I can see the relevance of the profile for examining
long cycle events like glaciation, which is Peter Clark's specialty, but I do not see how this particular analysis can help answer the important and interesting questions you raised and that we all would like to be answered.
Not exact matches
Explaining the industry and what's going on takes the form of several audiences; one being the overly - optimistic entrepreneur who still has aspirations of raising capital to get their company to a liquidity
event, another being the up and coming venture capitalist in training (think decades
long training
cycles) who recently finds themselves a free agent as the asset class shrinks and wants to start their own fund, and the final being ambitious MBA's switching careers and see venture capital as the preferred destination.
For starters, it attracts investors with a
long - term view, rather than just those seeking a quick liquidity
event later in the
cycle.
[16:00] Pain + reflection = progress [16:30] Creating a meritocracy to draw the best out of everybody [18:30] How to raise your probability of being right [18:50] Why we are conditioned to need to be right [19:30] The neuroscience factor [19:50] The habitual and environmental factor [20:20] How to get to the other side [21:20] Great collective decision - making [21:50] The 5 things you need to be successful [21:55] Create audacious goals [22:15] Why you need problems [22:25] Diagnose the problems to determine the root causes [22:50] Determine the design for what you will do about the root causes [23:00] Decide to work with people who are strong where you are weak [23:15] Push through to results [23:20] The loop of success [24:15] Ray's new instinctual approach to failure [24:40] Tony's ritual after every
event [25:30] The review that changed Ray's outlook on leadership [27:30] Creating new policies based on fairness and truth [28:00] What people are missing about Ray's culture [29:30] Creating meaningful work and meaningful relationships [30:15] The importance of radical honesty [30:50] Thoughtful disagreement [32:10] Why it was the relationships that changed Ray's life [33:10] Ray's biggest weakness and how he overcame it [34:30] The jungle metaphor [36:00] The dot collector — deciding what to listen to [40:15] The wanting of meritocratic decision - making [41:40] How to see bubbles and busts [42:40] Productivity [43:00] Where we are in the
cycle [43:40] What the Fed will do [44:05] We are late in the
long - term debt cycle [44:30] Long - term debt is going to be squeezing us [45:00] We have 2 economies [45:30] This year is very similar to 1937 [46:10] The top tenth of the top 1 % of wealth = bottom 90 % combined [46:25] How this creates populism [47:00] The economy for the bottom 60 % isn't growing [48:20] If you look at averages, the country is in a bind [49:10] What are the overarching principles that bind us toget
long - term debt
cycle [44:30]
Long - term debt is going to be squeezing us [45:00] We have 2 economies [45:30] This year is very similar to 1937 [46:10] The top tenth of the top 1 % of wealth = bottom 90 % combined [46:25] How this creates populism [47:00] The economy for the bottom 60 % isn't growing [48:20] If you look at averages, the country is in a bind [49:10] What are the overarching principles that bind us toget
Long - term debt is going to be squeezing us [45:00] We have 2 economies [45:30] This year is very similar to 1937 [46:10] The top tenth of the top 1 % of wealth = bottom 90 % combined [46:25] How this creates populism [47:00] The economy for the bottom 60 % isn't growing [48:20] If you look at averages, the country is in a bind [49:10] What are the overarching principles that bind us together?
As
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A detailed,
long - term ocean temperature record derived from corals on Christmas Island in Kiribati and other islands in the tropical Pacific shows that the extreme warmth of recent El Niño
events reflects not just the natural ocean - atmosphere
cycle but a new factor: global warming caused by human activity.
While these don't vary as quickly as shorter - term phenomena such as the El Nino
events and episodes and the solar
cycles, when looking at decadal and
longer - term phenomena they dwarf the faster ENSO, SSN, etc. phenomena.
While this milieu benefits us in acute
events such as injury,
long term (or, chronic) inflammation is a vicious
cycle producing on - going tissue and joint damage.
Along with the
Long Cycle (also called Clean & Jerk) and Snatch, the Jerk is one of the primary
events in Kettlebell Sport competition.
And there are some lab studies that fail to find a benefit even in
long events (e.g. 100 km
cycling time trial) when the carbo - loading is placebo - controlled.
Once I realized the
cycle of
events that occurs: antibiotics lead to depleted good bacteria in gut, which opens the door to fungi like candida, which leads to intestinal permeability (leaky gut or dysbiosis), which leads to inflammation, and if left unchecked for too
long opens up the door to auto immune disorders like chronic fatigue, food allergies, rheumatoid arthritis, fibromyalgia, hashimoto's, etc..
For eons, the Mayans prophesied that on December 21, 2012 — the end - date of the 5,126 - year
cycle of the Mesoamerican
Long Count calendar — there would be a cataclysmic, earth - shattering
event.
Curse of the Mayans: For eons, the Mayans prophesied that on December 21, 2012 — the end - date of the 5,126 - year
cycle of the Mesoamerican
Long Count calendar — there would be a cataclysmic, earth - shattering
event.
This Boston meeting was the kick - off
event for the 2015 - 16 Mathematics PT Development
Cycle, a year -
long series of meetings where teachers and experts create performance tasks, one of the components of the Smarter assessments.
