The YouGov
local election poll in the Sun today is based on just repondents in those areas that actually have local elections in May — that is, excluding London, Scotland, Wales and the 13 or so councils who do not have elections this year (primarily Cornwall, Durham, the Isle of Wight, Northumberland, Shropshire and Wiltshire, with a handful of district councils with unusual electoral cycles).
Plus Philip Cowley on
local election polls and Gregory Claeys on the relevance of Karl Marx as his 200th birthday approaches
Prime Minister Brown suffered some crushing defeats at
the local election polls last week, while Boris Johnson's victory over Labour's Ken Livingston as London mayor added to his political woes.
Not exact matches
One in four voters backed UKIP in the 2013
local elections but
polls suggest the Paul Nuttall - party is steadily in decline and could suffer around 105 net losses today.
These
local and mayoral
elections are unusual because they come just five weeks before voters will go back to the
polls for the general
election, and slap - bang in the middle of the political parties»
election campaigns.
Since there are no exit
polls for the referendum, unlike the general
election, this is our best gauge of voter sentiment until results start trickling in from
local counting areas around 1 a.m. BST.
View fullscreen
Hundreds of polling stations are in place across Birmingham for the local government election today (May 4).
The full results of the
local elections won't be known until Friday evening, as some councils don't start the count until the day after
polling...
The voter ID pilot has descended into chaos during the
local elections as constituents have been turned away from their
polling stations.
By Selina Robinson, B.C. New Democrat spokesperson for
local government This Saturday, voters across the province head to the
polls to cast their ballots in
local government
elections.
Residents living in 88
local authorities across England, Scotland and Wales took to the
polls on Thursday, with results declared on Friday indicating a boost for Theresa May ahead of next month's General
Election.
Ukip candidates are hoping to put in a strong
polling performance today as voters go to the
polls in
local elections across England.
The explanatory variable is the four - year change (i.e. since the previous round of
elections) in the opinion
poll shares for the three main parties taken in the month before the
local elections.
The Conservatives are continuing to struggle in opinion
polls after their drubbing in last month's
local elections.
The 2008
local elections and the 2009 European
elections followed in due course; by 2010 the machine was well - oiled enough that in the final week before
polling day it was a case of getting rid of surplus leaflets rather than rushing to target specific areas.
Our inability to coexist in my views may not be the only hurdle against 2019 general
election as the age - long underage registration / voting challenge mooted above raised its ugly head in a recent but still trending video captured during a registration exercise and a
local council
poll in some states.
This analysis confirms what we might have anticipated from the evidence of the
polls —
local authorities appear to contain more Leave voters if there was a large vote for UKIP there in the 2014 European
elections, if there was a small vote for parties of the «left» (Labour, Liberal Democrats, Scottish and Welsh Nationalists and Greens) on the same occasion, and in places with relatively low proportions of graduates, young people, and people from an ethnic minority background.
He insisted that the
local elections were a test of the Tory government and criticised reporters for asking about
polls instead of «focussing on the issues».
England could truly start to look like a four - party electoral system today, as much of the country goes to the
polls in
local elections.
However, at the end of the day, in order to work the new structures that will emerge from the Deals (including elected City Region mayors) will have to take root in the
local communities, and have the people behind them — at the
polls in
local and city region
elections; but also on a daily basis.
The Conservatives appear to have ended their assault on Ukip one day before this year's shire
local elections, as a
poll puts Nigel Farage's party on an eye - watering 22 %.
The results of the
local and European
elections look set to go to the wire, with the last batch of opinion
polls putting Labour and Ukip neck - and - neck
On Wednesday morning, these supporters will be lucky if they see an
Election Day message encouraging them to get out and vote, or a link to help them find
local polling places.
Details of the Thanet South
poll were released after the
local Conservative MP Laura Sandys announced her intention to stand down at the next
election.
After the shock of last week's
poll suggesting that Labour might lose their first general
election in Wales since 1918, what message emerges from the
local elections about the prospects for June 8th?
This meant looking at
polling data on voting intentions in key marginal seats, votes in the most recent
local elections and the resources each party is likely to have to spend on campaigning in the area.
