alarmism» encourages the idea that the case for relatively aggressive climate
policy rests on the claim that climate change is more
likely than not to produce catastrophic
outcomes.
If they do not, the more
likely outcome is a drive that tries to do too much with technology
policy.
Based on the model outputs from 1960 to the present, policymakers and the public would be better served by rejecting the alarmist scenarios A and B; instead, moving forward, base all adaption and mitigation
policies on Scenario «C», which would
likely produce better
outcomes with superior allocation of scarce resources.
This uncertainty argues even more strongly against premising
policy largely on «most
likely»
outcomes because our ability to identify the most
likely outcome is rather suspect.
As a result, the
likely outcome of the report's release will be more of the same: a welter of scary scenarios, followed by politicians promising huge carbon cuts and expensive
policies that have virtually no impact on climate change.
I'm willing to take my chances; I certainly think this would be more
likely to lead to sensible
outcomes than the current way climate
policy is made.
That means two options — the Clean Air Act status quo and a new
policy replacing it — appear the most
likely outcomes.
But it utterly avoids the actual content of Emanuel's argument, which is that in setting
policy, one does not generally focus concern on most
likely outcomes but on most salient risks.
IMO it's not particularly sensible to frame the entire issue in terms of the small chance of «climate catastrophe» because then we risk having the rug abruptly pulled out from under our
policies when someone proves that the catastrophe is less
likely than was previously thought: — RRB - Also, arguing over the precise threshold probability for particular
outcomes risks turning into angels - on - pins stuff.
Apart from this, the way to get around the whiplash problem is to get rid of the mindset and decision analytic framework whereby
policies are based on a most
likely outcome (with an uncertainty range), determined from a negotiated consensus about a highly uncertain topic.
# 48 Jeremy Grimm — I too follow RC as a non-scientist intensely interested in figuring out
likely outcomes and realistic personal and political (
policy) responses.
Unless models incorporate such two - way couplings, they are
likely to miss important dynamics in the real Earth — Human system that may result in unexpected
outcomes requiring very different
policy interventions.
This makes current models
likely to miss important feedbacks in the real Earth — Human system, especially those that may result in unexpected or counterintuitive
outcomes, and thus requiring different
policy interventions from current models.
This makes the models
likely to miss important feedbacks in the real Earth — Human system that may result in unexpected
outcomes requiring very different
policy interventions.
Not that this would have changed the
outcome; in fact, my point is that Iceland's alcohol
policy could have come away from the litigation strengthened by an approval of the EFTA - Court (which would quite
likely have happened, as the
policy seems to be based on rather sound studies).
Even if claims against individual health care providers were
likely to be successful, it should be added that tort law challenges to individual decision - makers may not be ideal from the perspective of patients with rare diseases as a group, as the individualized
outcome in tort cases does not necessarily lead to the larger,
policy change desired by many patients.
While the case concerns a local school board's restroom
policy, it's
outcome will
likely be felt throughout the Fourth Circuit (including Virginia, Maryland, West Virginia, and the Carolinas) in a wide range of public and professional circumstances.
The
outcome of the arbitration will
likely set an important precedent for employers seeking to implement and enforce drug and alcohol related
policies.
We only need to go back three years to remind ourselves of the
likely outcome of such an absence of effective mechanisms to join the local and regional levels to the national level, and to join service delivery to
policy development.
However, they reflect a broad spread of factors of
policy concern and are all
likely to be of interest as explanatory variables for later
outcomes once the children reach adulthood.