Description of Recall: Nissan North America, Inc. (Nissan) is recalling certain 2009 - 2012 Versa Hatchback, and 2009 - 2011 Versa Sedan vehicles ever registered in the states of Alabama, California, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Louisiana, Mississippi, South Carolina, Texas, Puerto Rico, American Samoa, Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands (Saipan), and the U.S. Virgin Islands or «Zone A.» Additionally, Nissan is recalling certain 2009 - 2010 Versa Hatchback, and Versa Sedan vehicles ever registered in the states of Arizona, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Maryland, Missouri, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia or «Zone B.» Nissan is also recalling certain 2009 Versa Hatchback and Versa Sedan vehicles ever registered in the states of Alaska, Colorado, Connecticut, Idaho, Iowa, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, New Hampshire, New York, North Dakota, Oregon, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Utah, Vermont, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming or «Zone C.» In the
event of a crash necessitating deployment of the passenger frontal air bag, these passenger air bag inflator may explode due to propellant degradation occurring after
long - term exposure to absolute humidity and temperature
cycling.
In the
Long Count Calendar, the lords make up a perpetual
cycle each serving as a current lord of the night, influencing daily
events.
The antithesis of religious pageantry, this
cycling race is an excitement - filled, 140 - mile -
long event that takes cyclists from Belize City to San Ignacio / Santa Elena and back.
The Rio summer Olympics are nearly here so if you want to play a few different
events like jumping hurdles, swimming,
cycling or even the
long jump — then be sure to help the stickman out!
After a
long development
cycle and many exhibitions at
events such as the Perth Games Festival and PAX Australia, BrambleLash is scheduled to be released September 13th, 2017 on PC / Mac, with a console release on Xbox One / PS4 coming in 2018.
In an
event for a live audience aptly scheduled for Valentine's Day, the couple from the video performed once more the hour -
long cycle of slapstick violence around the table, completing Etchells» series of inter-related components which highlight the complex relationship between live action, documentation, prop and script; all equally valid as sites of
event.
For Kiefer, Khlebnikov's 317 - year
cycle is useful in that it allows him to depict these broken 20th - century vessels in the light of naval engagements,
long sea journeys, shipping losses and the battles of the past - in short, to acknowledge both the human and the historical scale of past
events, and their place in our larger models of the world.
Due to this semi-random nature of weather, it is wrong to blame any one
event such as Katrina specifically on global warming — and of course it is just as indefensible to blame Katrina on a
long - term natural
cycle in the climate.
Back - of - the - envelope calculations show that the latent heat absorbed by melting of ice after surges (e.g., the melting of > 1500 years of ice accumulation during Dansgaard - Oeschger
events — which seem to have happened in unison across the northern hemisphere, or the
longer > 5ky Bond
cycles) can significantly contribute to the global energy balance.
Whereas this has had noticeable, negative impacts that are expected to worsen in every region of the United States and its territories, including, among other significant weather
events and environmental disruptions,
longer and hotter heat waves, more severe storms, worsening flood and drought
cycles, growing invasive species and insect problems, threatened native plant and wildlife populations, rising sea levels, and, when combined with a lack of proper forest management, increased wildfire risk;
Over very
long time periods such that the carbon
cycle is in equilibrium with the climate, one gets a sensitivity to global temperature of about 20 ppm CO2 / deg C, or 75 ppb CH4 / deg C. On shorter timescales, the sensitivity for CO2 must be less (since there is no time for the deep ocean to come into balance), and variations over the last 1000 years or so (which are less than 10 ppm), indicate that even if Moberg is correct, the maximum sensitivity is around 15 ppm CO2 / deg C. CH4 reacts faster, but even for short term excursions (such as the 8.2 kyr
event) has a similar sensitivity.
On a
longer term, why is the Bond
Event climate
cycle somewhat correlated with the 1500 year solar cyclicality, or is it a coincidence?
E.M.Smith (15:56:50): On a
longer term, why is the Bond
Event climate
cycle somewhat correlated with the 1500 year solar cyclicality, or is it a coincidence?
The solar application offers the potential for the
long - range prediction of SOI behavior and associated rainfall variations, since quasi-periodicity in solar activity results in an expected
cycle of situations and phases that are not random
events.
In any
event the time constant seems to be ~ 10 years The Schwartz paper says: «The time constant of Earth's climate system is 5 ± 1 years OR 16 ± 3 years» My guess is when they do not detrend they get the contribution from the
longer cycle and ends up with 16 years.
Predictive assesments, so far in form of analogies, have been made: Because the solar motion in the next decades will be chaotic, lower and
longer solar
cycles (with irregular length), ocurrence of huge volcanic
events and a decrease of global surface air temperature can be expected.
Gerald Bond found evidence of cosmogenic isotope changes at each of a
long series of warming followed by cooling
events (he has able to track 25
events through current interglacial Holocene and into the last glacial period, at which point he reached the limit of the range of the proxy analysis technique) which indicates a solar magnetic
cycle change caused the warming followed by cooling
cycle.
Take, for example, the way The Sun gets «disappeared» from the reports... and nearly no mention of
long cycle historical
events (Bond, D.O., LIA / MWP / Roman Optimum,...)
A number of less controversial paleo reconstructions indicate much
longer term pseudo-periodic «
cycles» with many indicating a pesky Bond
event occurring every 1000 years or so.
But as for
long - term (decadal) oceanic
events such as the AMO — do they actually exist as some sort of real physical
cycle, or are they only a collection of random natural variations that we interpret in our minds as some sort of «real» thing?
events and the many other
long term temperature
cycles visible in the Holocene record?
GCRs are modulated by both solar magnetic field, which is largely unpredictable in strength except for generalities associated with 11 - year sunspot
cycle and is also modulated by unpredictable
events like nearby supernovas, and by more predictable very very
long slow changes in intensity due to the solar system traversing spiral arms of our galaxy and wandering above and below the galactic plane in
cycles lasting tens and hundreds of millions of years.
Using Big Data, design and build portfolio of
event - driven and
long - short trading algorithms to exploit various
cycle and seasonal trading opportunities using TradeStation.