The availability of capital to fund unconventional production is the key to how
long low oil prices will last going forward.
Not exact matches
Andurand, who runs
oil hedge fund Andurand Capital Management LLP, wrote in a string of tweets on Sunday that companies may be less willing to risk investment in
long term
oil projects because of
low crude barrel
prices and a predicted peak in electric vehicle demand.
The
long era of too much
oil sloshing around the world and
low prices is coming to an end, just as global events are heating up crude
prices.
With
oil prices now above the
long - term average,
oil consumption is no
longer getting a boost from
low prices and is increasingly reliant on strong economic growth around the world.
If you're talking about a new project with no significant investment already deployed, building a new mine if you expect today's
prices to hold in the
long term is a tough call — a 50 - year
oil sands project is a lot of risk for less than a 10 % rate of return — but even there, you can see the impact of the
lower Canadian dollar and the hedge provided by a royalty regime which
lowers rates when
prices are
low.
General Electric's deal with Baker Hughes to create the world's No. 2 oilfield services business is the clearest signal yet that consolidation is picking up in the energy sector as companies face
long - term
lower oil prices.
BP CEO Robert Dudley correctly called the «
lower for
longer»
oil prices of 2015 - 2016 and he's making predictions again.
If you're talking about a new project with no significant investment already deployed, building a new mine if you expect today's
prices to hold in the
long term is a tough call — a 50 year
oil sands project is a lot of risk for less than a 10 per cent rate of return — but even there, you can see the impact of the
lower Canadian dollar and the hedge provided by a royalty regime which
lowers rates when
prices are
low.
The
longer that the
low oil prices last, the
longer that very high
prices will persist in future years due to the extreme drop in spending on current exploration.
First, Canadian
oil producers have
lowered their
long - term outlook for global
oil prices, and have cut their plans for investment spending significantly more than previously announced.
What's more, analysts with Bank of America Merrill Lynch believe that
oil demand will peak sometime after 2050, «as
long as we remain in a relatively
low oil price environment of $ 55 - 75 per barrel in real terms.»
With the much
lower than expected
oil prices, we can no
longer expect Alberta to be the driver of economic growth in Canada.
The International Energy Agency that previously warned of
lower for
longer oil prices and warned last year that the
oil price recovery was threatened by the possibility of weak demand now has changed its tune and is now saying that it is «mission accomplished» for OPEC as
oil stocks shrink at a record pace.
Long - term interest rates are currently
low due to
low global inflation expectations and moderate growth potential in Canada due to
lower oil prices, a heavily indebted household sector and a weakened manufacturing base due to relatively high unit labour costs.
«I think no deal is probably better for the
longer - term because it continues this process of rebalancing and there is no rebalancing without pressure and pressure comes through
lower oil prices, through tighter credit and we're seeing all of that playing out nicely,» he said.
These charges reflect both a
lower oil and gas
price outlook and the firm steps we are taking to review and reduce Shell's
longer - term option set.
Lower prices for base metals and
oil today do not mean that
long - term investments, which may take years to complete and last for decades, were somehow a mistake.
More than three years after Bob Dudley said that
oil prices would be
lower for
longer, BP's chief executive still thinks «a
price of $ 50 a barrel looks like the right number to plan on for the rest of the decade.»
One small group thinks that
lower for
longer could end soon because U.S. shale can't keep a lid on
prices forever and can't catch up with expected robust demand — all the more so that investments in conventional supply around the world have slumped since the
oil prices started crashing.
It remains to be seen if
oil prices will remain
low for a
long period of time, but the Federal Reserve's actions, which have kept lending rates near record
lows since 2009, have allowed airlines like Alaska access to capital at a reasonably cheap cost.
Higher
oil prices would reinforce current market trends based on reflation: rising
long - term bond yields and a shift out of perceived safer assets — bond proxies and
low - volatility stocks — and into cyclical assets such as EM.
What is clear is that the
longer oil prices remain
low, the greater the hardship will be on the Gulf's population.
By now, it should be obvious that the Saudis and their Gulf allies are playing the
long game when it comes to the current
oil situation, and that means keeping the taps flowing in the midst of a global glut no matter how
low prices go.
With the Alberta twist on LOL —
lower for
longer oil prices — the government has cancelled its earlier promise of a balanced budget by 2020.
