Whether the flattening is a temporary hiatus in warming or a much
longer flat trend we shall have to wait to see.
Insisting on analysis broken out by Gregorian calendar decades allows you to discard the last three years of the current 17 year
long flat trend, and it also allows you to lump the first four years of that trend in with six prior years that you freely admit lie on the other side of a discontinuity in the temperature record.
Not exact matches
CMG NDR U.S. Large Cap
Long /
Flat Index is close to signaling a reduction to 80 % large cap exposure from 100 % and the 13 - week
trend line vs. the 34 - week
trend line is turning down (though still bullish).
Robert Frick, corporate economist at the Navy Federal Credit Union, said the numbers reflect a healthy
long - term
trend — companies have hired an average of 200,000 workers each month this year — but
flat wages concern him as the country hits 90 straight months of employment gains.
By following sharp money, tracking profitable historical
trends and utilizing a
flat betting strategy with a unit size representing 2 - 4 % of your bankroll, bettors will have success in the
long haul.
These
flattering and comfy dresses are part of the «festival
trend,»
long and short dresses that are inspired by the fashion of the 60s and 70s.
Sara Donaldson wears her
long line black coat over a sheer sweater, quirky frayed jeans and another fall
trend: slingback
flats.
And at almost 33 weeks pregnant, I'm no
longer rocking pumps on the reg, so you'll likely see me in
flats -LCB- loafers are super on
trend, these are a steal -RCB- with this pretty fall outfit.
Pointed - toe
flats are on -
trend, make your legs look
longer, and look a little more dressy (even if you're just rocking them on the way to the office).
You do not have to worry about the
trends as
flat and
long boots remain trendy the whole season and throughout the year.
Long - term
trend results, which were absolutely
flat in the decade just before accountability became the norm in the country, improved dramatically between 2000 and 2008.
Colorado students in 2014 took slight steps backward on the small academic gains made on standardized tests in recent years, part of a
long - term
trend of
flat scores, results released Thursday show.
This movement can cause a trader to
long for a simple
trending market or even a boring
flat market.
The methodology uses each futures contract's prevailing price
trend to determine if the portfolio will hold a
long or
flat position.
Can 20 years of
flat temperature
trend plus 12 years of increase equal a
long term
trend?
Given the decadal averages and the issue of what is meant by «the next» decade, Romm does have a point that the result of the paper could more clearly be described as representing «a period of
flat global mean temperatures extending somewhat into the coming decade, following by a very rapid rise in temperature leaving the planet on its
long - term
trend line by 2030.»
Additionally, the observed surface temperature changes over the past decade are within the range of model predictions (Figure 6) and decadal periods of
flat temperatures during an overall
long - term warming
trend are predicted by climate models (Easterling & Wehner 2009).
Linear
trends are appropriate for the time period after 1990 where the data are described well by a linear
trend plus interannual noise (that's why we show a linear
trend for the satellite sea level in our paper), but they don't capture the
longer - term climate evolution very well, e.g. the nearly
flat temperatures up to 1980.
However, I note that in my Hadcrut3 data, downloaded 14/10/2012 from http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/hadcrut3gl.txt, the global temperature is overall prettty
flat during the 1980s within a
longer warming
trend.
The Global Warming Prediction Project consists of a bunch of gutless wonders, frightened to use any past historical data, preferring instead to concentrate on a
flat period where there is no need to apply a
long term forcing
trend... such as CO2.
The
long - term linear
trend of the equatorial Pacific SST anomalies are incredibly
flat, meaning there is little
trend.
Only for the decreasing CO2 we will have to wait
longer but, but the CO2 annual growth already plateaued and the
trend is negative since 1997 and it's basically
flat since 1994.
Also, the current
flat trend is now more than 13 years
long.
The bottom line is that true bumps, dips, and
flat times punctuate the climate record, and need not be spurious in order to understand them to be fluctuations around a
longer term
trend, which for the past 100 years has been upward, with the years since 1950 well explained mainly by GHG - mediated forcing, plus a smaller contribution from other factors.
If the interval is
long enough (where «enough» could be variously defined, but could be cited for example as 17 years), one can begin to get to good idea, statistically, as to whether we are seeing a rising, falling, or
flat trend for that interval.
It is possible for the «true
trend», as estimated statistically, to be
flat because of the composite phenomena operating over the specified interval, even though the
longer trend is positive (for the last century) or negative (during certain paleoclimatologic intervals).
Assuming for argument's sake that the IPCC's calculation of the
long term
trend was broadly correct, would you expect temps to rise in a more or less linear fashion or would you expect there to be periods when temps were
flat or even falling?
But if the
long term
trend is a sine wave, the over all
trend is
flat across several cycles.
My take - away is that CAGW looks very unlikely, more unlikely every year the temperature continues to
flat - line, and that skeptics, by calling attention to their distrust of motivation, are huting the more important goal of educating the public, politicians, and especially journalists that the
longer term warming
trend we're in is NOT catastrophic.
If the authors don't provide a solid physical explanation for why we should no
longer expect to see the observed quadratic
trend we have been seeing since 1850 and instead expect no more than a linear
trend after 2000, the paper would appear to fall
flat on its face (at least as concerns its conclusions that climate sensitivity should be about 1/3 what the IPCC predicts).
A
flat line with slope of 0 containing a million data points satisfies your criterion of «non statistically significant
trend over a period
long enough for the statistical power of the test to be 95 %» but I can't see how it's relevant to the discussion.
The
long,
flat «handle» of the stick — extending back a full thousand years and sloping slightly downward in a cooling
trend from the deeper past toward more recent times — balanced with the dramatic upward jut of the «blade», made a satisfying and even arresting image.
The model outputs are generally presented as an average of an ensemble of individual runs (and even ensembles of individual runs from multiple models), in order to remove this variability from the overall picture, because among grownups it is understood that 1) the
long term
trends are what we're interested and 2) the coarseness of our measurements of initial conditions combined with a finite modeled grid size means that models can not predict precisely when and how temps will vary around a
trend in the real world (they can, however, by being run many times, give us a good idea of the * magnitude * of that variance, including how many years of
flat or declining temperatures we might expect to see pop up from time to time).
This was a
trend with a lot of early Android Wear smartwatches, such as the Moto 360, but almost all circular Android Wear smartwatches no
longer have a «
flat tire» and feature fully circular screens.
Flat design
trend is very popular and its become more attractive and beautiful with
Long Shadow.
Confirming the national
trend towards downsizing to more manageable homes, the number of
flats and townhouses built has also risen, brought to market by developers who continue to demonstrate confidence in the marketplace, following their return after a
long absence in the wake of the 2007 global financial crisis.