Still, the bottom line remains: currency - hedged US Equity funds still lag that
local currency returns by a significant margin over the long term.
I've updated it with the data for the past two years on the performance of the iShares MSCI EAFE CAD - Hedged Index Fund (TSX: XIN) relative to MSCI EAFE
local currency returns.
Not exact matches
When
local currencies strengthen versus the dollar, the
return on the ADR is boosted.
Iran's central bank last week prohibited
local banks from dealing in cryptocurrencies due to concerns about money - laundering as the country tries to halt a
currency crisis ahead of a possible
return of crippling sanctions.
Bonds denominated in renminbi in the Hong Kong market, known as CNH bonds, outperformed dollar - denominated and other
local currency bonds in Asia last year, with a more than 6 % total
return in dollar terms, as investors sought stability in the resilience of the Chinese
currency, according to a report by HSBC.
The following chart, constructed from data in the paper, summarizes average equity
return (ERP plus risk - free rate) estimates in
local currencies for the 59 countries with more than five responses from finance / economic professors, analysts and company managers.
Emerging - market
local currency bonds
returned almost 3 per cent, while equities from developing nations also clung onto gains.
Baked into the
returns of every overseas stock or bond is exposure to its
local currency.
«Investing in food producing farmland in the tax - friendly nation of the Republic of Vanuatu with our cluster concept in agriculture Malekula farm lets offers an investment that is out of reach from being diminished by most
currency meltdowns and loss of value by state and
local government seizure and also provides a cash
return.
Returns expressed in
local currency and include reinvested dividends.Past performance is not a guarantee of how the markets will perform in the future.
You'll notice that many of the YTD
returns are different when adjusted for
local currency appreciation or depreciation and the relative devaluation of various emerging market
currencies is another theme that has come to the fore in 2014.
The botanists will pay up to half of the value of the debt in dollars, and in
return they will get the full value of the debt paid back to them in soft
local currency, doubling the money available for botanical research in Madagascar.
When calculated in
local currencies, the year - to - date
return is 6 percent.
Despite the weakness in
local currencies, the S&P Pan Asia Bond Index, which is designed to track
local currency bonds in 10 countries and is calculated in USD, delivered a total
return of 1.45 % for 2015.
Here XIN's benchmark really does make more sense, since the EAFE index includes many different
currencies, so no investor could possibly achieve
local returns in all of them.
The competing international index funds from TD and RBC track the MSCI EAFE index with
returns measured in their
local currencies.
So investors in XIN should expect the same
return in Canadian dollars that
local investors in Europe, Asia and Australia receive in their own
currencies.
So if you're a U.S. investor like me, and you hold international ETFs, you may notice that a strong U.S. dollar can diminish your
returns because those investments are held in the
local currency.
But it is comforting to know that the
local currency exposure should add a long - term incremental
return, rather than eat away at the attractive real yield through depreciation.
For instance, over the 24 months through 31 January 2018, EM assets delivered cumulative
returns of 78.11 % for equities, 31.88 % for
local bonds and 20.21 % for
currencies (as proxied by the MSCI EM index for equities, JPMorgan GBI - EM Global Diversified Composite (Unhedged) index for
local debt and JPMorgan ELMI + Composite for
currencies).
Volatility is measured by the standard deviation of five years of weekly total
returns in
local currency.
Fortunately, MSCI Barra reports the
returns of MSCI EAFE and other MSCI indices in
local currencies on their website.
The objective of the hedged i - Shares product is to hedge the US / Loonie exchange, not hedge the
local -
currency / Loonie, It tries to replicate the
returns of the US product.
The following table shows the annual total
returns of MSCI EAFE Index in its
local currencies (column 2) with XIN (column 3).
But the MSCI people's
returns in
local currency do match the ETF's
returns more closely.
Class A shares with sales charges performance reflects the maximum 5.5 % sales charge, with the following exceptions: Class A shares of Hartford Emerging Markets
Local Debt, Hartford High Yield, Hartford Inflation Plus, Hartford Municipal Opportunities, Hartford Municipal Real
Return, Hartford Strategic Income, Hartford Total
Return Bond, Hartford World Bond, Hartford Schroders Emerging Markets Debt and
Currency, Hartford Schroders Tax - Aware Bond, Hartford Schroders Emerging Markets Multi-Sector Bond and Hartford Schroders Global Strategic Bond reflect a maximum 4.5 % sales charge; Class A shares of Hartford Floating Rate and Hartford Floating Rate High Income reflect a maximum 3.0 % sales charge; Class A shares of Hartford Short Duration reflect a maximum 2.0 % sales charge.
That has been a benefit for Canadians who hold US equities: not only did the stocks deliver huge
returns in their
local currency in 2013, but we got a further boost thanks to the appreciation of the US dollar.
Does anyone know where I can obtain
returns for the MSCI EAFE Index in
local currency?
We focused on the US and emerging markets, measuring
returns for bonds priced in dollars and in
local currencies.
The long - term
return of the index shown in
local currency is indeed astonishing.
TDB904 hedges the
currency exposure for a small extra fee of 0.15 % and is designed to provide the same total
return as the S&P 500 in its
local currency, in this case the US dollar.
All
returns are in
local currency unless otherwise stated.
In fact, in all markets, the SD of USD
returns was much less than the SD of
local currency and SD of
local markets.
In fact, Dimson found negative correlation between stock market
returns in
local currency and USD - foreign
currency changes.
For instance, an U.S. investor in Canadian stocks would have experienced real
returns with a standard deviation of 16.8 % in
local currency, 4.6 % in exchange rate and 18.4 % in U.S. dollar terms.
That said, he expects tougher
returns in 2018, with hard - and
local -
currency markets providing mid-single-digit and high - single to low - double digit
returns, respectively.
The Markit iBoxx Asian
Local Bond Index tracks the total return performance of a bond portfolio consisting of local - currency denominated, high quality and liquid bonds in Asia ex-J
Local Bond Index tracks the total
return performance of a bond portfolio consisting of
local - currency denominated, high quality and liquid bonds in Asia ex-J
local -
currency denominated, high quality and liquid bonds in Asia ex-Japan.
So if Japanese stocks go up 5 % in their
local currency, Canadian investors should also expect a 5 %
return, regardless of whether the yen gained or lost value relative to our dollar.
All Canadian Bonds: 5.4 % Short Canadian Bonds: 4.5 % Real
Return Bonds: 14.5 % Canadian Stocks (S&P / TSX Composite): 35.1 % US Stocks (S&P 500): 9.2 % (26.5 % in USD) Developed Markets (MSCI EAFE Index): 14.4 % (25.4 % in
local currency) Emerging Markets: 54.6 % (62.8 % in
local currency) REITs: 55.3 %
J.P. Morgan EMBI Global Diversified Index, representing hard
currency / US dollar sovereigns,
returned -1.46 % for the month while the J.P. Morgan GBI - EM Global Diversified Index, representing
local currency,
returned -2.96 %, and J.P. Morgan CEMBI Broad Diversified Index, representing corporates, was down -0.66 % for the month.
As the capital
return on a foreign investment is converted to
local currency at the current exchange rate, there is a
currency gain on the capital gain component in addition to the
currency gain on the capital invested.
Thereafter it is the total
return index based on 50 % of the ACWI measured in Sterling and 50 % measured in
local currencies.
• For all developed equity markets the expected real
return in
local currencies is positive and the probability of negative real
returns after ten years is generally low.