While these natural factors are
linked to past climate change, they are also incorporated in the analysis of current climate change.
Not exact matches
In the interest of our future world, scientists must seek
to understand the complexities of
linked natural events and field observations that are revealed in the geologic record of
past warmer
climates.
To unravel the
link between
past climates and animal faunas requires an exceptional fossil record.
More sober scientists distanced themselves from the idea of planetary engineering, but were intrigued by the possibility that natural changes in the supply of iron
to the ocean might have been
linked to past changes in
climate.
When you click on the abstract
link for the article, «Response
to Comment on Reconstructing
Past Climate from Noisy Data» - the side menu has an option for «Full Text» and «Full Text (PDF)».
Studies of the
link between orbital parameters and
past climate changes include spectral analysis of palaeoclimatic records and the identification of orbital periodicities; precise dating of specific climatic transitions; and modelling of the
climate response
to orbital forcing, which highlights the role of climatic and biogeochemical feedbacks.
Our framework
links innovative approaches for (1) generating high - resolution, probabilistic projection of future
climate and sea - level changes and (2) empirically identifying robust statistical relationships characterizing how humans have responded
to past climate variability and
past climate change, in order
to (3) project how humans may respond
to uncertain future changes.
The amount of rainfall during the
past 24,000 years seems
to be
linked to the level of exposure of the Sunda Shelf and in particular
to the specific topography of the western edge of the region, rather than
to changes in deglacial
climate boundary conditions alone.
But we'd wager in today's
climate that kind of stuff is hard
to get off the ground, so no surprise that in the
past he was also
linked to the comedy «El Presidente» with Tom Cruise and the former Tony Scott project, «Narco Sub.»
Those who saw the pictures and read advertising copy could be assured that Sacramento had all the amenities that made California desirable
to potential eastern and Midwestern migrants: a good
climate, citrus fruit, robust schools, beautiful public buildings, and a
link to California's romantic
past.
[Response: And note that the abstract
linked says «Although the rarity of the current episode of high average sunspot numbers may indicate that the Sun has contributed
to the unusual
climate change during the twentieth century, we point out that solar variability is unlikely
to have been the dominant cause of the strong warming during the
past three decades.»
Another way
to study the
link is through paleoclimate observations where
past climate is reconstructed through natural archives.
Scientists quoted in a
past DailyTech article
link the cooling
to reduced solar activity which they claim is a much larger driver of
climate change than man - made greenhouse gases.
He said: «In our study we see very rapid changes in the
climate of the North Pacific that we think are
linked to past changes in ocean currents in the Atlantic.
While the conditions in the geological
past are useful indicators in suggesting
climate and atmospheric conditions only vary within a a certain range (for example, that life has existed for over 3 billion years indicates that the oxygen level of the atmosphere has stayed between about 20 and 25 % throughout that time), I also think some skeptics are too quick
to suggest the lack of correlation between temperature and CO2 during the last 550 million years falsifies the
link between CO2 and warming (too many differences in conditions
to allow any such a conclusion
to be drawn — for example the Ordovician with high CO2 and an ice age didn't have any terrestrial life).
Already in the U.S. we've seen major hurricanes, floods, drought and wildfires all
linked to climate change, and that's just in the
past few years.
On NASA's Vital
Links blog, Laura Faye Tenenbaum writes about a conversation she had with Director Susan Hassol on how
to move
past fear and despair over
climate change and instead face it with courage, optimism, and integrity.
manacker: If I understood Mike Rossander's calculation as cited by Mike Jonas above, it shows that your poster
linking human CO2 emissions
to multidecadal
climate in the
past record does not hold water statistically.
If I understood Mike Rossander's calculation as cited by Mike Jonas above, it shows that your poster
linking human CO2 emissions
to multidecadal
climate in the
past record does not hold water statistically.
These same models can be used
to simulate
climates in the
past when CO2 levels were higher, and checked against the fossil record (
link to page on
past climate).
