The recent noise from the FED seems to have caused a REVERSAL IN
LONG DOLLAR POSITIONS as the short dollar trade was every major investment bank's favorite trade for 2016.
Immediately post-election, I went
long the dollar on a thesis that a rising budget deficit and monetary tightening would lead to a strong currency.
(Investors) unwound positions immediately after his victory and laid on
fresh long dollar, long stock trades,» said Kathy Lien, managing director of foreign exchange strategy at BK Asset Management in a note on Friday.
Some of Wednesdays trading was likely market participants taking advantage of Tuesdays moves to buy currencies at cheaper levels, or to
exit long dollar positions, after much of Asia and Europe returned from the May Day holiday, said Osborne.
The U.S. economy is not recovering and the U.S. short term interest rates are not going to rise which removes the argument for being
long the Dollar vs. the Yen and Euro.
«The easy money being
long dollar has already been made.
Being
long dollars has become an extremely comfortable consensus.
The authors also note that
the longer the dollar - cost averaging time frame, the greater the chance of the lump - sum method outperforming.
Anybody who is owed money in U.S. dollars should be covering their butts now, collecting what they can BEFORE the inflation hits and not exposing themselves to any more risk via being
LONG dollars - JUST LIKE THE BANKS ARE DOING NOW.
In the Wiki example, the trader is
long the Dollar, short the Rupee.
The example is
long dollar, short rupee, trader has profited by rupee dropping in value compared to the dollar.