Complex forecasting methods are only accurate when there is
little uncertainty about the data and the situation (in this case: how the climate system works), and causal variables can be forecast accurately.
But there is
little uncertainty about how it has responded thus far.
«There's
little uncertainty about sea level rise,» he added.
Uncertainty about rain,
little uncertainty about sea level rise Climate change could also affect precipitation in California, though the two models USGS used in its research produced different results.
Not exact matches
A
little - known consumer sentiment gauge, called the Policy
Uncertainty Index, is actually keeping tabs on how everyone outside the Beltway is feeling
about the political situation.
There have been many recent rumours regarding Arsenal players with all the
uncertainty around the club at the moment, but there was very
little said
about our French striker Olivier Giroud, who has recently signed a contract extension with the Gunners.
As you can constantly have visual access to your
little angel, it reduces or eliminates the anxiety that arises when there's
uncertainty about how baby is doing.
CHALLENGES:
Uncertainties about landslide dynamics aside, there's
little information on which areas are most vulnerable to slides.
Scientists are divided
about the need to label GMOs: There is
little scientific evidence of health or ecological threats, but many
uncertainties remain.
«While there will always be
uncertainty about future conditions and challenges, investing in strategies that are culturally appropriate, have
little regret (low risk) and provide multiple benefits appears the best pathway,» the team suggests.
How much more difficult must it be when there is
uncertainty about the grammar or vocabulary, or
little differences that mean so much.
There is relatively
little consensus
about how climate change will affect the incidence of persistent drought at global and regional scales, in large part due to the
uncertainties discussed above.
The substantial
uncertainties currently present in the quantitative assessment of large - scale surface temperature changes prior to
about A.D. 1600 lower our confidence in this conclusion compared to the high level of confidence we place in the
Little Ice Age cooling and 20th century warming.»
Even if you are hunting down your dates by utilizing Jewish online dating services or a personalized Jewish matchmaker, you should keep in mind that everyone (and I mean EVERYONE) likes a
little bit of a chase at the beginning of a relationship - a
little bit of
uncertainty about how the other person feels
about you - a
little bit of missing that person — a
little bit of evaluating your last conversation and weighing the silence between your next one and trying to figure out if he / she really likes you.
«It's surprising,» he says
about how politics is having so
little impact on markets, «but it may simply be that people don't know how to predict what the fallout will be from all the political
uncertainty.»
My idea for a guest post would be to write
about some of my runs in cities around the world and what it is like to just head out and take a run in a foreign city with an iphone camera, a sense of adventure, adrenaline, excitement and a
little bit of
uncertainty as well.
to sow doubt and to get people to believe that due to
uncertainty, scientists actually know very
little about the topic.
However, there is enough remaining
uncertainty about the controls on the «conveyor» that I would like a
little more process understanding.
There isn't any
uncertainty about what happens if we keep doing nothing or very
little.
And the list of
uncertainties grows as we learn more
about the things we know very
little about.
The dirty
little secret in many environmental matters is that there is deep
uncertainty about how human actions will affect the environment and proof one way or the other is illusive.
They wrote (as quoted by you): «But given how
little is known
about either the climate's sensitivity to greenhouse - gas emissions or
about future emissions levels,...» The use of the word «either» makes it very clear that The Economist knows that
uncertainty about climate sensitivity is * not * the same thing as (or «equal to»)
uncertainty about emissions.
You are a time waster Eric — an odd
little person putting words in my mouth interested only in trivial points scoring
about an
uncertainty that doesn't exist and making silly
little statements
about retarding science and similar.
On the other hand, here you have civil engineers such as Chief Hydrologist spouting off who know very
little about signal processing of noisy data and the origin of the aleatory
uncertainty.
While the authors note the
uncertainties and limitations of contemporary climate models — particularly around the timing and intensity of impacts — there is
little ambiguity
about the responsibility of the oil industry.
I do admit that it can be a bit unsettling for those who feel they must be certain
about what is true at all times — that they must have a stable «truth» to believe for every question — and for those with
little tolerance for
uncertainty.
Also, it is very clear (from the SOD) that there is
little dispute
about the range of the TCR, but there is still
uncertainty about the long tail of the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity, which (according to the SOD) is still kind of determined by an «expert consensus».
I would really like to hear the opinions of the RC regulars, both real scientists and the scientist wannabes (like me), on what date you would pick on a time line and say, «by this point we knew
about the A in AGW and there was very
little doubt, even if we had a lot of
uncertainty about the amount of warming and interactions between various parts of the environment, and we should have started to take action to reduce our emissions».
Putting the political aspect aside, I would really like to hear the opinions of the RC regulars, both real scientists and the scientist wannabes (like me), on what date you would pick on a time line and say, «by this point we knew
about the A in AGW and there was very
little doubt, even if we had a lot of
uncertainty about the amount of warming and interactions between various parts of the environment, and we should have started to take action to reduce our emissions».
Generally, considering that technological applications of scientific models, developed to reduce
uncertainty about real - world risks, have been widely successful for making life safer and more comfortable for an increasing fraction of the world population, why is there so
little trust in the judgments of scientists who generate and test such models?
After realizing the insanity and stupidity of this
little war, I decided that I was only going to worry
about appropriate communication of
uncertainty and protecting scientific integrity.
A lot of permanent no - medical exam policies rely on as
little as a health questionnaire to find out
about your health, giving the insurer less information, making those policies a lot more expensive to make up for the
uncertainty.
Although there is a long history of folk wisdom
about uncertainty before marriage, there has been
little scientific study of this issue.
So encouraging to see even with the
uncertainty of «too
little / too much» (which I'm ever wondering
about!)