Only 19 percent of
likely voters polled say they've heard nothing about a convention, a decidedly lower number than the 49 percent of registered voters who said just last month that they had heard nothing about a convention.
On behalf of the 2 % to 10.6 % of
likely voters polled in the razor - close Tipping Point States of New Read more»
Who are
the likely voters they polled?
Forty - one pecent of
likely voters polled didn't know enough about her to have an opinion.
The real estate mogul pulled in 47 percent of
the likely voters polled to Clinton's 36 percent.
Looking at medians rather than averages produces similar results to midterm years:
Likely voter polls have been unbiased, whereas registered voter polls have had a median Democratic bias of 2 percentage points.
On average, registered voter polls of Senate races have had a 1.1 percentage - point Democratic bias in these years, we estimate, whereas
likely voter polls have had a 0.7 - point Republican bias.
Not exact matches
In recent weeks,
polling shows that Carson is beginning to edge out Trump among
likely Republican Iowa caucus
voters, with an October 22 Quinnipiac University
poll showing Carson leading at 28 percent to Trump's 20 percent.
The so - called kids» table is for the lower
polling candidates, those with support from less than 3 percent of
likely Republican
voters.
According to a new Washington Post - Schar School
poll, 50 % of
likely voters support Jones and 47 % support Moore in their race to fill a Senate seat most recently vacated by Attorney General Jeff Sessions.
The
poll showed deep gender and partisan divides among
likely voters.
According to a Reuters / Ipsos
poll in March, 66 % of all
likely women
voters said they had an «unfavorable» view of Trump.
Across party lines, roughly nine in 10 Americans support solar power, and according to a
poll commissioned last spring by The Alliance for Solar Choice (TASC), 69 percent of Republican
likely voters and 80 percent of Democratic
likely voters would be «unlikely» to reelect a politician who failed to raise the solar net metering cap.
An average of four major national
polls calculated by Real Clear Politics shows Trump leads the GOP pack with 34.5 percent of support among
likely Republican
voters, while Cruz follows in second place with 19.3 percent.
An opinion
poll on Sunday showed 47 per cent of
likely voters saying they will back the treaty, 35 per cent saying they will vote No, and 18 per cent as undecided how to vote in the May 31 referendum.
The
poll of 1,011
likely voters was conducted April 10 - 13, although the
poll methodology does not indicate if any of the responses were collected after the president announced airstrikes against Syrian targets in retaliation for a suspected chemical weapons attack.
A
poll conducted by Illinois Policy found 42 percent of active
likely voters in Illinois oppose a progressive tax, with 29 percent unsure or having no opinion, and 29 percent supporting.
Clark, named the country's least popular premier last week, can't seem to connect with women (female
voters are twice as
likely to vote NDP in May, according to
polls).
The
likely voters have spoken through the
polls: They want anyone but Romney.
According to a new
poll, 46 % of
likely Republican
voters in the state of Mississippi think that interracial marriage should be illegal.
As a wave of disappointed
voters announced on Twitter that Trump's election has led them to drop the label evangelical, den Dulk speculated that evangelical believers who voted for Clinton may have been less
likely to identify that way in exit
polls, widening the born - again gap between the two candidates.
Early primary
polls showed that his supporters were more
likely than
voters overall to be poor, white, without higher education, and from rural counties or small towns.
«A
voter is more
likely to be struck by lightening than they are to impersonate another
voter at the
polls.»
Marist decided to play it safe by also
polling registered
voters (that's how Siena went, saying it's too early for the «
likely» route), and those numbers are: 55-29-10, 6.
Weissmann was receiving 10 percent of the vote in a Siena
poll conducted before the WFP officially endorsed Maloney, who was trailing Hayworth 46 - 33 among
likely voters.
A new Siena
poll finds Democratic Assemblyman David Weprin leads GOP businessman Bob Turner 48 - 42 percent among
likely voters in Democrat - dominated NY - 9 with five weeks to go before the Sept. 13 special election to fill ex-Rep.
