Klement uses the indicator to predict real returns on
local equity markets over the next five to ten years (shown in Exhibits 11 and 12 extracted below):
We find that the Shiller - PE is a reliable long - term valuation indicator for developed and emerging markets and we use the indicator to predict real returns on
local equity markets over the next five to ten years.
Not exact matches
While Japan's TOPIX index has turned in a respectable performance — 10 % in
local terms and 15 % in dollar terms — EM
equities have been the standout performer: The MSCI Emerging
Market Index is up
over 25 % year - to - date.
Against this environment, our strategists remain bullish on
equities and continue to favor emerging
market currencies and, in the fixed income space, prefer
local markets over external debt and maintain their higher - yielding yet better - quality bias.
While Japan's TOPIX index has turned in a respectable performance — 10 % in
local terms and 15 % in dollar terms — EM
equities have been the standout performer: The MSCI Emerging
Market Index is up
over 25 % year - to - date.