Sentences with phrase «local climate trends»
I hope this will lead to a broader discussion about the contribution of natural variability to local climate trends and to the statistics of extreme events.
https://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/ Not exact matches
They therefore inquire about local costs; they check out the neighbors; they examine the neighborhood — its schools, services, climate, demographic trends — to satisfy themselves that the context is suitable and the place secure.
Beyond honing communications skills, participants said while the discussions often started off with broad trends in climate science, invariably the exchanges shifted to specific local issues such as wildfires, ozone levels, crop rotations, sea level rise, droughts and air quality.
These trends suggest that large - scale climate changes, rather than local factors, could be driving increases in fire activity, the scientists report.
This combination of uncertain projections, local and global effects, and potential for human adaptation makes it difficult to attribute current, much less future, changes and trends in Montana agriculture solely to climate change.
AP: I think there are elements of this business that are inherently local, and our philosophy of designing and assortment is to design a global assortment that is a super set of what a different geography might actually need, in terms of fashion trends, sensibility, climate and those kinds of things.
We can also compare with model - generated data (re-analyses), keeping in mind that one must be very careful with these data since they are not appropriate for studying long - term climate change (they give a misrepresentation of trends — at least on a local scale).
For the Moscow heat record of July 2010, they found that the probability of a record had increased five-fold due to the local climatic warming trend, as compared to a stationary climate (see our previous articles The Moscow warming hole and On record - breaking extremes for further discussion).
In order to understand the potential importance of the effect, let's look at what it could do to our understanding of climate: 1) It will have zero effect on the global climate models, because a) the constraints on these models are derived from other sources b) the effect is known and there are methods for dealing the errors they introduce c) the effect they introduce is local, not global, so they can not be responsible for the signal / trend we see, but would at most introduce noise into that signal 2) It will not alter the conclusion that the climate is changing or even the degree to which it is changing because of c) above and because that conclusion is supported by multiple additional lines of evidence, all of which are consistent with the trends shown in the land stations.
«Note that the change in spread shouldn't be automatically equated with a change in climate variability, since a similar pattern would be seen as a result of regionally specific warming trends with constant local variability»
It basically says that ringwidth is a function of: age trend + climate signal + endogenous (local) disturbances + exogenous (standwide) disturbances + unexplained variation Basically, this concept also underlies all other dendro proxies, be it maximum latewood density or stable isotope ratios, even though there are variations, e. g. age trend in density data is treated differently from ring width data).
For July temperature in Moscow, we estimate that the local warming trend has increased the number of records expected in the past decade fivefold, which implies an approximate 80 % probability that the 2010 July heat record would not have occurred without climate warming.
«Our results indicate that the [divergence problem]-- including high - frequency loss in climate sensitivity and / or low - frequency trend offset — must be addressed at the local to regional level, before conclusions can be drawn for larger scales.
They say their findings, which focused on the effect titling had on forest clearing and disturbance in the Peruvian Amazon between 2002 and 2005, suggest that the increasing trend towards decentralized forest governance via granting indigenous groups and other local communities formal legal title to their lands could play a key role in global efforts to slow both tropical forest destruction, which the researchers note is responsible for about the same amount of greenhouse gas emissions as the transportation sector, and climate change.»
For example, climate researchers use only night - time marine air temperatures, as day - time records are too erratic.Changes in the local environment may also introduce erroneous trends.
Drilling sites around the world help distinguish trends in local climate from trends in global climate.
The buildings, roads, and other paved surfaces add heat to the local climate, corrupting any long - term trend.
The chapters assembled for this issue of the State of the World's Forests highlight four key areas that warrant greater attention: regional trends on forest resources; the development of sustainable forest industries; climate change mitigation and adaptation; and the local value of forests.
Mr. Steele teaches about the enormous and often decades - or even centuries - long climate trends that directly affect our local weather, such as the very complex interaction of the El Nino - La Nina Oscillation and global zones of high pressure.
For regional climate predictability, the added value of RCMs should come from better resolving the relationship between mean (temperature) trends and key indicators that are supposedly better represented in the high resolution projections utilizing additional local information, such as temperature or precipitation extremes.
As described in the paper, climate warming specifically refers to the slow time evolution of the local July temperature as described by a smooth non-linear trend line, which reveals a significant climatic warming over the last three decades.
So, this unforced climate variability can not significantly impact the long - term global temperature trend, but its effects on local and regional climate will remain the main source of uncertainty for the foreseeable future.
During his presentation Timmermann went on to look at possible trends within this local East African climate variation.
