When monitoring the live betting market, it's important to have access to live odds and betting data to stay up - to - date with key
line movement at offshore and Las
This substantial reverse
line movement at two of the sharpest offshore books should paint a clear picture of where the market stands on this game.
The line history chart below compares
line movement at The Greek to changes in spread betting percentages that have occurred so far this week.
Here is what
the line movement at Bookmaker has looked like today.
however... take a look at
this line movement at Pinnacle.
Below shows
the line movement at Pinnacle:
In addition to the reverse
line movement at offshore sportsbooks, we have a number of betting systems triggered on Ole Miss — almost all of which involve exploiting the AP Top 25 rankings.
The initial
line movement at Pinnacle, a sharp market - setting sportsbook especially for soccer, was on Liverpoool to bring the line down from +160 to +146.
Though I've never been on a roller coaster that both ascends and descends on essentially a 180 - degree angle,
the line movement at Bookmaker would certainly be barf - worthy if it was indeed an amusement park ride.
The line movement at Pinnacle is particularly interesting since it coincided with the announcement of the Game 4 officials at 9 AM eastern.
The line history below shows the early Super Bowl
line movement at the Pinnacle sportsbook.
What's interesting is that we could technically use this to point out reverse -
line movement at Pinnacle since Texas opened +7 and dropped to +6.5 despite receiving just 33 % of spread bets.
This is actually validated by
the line movement at CRIS since there was immediate buyback once the game reached Texas +7.5 and +7.
The graph below shows
line movement at BetOnline and public betting trends around the market (via 7 offshore books):
By contrasting
the line movement at books like CRIS and Pinnacle with the public betting trends from our seven contributing offshore sportsbooks, we're able to explain what factors are influencing line movement and which teams are offering value.
There hasn't been
any line movement at Bookmaker since opening on Thursday night, another good indication that the market is fine taking early public bets on Germany.
There are currently six teams fitting this criterion, but we chose to focus on the three games with intriguing
line movement at the market - setting offshore sportsbooks.
The chart below illustrates the public betting percentages and
line movement at CRIS in more detail:
Reverse
line movement at the 40 % threshold produced a 10.4 % return on investment (ROI) with a significant sample size of 178 games.
Some crazy
line movement at Pinnacle, eh?!
The screenshot below, which is available to Sportsbook Insider subscribers, shows
the line movement at Pinnacle.
There has been some reverse
line movement at Pinnacle, where the line opened at Auburn -5.5 and ticking down to Auburn -5 (even with the majority of bets taking Auburn).
This weekend should have plenty of great matchups highlighted by New England's showdown with Baltimore, but the following games have had the most eye - catching
line movement at the market setting Cris sportsbook.
Not exact matches
The Stop Loss (SL) was set below the support trend
line, while the TP was set
at the area where upside
movement stalled, indicating resistance.
The bottom
line for our purposes is that on a large, universal scale, even a proper application of a Golden Mean interpretation against a triangular pattern is
at best using abstract past data to predict a precise and concrete future
movement.
Last year's #DeleteUber
movement, which attracted an estimated 200,000, helped drive a management change
at the start - up because it hit Uber's bottom
line.
DMI also confirms such market conditions and for trading we should wait when ADX
line starts upward
movement to 20 level
at least.
Crawford situates Wahhabism in the second part of the twentieth century within what he terms the formation of «hybrid» radical groups — Al - Qa «ida and ISIS, but also earlier groups such as the Awakening
movement that took shape in the early 1990's that «infused [Wahhabism] with new ideas» and «drew the
line between belief and unbelief
at new points on the religio - political spectrum.»
Brock's book party was held
at the Embassy Row Ritz - Carlton Hotel, where
movement celebrities
lined up to laud him.
Look
at when he has played in CF, he has pushed CBs back with his
movement along the
line and looking to break any offside trap, this may not be the hold up that Giroud offers but instead it offers more space for players like Ozil / Alexis / Cazorla...
This lopsided betting moved the
line.5 - 1.0 point
at most books and, as we have learned, a half point
line movement can increase your winning percentage by two percent.
At the time of publication, the
line movement was toward the opening favorite in 9 of the 12 matchups.
The next slate of games won't begin until Thursday evening, but in this opening
line report we take a look
at the
movement for this week's NCAAB games:
With no
line movement thus far, more than six out of ten spread wagers are sticking with Drew Brees and the high - flying Saints to take down their division rivals by
at least seven points
at home.
The team here
at SportsInsights has circled a handful of these games due to these discrepancies, so let's take a moment to examine the
line movement for these key matchups using our College Basketball Betting Trends.
However, the
line movement on this game has differed depending on the book, opening -7.5
at 5Dimes, -8
at BetUS, and -9
at Bookmaker.
The even betting has caused very little
line movement, if any,
at the market - setting sportsbooks and our Betting Systems have yet to trigger a play in this game.
The team of analysts
at SportsInsights is studying the numbers, especially with regard to the NFL playoffs, home underdogs, point spread value, and
line movement.
And with no
line movement thus far, the betting public remains overwhelmingly in favor of Drew Brees and prolific Saints offense escaping Candlestick Park with
at least a four - point victory.
The chart below shows the changes in spread betting percentages and
line movement since this game opened
at Pinnacle.
I really do nt see any legs in any of these stories about any more transfers, The evidence is all there among all the smoke and mirrors, Look
at the evidence, Wenger stated that Giroud would lead the
line next season and as such we have have only seen any real
movement towards buying a striker in the purchase of Asano who clearly is nothing more than a shirt selling move.
Didn't watch the game and to be honest I don't fancy a
line up with Giroud upfront, I feel bored usually... I don't like his turtle's
movement, I don't like his hold up, I don't like his skill, I don't like his little flick, nor do I like his tongue gesture... Everyone is entitle to his opinion but I don't like those with comments polishing his hold up sh*t... and I'm an Arsenal fan with great passion... Wenger, you failed us big time in the summer not signing a good striker, hey don't say there's no one available because I don't like that too...
At this current situation, play wallcot, Kos, sanchez or anyone (bar slow Mert) upfront and I would never complain...
We noticed that when there was
at least a half - point of reverse
line movement our system was 27 - 16
ATS (+9.71 units) but that record improved to 21 - 7
ATS (+12.92 units) when there was
at least a full point of reverse
line movement.
They are biased, always bet with their gut instinct and don't even look
at the betting percentages or
line movement.
Since the
lines at these market - setting sportsbooks are much sharper, they have historically produced the most profitable steam moves and reverse
line movement alerts.
This lack of
line movement has kept Sports Insights» Betting Systems abnormally silent, as zero plays have been triggered on this game,
at the time of publication.
We saw similar
line movement in the NCAA Football National Championship game between Alabama and Notre Dame, where the Fighting Irish received two - thirds of public bets, yet moved from 7.5 to 10 point underdogs
at most books.
That includes the breakdown of our public betting trends
at all seven contributing sportsbooks, improved
line graphs for all of our available sportsbooks, full injury reports, enhanced weather reports, detailed referee / umpire data, bet signals (including steam moves, reverse
line movement, contrarian plays and best bets), and current lineups.
And based on the
movement at the Westgate Las Vegas Superboook, it seems the
line won't be affected by much.
Steam is defined as sudden, drastic and uniform
line movement across the entire sports betting marketplace and is the result of a sudden overload of money placed
at multiple sportsbooks and, in most cases, occurs due to betting groups, betting syndicates and a few key players with the resources to «get down heavily»
at multiple locations, all
at once.