With
lower prices forcing many
oil companies to take on more debt, the bankruptcy or closure of one or more major
oil companies is not an impossible scenario, and would have major repercussions on
oil prices, both in the short and
long term.
The potential reduction in Chinese imports could lead to
lower oil prices for much
longer, Gunzberg says.
As
long as Canada remains weak because of
low oil prices, a weakened currency and a general slowdown of the world economy, we'll continue to see opportunities in the beaten down Canadian banking sector.
The
lower - for -
longer outlook for
oil prices took its heaviest toll yet in the third quarter as
oil companies again reported a dramatic drop in income.
Yes potentially
longer - term
low oil prices means the risk of
lower earnings next year are increased.
The last time this happened the unwinding of the large
long position in 2014 sent
oil prices crashing from $ 107 per barrel to a
low of $ 26 per barrel.
With
oil prices trending near their
long - term
lows, you can profit from a rebound by buying
oil stocks and energy - related stocks.
The committee, in a communique issued at the end of its first meeting for the 2016 fiscal period in Abuja, observed that while the period of
low oil prices, which occurred in 2005, lasted for a maximum of eight months, the current situation was expected to continue over a
longer period of time.
But if
oil prices stay too
low for too
long, they will no
longer be able to afford to keep purchasing CO2.
The last time
oil prices stayed
low for a very
long time was the 1980s and 1990s.
As we mentioned in our last quarterly update, with declining
oil prices driving
oil shares
lower, it is easy to lose sight of the
longer term fundamental case for
oil and gas.
No one really knows how
long oil prices will continue to support
low mortgage rates.
I'm a
long term bull on
oil, and consider $ 70 - 75 as pretty much the
lower bound on
prices, coupled with frequent and ultimately sustained
price spikes above $ 100.
What this argues for is crude
oil prices staying
lower for a
longer period of time — my guess is between $ 30 and $ 50 per barrel of Brent - type crude.
ii) Corporate Stupidity: Focusing on
long - term asset values, particularly in this
lower oil price environment, assumes corporate execs.
«We want to make sure we buy
long lead - life,
low decline - rate assets at attractive valuations, with good balance sheets, in order to survive the short - term and very intense volatility we're seeing in the
price of
oil,» McKinley said.
They've done just fine through
longer periods of much
lower oil prices.
The contango exhibited in Crude
Oil in 2009 explains the discrepancy between the headline spot
price increase (bottoming at $ 35 and topping $ 80 in the year) and the various tradeable instruments for Crude
Oil (such as rolled contracts or
longer - dated futures contracts) showing a much
lower price increase.
Also, any incremental efforts to
lower world
oil prices will only facilitate the increased consumption of
oil by the emerging economies, so there's little to be gained in the short run and a lot to be lost in the
long run.
Over the last few months, a consensus has gelled that
lower crude
oil prices, if not these very
low prices, will persist for a
longer time, and that has led to significant cuts in spending — 30 to 50 percent for independent companies, and about 10 to 15 percent for the large companies.
Levi said
low oil prices can affect a
long - term exploration strategy simply by crimping cash flow:
I noted that
oil exploration is a «
long game» gauged around the likelihood for rising demand in decades to come, but asked if they thought
low prices (and projections for more of the same) played a role?
So while falling
oil prices may threaten renewables in the short - term, climate policies have the potential to act as a counterweight, encouraging
long - term,
low carbon, investment.
2)
Low oil prices mean difficult - to - decarbonize sectors of the economy — like
long - haul trucking and aviation — get even more difficult to decarbonize on a relative basis, increasing the demand for indirect GHG abatement options (such as CDR).
The 2010 Deepwater Horizon accident and spill in the Gulf of Mexico was a major setback for the offshore hydrocarbons industry; prospects for offshore
oil and gas have also been shaken by the shale revolution and by
lower prices, and must cope with
longer - term uncertainties over demand.
The analysis found, somewhat surprisingly, that only proceeding with
lower cost, less carbon - intensive projects needed to satisfy demand in a carbon - constrained world will add over $ 100 billion to the value of the world's seven
oil majors, unless
oil prices spike beyond $ 100 a barrel for a sustained period of time — well over OPEC's
long - term average assumption of around $ 80 a barrel.