Regional trends are notoriously problematic for models, and seems more likely to me that the underprediction of European warming has to do with either the modeled ocean temperature pattern, the modelled atmospheric response to this pattern, or some problem related to
the local hydrological cycle and boundary layer moisture dynamics.
Not exact matches
January 2004: «Directions for Climate Research» Here, ExxonMobil outlines areas where it deemed more research was necessary, such as «natural climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the
hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and
local scale.»
but no significative changes in the global
hydrological cycle only small und big
local precipitation's changes
While the
local nature of ABCs around polluted cities has been known since the early 1900s, the widespread transoceanic and transcontinental nature of ABCs as well as their large - scale effects on climate,
hydrological cycle, and agriculture were discovered inadvertently by The Indian Ocean Experiment (INDOEX), an international experiment conducted in the 1990s over the Indian Ocean.
The scientists analyzed tree - ring data and other indicators of
local historical climate and found neither climate change nor natural
hydrological cycles to be responsible for the diminishing of the lake.
Within HYDRA this uncertainty in the
hydrological cycle on both the global and
local scales will be explored.
When done so, proxy records and climate models indicate that the response to past global warming was profound, with evidence for global reorganisation of the
hydrological cycle and profound
local increases and decreases in rainfall; combined with elevated temperatures and terrestrial vegetation change, this appears to often result in warming - enhanced soil organic matter oxidation, chemical weathering and nutrient
cycling.