Sentences with phrase «likely warming based»

When corrected, the range of likely warming based on surface temperature observations is in line with earlier estimates, despite the recent slowdown.

Not exact matches

This isn't the Blue Jays returning to play at the old Expos stadium against another MLB team for some warm international fuzzies — this is an American - based baseball team run by an American company playing against the national team of a country the United States has been at uncomfortable odds with for likely your entire life.

Based on a review of 30 studies and 1925 babies a Cochrane Review concluded that skin to skin contact after birth enabled babies to interact more with their mothers, stay warmer, cry less are more likely to breastfeed and to breastfeed for longer (Moore et al 2007).

One tentative estimate put warming two or even three times higher than current middle - range forecasts of 3 to 4 °C based on a doubling of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, which is likely by late this century.

However, studies evaluating model performance on key observed processes and paleoclimate evidence suggest that the higher end of sensitivity is more likely, partially conflicting with the studies based on the recent transient observed warming.

A global warming and changes in rainfall or snows would likely have wiped out many remaining land - based organisms, Payne suspects.

Based on the accumulation of evidence, soaking nuts for eighteen hours, dehydrating at very low temperatures — a warm oven — and then roasting or cooking the nuts would likely eliminate a large portion of phytates.

I do however rather enjoy jeans shorts, and that is most likely what you will catch me in on a day to day basis during the warm months.

The reality is the weather in Nebraska is not quite warm enough on a regular basis for bare arms and legs yet, so, for now, I'm more likely to grab a cozy sweater or hoodie, some leggings, and bright boots to pair with my Amelia!

But he hints that, based on the warm reception to the concept here in Beijing, it's quite likely the Urus will reach dealerships at some point in the future.

Much of this luke - warm reception is based on its high price (US$ 489) and differing views of how likely the Kindle is to succeed in the newspaper and textbook markets, the two niches that Amazon is targeting with this larger, 9.7 - inch (25 cm) version.

So true Josie, Someone is not likely to change their mind quickly into (dis) believing global warming based on the latest evidence.

What you are calling «snarky» is likely merely a recognition of the inadequacy of your understanding of the intents as well as your inability in perspective to reporting on climate based on the relevant contexts of the science of global warming.

Denial of the reality of anthropogenic global warming, or denial of the likely horrific consequences thereof, is entirely based on ignoring «real science».

It seems to me that the most likely explanation for the NYT «correction» was that the paper's editors were worried about creating a legal basis for global - warming lawsuits against fossil fuel interests, as «prior knowledge of harm caused» played a central role in the tobacco lawsuits — and the head of the American Petroleum Institute PR push is Edelman, previously of «second - hand tobacco smoke is not a problem» fame.

But this is in a period that the Bureau has predicted is likely, based on statistical analysis of historical data and current sea surface conditions, to be warmer than the historical average (see here.

«Based on climate model studies and the history of the Earth the authors conclude that additional global warming of about 1 °C (1.8 °F) or more, above global temperature in 2000, is likely to be dangerous.»

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)-- the Geneva - based international body set up by the UN to disseminate «climate change» information — made public a report in Yokohama, Japan, on March 31 asserting that the impacts of global warming are likely to be «severe, pervasive, and irreversible.»

2 — For future planning, it is more likely the world will be warmer rather than colder even if you exclude potential human - caused forcing (i.e. based on a continuation of the current overall trend, which has been broadly similar for a couple of centuries).

Ian Blanchard writes» — For future planning, it is more likely the world will be warmer rather than colder even if you exclude potential human - caused forcing (i.e. based on a continuation of the current overall trend, which has been broadly similar for a couple of centuries).»

We know from satellite measurements that the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets (GIS and WAIS respectively) are losing mass in response to global warming, and that, in the case of the partly sea - based West Antarctica ice - sheet, basal melting of the ice by warmer ocean - water is likely to be a key mechanism.

Acidification and warming are likely to interact: Acidification, for example, weakens the ability of coral reefs to recover from bouts of bleaching caused by warm ocean temperatures and might also harm other species near the base of the ocean food chain.

The WGI contribution to the TAR — Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis — found, «In the light of new evidence and taking into account the remaining uncertainties, most of the observed warming over the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations.»

Based on these lines of evidence it is most likely that 2014 is currently one of the four warmest years on record, but there is a possibility that the final rank will lie outside this range.

Second example: last week, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), a supposedly scientific body, issued a press release stating that this is likely to be the warmest year in a century or more, based on surface temperatures.

Interpreting these observations further we do have more evidence of global warming by the first observation, but based on the second observation we do have evidence that the longer term trend is likely smaller than many thought based on data up to 2000.

[¶]... Basing our assessment on a combination of several independent lines of evidence, as summarised in Box 10.2 Figures 1 and 2, including observed climate change and the strength of known feedbacks simulated in GCMs, we conclude that the global mean equilibrium warming for doubling CO2, or «equilibrium climate sensitivity», is likely to lie in the range 2 °C to 4.5 °C, with a most likely value of about 3 °C.

Based on that it's very likely that the warming will continue given enough time.

So it would appear that the conclusion that the warming in the 20th century was most likely caused by increased levels of CO2 in the amtopshere was not based on any empriical data at all.

Pekka, the first part of what I said doesn't convey whether it is good or bad that summers are now twice as likely to be «warm» by the objective criteria of the base period.