Marist has weighed in with the fourth
poll on the gubernatorial horse race out this week, and its results fall smack in the middle of its rivals Siena and Quinnipiac, showing Andrew Cuomo leading Carl Paladino, 52 - 33 among
likely voters with Rick Lazio garnering 9 percent and 6 percent unsure.
A TWC News / Siena College
poll released this week found Akshar leading Fiala among
likely voters by 28 percentage points in the district that has a GOP
voter enrollment edge.
«Quinnipiac only
polled likely voters while Siena instead talked to anyone with a
voter card.
And, we know that the Obama campaign's
voter scoring system did a good job of identifying people
likely to support Obama but less -
likely to show up at the
polls (we know because those people did, in fact, show up at the
polls after being aggressively courted by the campaign).
confirmed that «
voters are about six points more
likely to support Trump when they're taking the
poll online then when they're talking to a live interviewer,» said Dropp.
This
poll was conducted Aug. 3 - 8 with calls to 501
likely NY - 9
voters drawn from 1,002 registered
voter households.
«Where this hatred comes from and why we will have to determine,» the billionaire real estate mogul, who is leading in opinion
polls among
likely Republican
voters, said in the statement.
Polls showed a startling phenomenon: Tory voters were growing less likely to go to the p
Polls showed a startling phenomenon: Tory
voters were growing less
likely to go to the
pollspolls.
The
poll found McGrath is viewed favorably by 48 percent of
likely voters and unfavorably by 39 percent.
Cuomo is now ahead among
likely voters 55 - 37, compared to 49 - 43 in a Sept. 22 Q
poll conducted one week after Paladino's surprise landslide win in the GOP primary.
Labour is enjoying its strongest
polling since Gordon Brown's honeymoon, as a new survey shows Conservative
voters are growing less
likely to vote at the next election.
The latest New York Times / CBS News
poll, conducted last week, showed
likely voters in the same age group supporting Mr. Romney by a 15 - point margin — even wider than the gap on Election Day 2008.
The
poll of 796
likely voters was conducted from April 12 through April 14.
Big news from Iowa this weekend, with Mike Huckabee and Barak Obama apparently bouncing to the top of the
likely caucus -
voter polls.
In the single - vote plurality system, both of those
voters will
likely feel they have to misrepresent their preferences at the
polls.
That will inevitably help the Tories, whose
voters tend to be older, wealthier and more
likely to turn up to the
polls.
In a new Quinnipiac university
poll, the public advocate continued his late race surge, climbing up to 36 percent of
likely primary
voters.
The
poll found Akshar leads Fiala 59 percent to 31 percent among
likely voters in the district that has a Republican enrollment edge.
Such numerical values allow pollsters to quantify expected
voter turnout but they do not say why respondents are more or less
likely to head to the
polls.
Other examples from observers and social media included ballot boxes being stuffed with extra ballots in multiple regions; an election official assaulting an observer; CCTV cameras obscured by flags or nets from watching ballot boxes; discrepancies in ballot numbers; last - minute
voter registration changes
likely designed to boost turnout; and a huge pro-Putin sign in one
polling station.
A number of vendors and
polling firms also offer what seem to be quite sophisticated microtargeting - based
voter / donor outreach, but I've also heard experienced direct mail database people say that the by far the best predictor of a person's propensity to give money to a campaigh is his or her past history of donating — people who've donated before are more
likely to donate again.
The
poll of 643
likely voters was conducted from Oct. 22 through Oct. 25.
A USA TODAY / Suffolk University
poll found that in a hypothetical race with Donald Trump as the Republican nominee and Bernie Sanders leading the Democratic ticket — presumably the scenario most conducive to a Bloomberg victory — Trump was chosen by 37 % of
likely voters, Sanders by 30 %, and Bloomberg by 16 %.
The
poll of 400
likely voters by Barry Zeplowitz & Associates, of Buffalo, was conducted by live operators on April 11 and 12.