Meanwhile, for the Liberal Democrats, their changing opinion
poll performance relative to the Conservatives, but not Labour, has historically been correlated with headline
local election seat changes.
Given that the
polls are showing that around half of former UKIP voters are planning on voting Conservative this year, and given that the Conservatives clearly benefitted from the collapse of the UKIP vote in the
local elections, surely UKIP dropout is a big advantage for Theresa May?
Election Dates for 2018: Federal Primary - June 26, 2018 (TBD) STATE AND
LOCAL PRIMARY - THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 13, 2018 (TBD) General
Election - November 6, 2018 (
Polls Open 6 am to 9 pm)
The graph below shows the BBC Projected National Share of the vote (PNS) from
local elections together with general
election vote intention from the
polls for the month before each round of
local elections.
As someone who gives a somewhat greater credibility to
polls than many, I was not among those of the true faith who never doubted that Labour would do well, and indeed was, until late April, in despair as
polls had consistently for about five months indicated a Tory landslide, for which the poor
local election -LSB-...]
Continue reading What do the
polls tell us about
local election results?
[99] On the same day, Labour
polled ahead of all other parties at the
local elections, winning 31 % of the vote and taking control of six additional councils.
Local council election results in the wards making up Hallam constituency, while by no means good for the Liberal Democrats, paint a more equivocal picture than the polls, as a comparison of the 2010 local election results with those in the most recent local elections in 2014 s
Local council
election results in the wards making up Hallam constituency, while by no means good for the Liberal Democrats, paint a more equivocal picture than the
polls, as a comparison of the 2010
local election results with those in the most recent local elections in 2014 s
local election results with those in the most recent
local elections in 2014 s
local elections in 2014 shows.
In a number of Labour targets, constituency
polls and
local election results suggest the party simply does not have enough of a lead (and sometimes none at all) over the Conservative incumbent.
As campaigning for the
local elections reaches its climax, one particular
poll finding has caught my eye.
As opinion
polls and results from
local and European Parliament
elections showed, promising to abolish tuition fees at the last
election proved to be a colossal error.
Jeremy Corbyn and his party performed poorly elsewhere in the 2017
local elections and with a large Conservative
poll lead, the Tories expected to make large gains in the area at the general
election.
The Conservatives are up by 8 points and Labour up by 6 points in the
polls since just before the 2014
local elections, when most the seats up for
election this week were last fought.
My forecasting model for seat gains / losses at
local elections has previously been a simple model based on change in party support in the
polls.
A Com / Res
poll for ITV on 30 April put UKIP 11 points ahead of Labour, with 38 % of voters saying they intend to vote for Nigel Farage's party at the European and
local elections on 22 May.
According to
local media, 66 out of the 73 elected lawmakers were certificated, leaving out seven who are facing legal challenges over their
election in the Oct. 10 general
polls.
The
elections in Bayelsa State was also in two parts - the substantive
election on December 5, 2015 and a supplementary in Southern Ijaw
local government and 101
polling units in six
local governments across the state.
The Mavens of London research, which was originally reported by Politics.co.uk, combines traditional
polling data with information about people's online searches for their
local candidates to come up with predictions of the
election result.
Not only is this an extremely rare sight in Congo, but it is an occurrence that many
locals believe is being undertaken to strategically coincide with
election season, the logic being that voters will go to the
polls with evidence of development and progress fresh in their minds.
Plaid Cymru members are hoping their new leader will give nationalists a boost at the
polls, as the party launches its
local government
elections campaign.
[55] He also proposed a target to double the number of Lib Dem MPs within two
elections, and before the 2008
local elections confirmed that he was pleased with their performance in the
polls.
The net effects of this trend are reflected in the vote intention
polls, but geographical implications for this year's
local elections are not part of my model.
The Tory party is on course to achieve its lowest - ever
polling in Euro
elections and will receive a drubbing in the
local elections held at the same time.
MONUSCO's electoral division consists of 51 professional (international) staff, 86 UN volunteers and 41
local staff, working around the clock to distribute the 4,000 tons of
election material: 186,000 ballot boxes and 64 million voting cards to 62,000
polling stations (BBC 2011).