Sentences with phrase «likely subsequent returns»

Not exact matches

The only alternative to this view is to imagine that the collapses that followed valuation extremes like 1929, 1973, 2000, and 2007 somehow emerged entirely out of the blue, ignoring the fact that valuations accurately projected likely full - cycle losses, and remained tightly correlated with total returns over the subsequent 10 - 12 year horizons.

On the basis of valuation measures most tightly related to actual subsequent long - term market returns, we also estimate that the S&P 500 is likely to be lower 12 years from now, compared with current levels, though dividend income may push the total return just over zero on that horizon.

The 40 - year agreement would likely give the county a large payment up front, with diminishing returns each subsequent year.

Given his connection to T'Challa in the comics, it's likely he will return in subsequent Black Panther films.

In contrast, I've often quoted the Shiller P / E (which essentially uses a 10 - year average of inflation - adjusted earnings) as a simple but historically informative alternative, but I should emphasize that we strongly prefer our standard methodologies based on earnings, forward earnings, dividends and other fundamentals, all which have a fairly tight relationship with subsequent 7 - 10 year total returns (see Lessons from a Lost Decade, The Likely Range of Market Returns in the Coming Decade, Valuing the S&P 500 Using Forward Operating Earnings, and No Margin of Safety, No Room for returns (see Lessons from a Lost Decade, The Likely Range of Market Returns in the Coming Decade, Valuing the S&P 500 Using Forward Operating Earnings, and No Margin of Safety, No Room for Returns in the Coming Decade, Valuing the S&P 500 Using Forward Operating Earnings, and No Margin of Safety, No Room for Error).

It is more accurate to argue that following poor 10 - year returns, provided that valuations are depressed based on normalized earnings and the economy is likely to grow at double digits rates of nominal growth - investors can probably anticipate higher subsequent long - term returns.

The value factor formed on B / P is likely to load on low profitability / junk companies, whereas the aggregate valuation metric may be better at identifying quality and thus may do a better job of predicting the subsequent return.