We have also seen over the
past 20 years that the IPCC has directed much of its resources, publications, and findings
to establish a
link between global temperatures and man - made CO2, attempting
to portray it as the culprit in global
climate change.Stated more clearly (the UN and its agencies are rarely «clear» on anything), the IPCC statement above contains huge and unproven assumptions.
«A semi-empirical approach
to projecting future sea - level rise» «Testing the robustness of semi-empirical sea level projections» «Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions
to 21st - century sea - level rise» «Contribution of Antarctica
to past and future sea level rise» «Global sea level rise scenarios for the United States National
Climate Assessment» «Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200
to 2100AD» «Global sea level
linked to global temperature» «Upper limit for sea level projections by 2100»
(
link to What
past climates say about CO2 and warming.)
Fluctuations in solar activity, including magnetic field - powered sunspots and solar flares, have been
linked to past changes in
climate, including, controversially, the Little Ice Age.
In a sharp change from its cautious approach in the
past, the National Academy of Sciences on Wednesday called for taxes on carbon emissions, a cap - and - trade program for such emissions or some other strong action
to curb runaway global warming.Such actions, which would increase the cost of using coal and petroleum — at least in the immediate future — are necessary because «
climate change is occurring, the Earth is warming... concentrations of carbon dioxide are increasing, and there are very clear fingerprints that
link [those effects]
to humans,» said Pamela A. Matson of Stanford University, who chaired one of five panels organized by the academy at the request of Congress
to look at the science of
climate change and how the nation should respond.
Even without my work, or that of the entire sub-field of studying
past climates, scientists are in broad agreement on the reality of these changes and their near - certain
link to human activity.
According
to Stone, cases where the
link between human - generated greenhouse gas emissions and local warming trends were weak were often due
to the fact that the
climate observational record was insufficient in those regions
to build a clear picture about what has been happening over the
past several decades.
In saying that IPCC reports issued over the
past 20 years had «created an ever - broader informed consensus about the connection between human activities and global warming,» the Committee
linked those reports
to potential violent conflict and wars that could result should extreme
climate change occur.
Already in the United States we've seen major hurricanes, floods, drought and wildfires all
linked to climate change, and that's just in the
past few years.
In a «lawful notice», Roberts also demanded scientists and others should then withdraw all of their
past claims
linking carbon dioxide
to climate change.
E.g. Hegerl et al 2000 (
linked by the SkS post) use an estimate of the net
climate forcing over the
past milennium and an estimate of the (northern hemispheric) temperature
to arrive at an empirically based estimate fo the
climate sensitivity.
I provided
links to published accounts from
past centuries and earlier BBC videos demonstrating that polar bears throughout the Chukchi Sea commonly hunt walrus on land; a fact that Attenborough distorted into a cinematic illusion misrepresenting a natural behavior as a function of catastrophic
climate change.
Over the
past year, scientists more confidently
linked climate change
to devastating weather and
climate events and pinpointed more clearly how the planet will change if the carbon emissions don't rapidly approach zero.
Despite these successes in
linking variations in greenhouse gas concentrations
to climate change in the geologic
past, the oxygen isotope palaeotemperature record from 600 Myr ago
to the present displays notable intervals for which inferred temperatures and pCO2 levels are not correlated1.
Hence, carbon - cycle feedbacks
linked to biological activity appear
to have played at least some role in the
climate variations of the
past thousand years.
A poster on SKS
linked to this website which details
climate scientists explanations for what they term the warming hiatus of the
past decade.
These range from simple averaging of regional data and scaling of the resulting series so that its mean and standard deviation match those of the observed record over some period of overlap (Jones et al., 1998; Crowley and Lowery, 2000),
to complex
climate field reconstruction, where large - scale modes of spatial
climate variability are
linked to patterns of variability in the proxy network via a multivariate transfer function that explicitly provides estimates of the spatio - temporal changes in
past temperatures, and from which large - scale average temperature changes are derived by averaging the
climate estimates across the required region (Mann et al., 1998; Rutherford et al., 2003, 2005).