Not exact matches
Can this be expected for large scale
phenomena like Enso, zonal winds etc. and could this lead in the long - term also to better
local climate forecasts and even
weather forecasts?
Their causes range from completely unpredictable events like volcanic eruptions (which have mainly
local effects) to more regular
phenomena such as «El Niño» (a warming of the surface waters of the tropical Pacific that occurs every three to five years, temporarily affecting
weather world - wide).
This climatic
phenomenon creates considerable concern among the
local population: exceptionally hot
weather across Jordan made many farmers worried.
-- modelling procedure requires crude approximations over large grid cells, ignoring
local climate and
weather phenomena as large as hurricances — model projections are demonstrably unreliable at regional and
local level: even those that appear to simulate the evolution of global temperature do so only by averaging hundreds of more or less wrong results for the grid cells.
ii) we do not have enough information about the present to predict
local phenomena in great detail (even daily
weather forecasts are quite generalised)