In this context, for the Administration to have released a U.S. Climate Action Report with a chapter on climate change impacts that identified a range of likely adverse consequences, based on scientific reports including the National Assessment, could rightly be seen as an anomaly and appeared to be seen as a significant political error by Administration allies dedicated to denying the reality of human - induced global warming as a significant problem.

Based on the Cohen et al paper it's likely that leaving out the most volatile data series would in the present case result in a time series where warming continues with less plateauing than we see in the existing data on global average surface temperature.

«We were looking at whether or not global warming has made the occurrence of extremely high pressure in the region on an annual basis more likely,» he said.

Many places refuse to turn over climate data, BEST adjusted and cherry picked much of the data they used, Coastal areas appear to be heavily effected by coastal winds that are likely very very poorly documented, Non-coastal wind effected areas seem to have little to no warming, «Free» / online unadjusted data appears to be mostly at or near satellite data start thus provides little extra info about the past, Looking for help from anyone who has Europe based original data outside of the «taxpayer funded yet refuse to turn over data to the public / taxpayer groups».

Based on RCP4.5, the model results suggest warmer conditions are likely to produce typhoons with peak wind speeds around 14 % higher by 2100.

In summary, a strong case can be made that the US emissions reduction commitment for 2025 of 26 % to 28 % clearly fails to pass minimum ethical scrutiny when one considers: (a) the 2007 IPCC report on which the US likely relied upon to establish a 80 % reduction target by 2050 also called for 25 % to 40 % reduction by developed countries by 2020, and (b) although reasonable people may disagree with what «equity» means under the UNFCCC, the US commitments can't be reconciled with any reasonable interpretation of what «equity» requires, (c) the United States has expressly acknowledged that its commitments are based upon what can be achieved under existing US law not on what is required of it as a mater of justice, (d) it is clear that more ambitious US commitments have been blocked by arguments that alleged unacceptable costs to the US economy, arguments which have ignored US responsibilities to those most vulnerable to climate change, and (e) it is virtually certain that the US commitments can not be construed to be a fair allocation of the remaining carbon budget that is available for the entire world to limit warming to 2 °C.

This is based on two different questions, of which one was phrased in similar terms as the quintessential attribution statement in IPCC AR4 (stating that more than half of the observed warming since the 1950s is very likely caused by GHG).

On what specific basis do you disregard the mainstream scientific view that holds that the Earth is warming, that the warming is mostly human caused, and that harsh impacts from warming are very likely under business - as - usual, conclusions supported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the United States Academy of Sciences and over a hundred of the most prestigious scientific organizations in the world whose membership includes scientists with expertise relevant to the science of climate change including the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the American Geophysical Union, the American Institute of Physics, the American Meteorological Society, the Royal Meteorological Society, and the Royal Society of the UK and according to the American Academy of Sciences 97 percent of scientists who actually do peer - reviewed research on climate change?

[It] ill - prepares society to confront and manage the risks of a world that is increasingly likely to experience warming well in excess of 2 °C this century,» said the piece, co-authored by Amy Luers of the San Francisco - based Skoll Global Threats Fund, and Jay Gulledge, of the U.S. Department of Energy's Oak Ridge National Laboratory.

The probability distributions give a most likely estimate of 3 °C of warming for a doubling of CO2, and all pragmatic scientists tend to work on the basis that the climate sensitivity is not drastically more than that.

Using their own logic, based on what they believe is «very likely,» the IPCC thought there was a «greater than 90 percent likelihood» that global warming was caused by human CO2.

Assuming that you're one of those «skeptics,» and looking at the range estimations of likely impact based energy balance that are often promoted by «skeptics» (although certainly there are many «skeptics» who think that there is no possibility that ACO2 will warm the climate to any measurable extent)-- then we can reasonably assume that you agree that there is a «fat tail» potential for high impact consequences from BAU.

Based on temperature records from 1864 to 2002, the odds of such a heatwave occurring are about 1 in 10 million.4 An event like the 2003 heatwave becomes much more likely after factoring in the observed warming of 2 °F over Europe and increased weather variability.5 In addition, comparing computer models of climate with and without human contribution shows that human influence has roughly quadrupled the odds of a European summer as hot as or hotter than the summer of 2003.6

The rather heated debates we have had about the likely economic and social damage of carbon emissions have been based on that idea that there is something like a scientific consensus about the range of warming we can expect.

By the same logic, I reject arguments based on a notion that the vast majority of the «climate science community» is only tribally driven, let alone that all evidence they produce that supports the contention that it is 90 % likely that more than 50 % of recent anomalous warming is due to anthropogenic CO2 emissions is a product of tribalism.

Based on the estimates of TCR warming from additional CO2 is very likely in the range of 0.28 to 1.0 C with the best estimate near 0.6 C.

IF temperatures rise by < 2 C, as appears centrally likely based on current re-estimates of climate sensitivity using improved analysis of aerosols and taking into account the pause and the general lack of tropospheric warming, then it is more likely to be more expensive to mitigate.

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The day before the Paris Agreement enters into force, the United Nations Environment Program has released its annual Emissions Gap Report, which measures the discrepancies between likely emissions (based on climate policies and plans) versus the emissions levels necessary to limit warming.

He will likely repeat a challenge first issued in his June encyclical, which called for humanity to «recognize the need for changes of lifestyle, production and consumption, in order to combat this warming,» which he believes is «aggravated by a model of development based on the intensive use of fossil fuels.»