Changes in climate at the local to regional scale can be influenced by natural variability for multiple decades.28 This can affect the interpretation of climate trends observed regionally across the U.S. (see Appendix 3: Climate Science Supplclimate at the local to regional scale can be influenced by natural variability for multiple decades.28 This can affect the interpretation of climate trends observed regionally across the U.S. (see Appendix 3: Climate Science Supplclimate trends observed regionally across the U.S. (see Appendix 3: Climate Science SupplClimate Science Supplement).
We find that the reported discrepancy can be traced to two main issues: (1) unforced internal climate variability strongly affects local wetness and dryness trends and can obscure underlying agreement with WWDD, and (2) dry land regions are not constrained to become drier by enhanced moisture divergence since evaporation can not exceed precipitation over multiannual time scales.
Rabbit Flat and Learmonth are located in the hot climates of the Northern Territory and WA's north - west coast, and are used as a variable in this analysis to examine the influence of local climates at new weather locations on Australia's averaged temperature trends.
If there are such departures (in the sign of trends) at the global scale in PCC 2007 Figure SPM.4, how can climate model ensembles capture the bigger local falling trends?
As an ecologist, I never trusted homogenized USHCN data because it alters trends in local mean temperature and removes local variability in an attempt to extract a presumed «real» climate trend.
Step 2: Help local residents develop community climate stories by identifying a community's financial, physical and natural assets; mapping an annual agricultural production cycle and overlaying this with the climate calendar, and describing trends in both climate and non-climate hazards.
According to Stone, cases where the link between human - generated greenhouse gas emissions and local warming trends were weak were often due to the fact that the climate observational record was insufficient in those regions to build a clear picture about what has been happening over the past several decades.
Arun develops models and visualizations of energy trends on global, national and local scales, using data analytics to study the levers and effects of climate mitigation and energy policy.
It is apparent that the tropical zones never experience snow falls except on their highest mountain peaks and in this instance, geology would be a factor affecting local weather, but I can't see this affecting long term global climate trends.
This was a very important finding affecting climate data continuity and the monitoring of local, regional and national temperature trends.
Observed population declines in three African savanna ungulates suggest that summer rainfall reductions could result in their local extirpation if regional climate change trends are sustained (Ogutu and Owen - Smith, 2003).
Melting Arctic sea ice, shrinking glaciers, and increased rate of Antarctic ice flow, these are, I think, far more reliable and objective gauges to long - term climate trends than are local temperature measurements.
All well and good, except the conclusion states, ``... we estimate that the local warming trend has increased the number of records expected in the past decade fivefold, which implies an approximate 80 % probability that THE 2010 July heat record would not have occurred without climate warming.»
The new findings can help scientists to better understand how the local climates are affecting the browning and greening trends in particular regions.
«In all of these places, the amount of rain pouring down in one day broke local records — and while each of these individual events has been caused by a number of different factors, we find a clear overall upward trend for these unprecedented hazards,» says the lead author, Jascha Lehmann, a PIK researcher into climate impacts and vulnerabilities.
In this chapter we make no specific assumptions about the rate and direction of technological change into the future, recognising that very wide ranges of potentials will exist at the local and organisational levels at which climate vulnerability and responses will often be shaped, and also that the knowledge base referenced in the chapter reflects a range of assumptions about future trends.
Indeed, Americans» beliefs about climate change seem to be more influenced by their local weather than global trends, according to a study published this week in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
If we can not say that a 25 - year trend in a 2.5 degree grid cell is an indicator of the local climate, then why does the IPCC publish those maps with coloured grid cells?
In other words if all local trends are «weather» and climatic trends are only observed at global levels, then who cares about climate?
From climate finance to technology innovation, emissions abatement to energy transitions, our global team specialises in translating international trends to local opportunities.
«But most importantly, the Coldwell Banker smart home initiative allows sales associates to differentiate themselves through having knowledge about emerging trends in the home that other brokers haven't grasped or participated in,» says Burns, who points to climate control and security as the two smart home features that are in high demand among buyers in his local market.
Such factors include, but are not limited to: the Company's ability to meet debt service requirements, the availability and terms of financing, changes in the Company's credit rating, changes in market rates of interest and foreign exchange rates for foreign currencies, changes in value of investments in foreign entities, the ability to hedge interest rate risk, risks associated with the acquisition, development, expansion, leasing and management of properties, general risks related to retail real estate, the liquidity of real estate investments, environmental liabilities, international, national, regional and local economic climates, changes in market rental rates, trends in the retail industry, relationships with anchor tenants, the inability to collect rent due to the bankruptcy or insolvency of tenants or otherwise, risks relating to joint venture properties, costs of common area maintenance, competitive market forces, risks related to international activities, insurance costs and coverage, terrorist activities, changes in economic and market conditions and maintenance of our status as a real estate investment trust.