Sentences with phrase «longer flat trend»

Whether the flattening is a temporary hiatus in warming or a much longer flat trend we shall have to wait to see.
Insisting on analysis broken out by Gregorian calendar decades allows you to discard the last three years of the current 17 year long flat trend, and it also allows you to lump the first four years of that trend in with six prior years that you freely admit lie on the other side of a discontinuity in the temperature record.

Not exact matches

CMG NDR U.S. Large Cap Long / Flat Index is close to signaling a reduction to 80 % large cap exposure from 100 % and the 13 - week trend line vs. the 34 - week trend line is turning down (though still bullish).
Robert Frick, corporate economist at the Navy Federal Credit Union, said the numbers reflect a healthy long - term trend — companies have hired an average of 200,000 workers each month this year — but flat wages concern him as the country hits 90 straight months of employment gains.
By following sharp money, tracking profitable historical trends and utilizing a flat betting strategy with a unit size representing 2 - 4 % of your bankroll, bettors will have success in the long haul.
These flattering and comfy dresses are part of the «festival trendlong and short dresses that are inspired by the fashion of the 60s and 70s.
Sara Donaldson wears her long line black coat over a sheer sweater, quirky frayed jeans and another fall trend: slingback flats.
And at almost 33 weeks pregnant, I'm no longer rocking pumps on the reg, so you'll likely see me in flats -LCB- loafers are super on trend, these are a steal -RCB- with this pretty fall outfit.
Pointed - toe flats are on - trend, make your legs look longer, and look a little more dressy (even if you're just rocking them on the way to the office).
You do not have to worry about the trends as flat and long boots remain trendy the whole season and throughout the year.
Long - term trend results, which were absolutely flat in the decade just before accountability became the norm in the country, improved dramatically between 2000 and 2008.
Colorado students in 2014 took slight steps backward on the small academic gains made on standardized tests in recent years, part of a long - term trend of flat scores, results released Thursday show.
This movement can cause a trader to long for a simple trending market or even a boring flat market.
The methodology uses each futures contract's prevailing price trend to determine if the portfolio will hold a long or flat position.
Can 20 years of flat temperature trend plus 12 years of increase equal a long term trend?
Given the decadal averages and the issue of what is meant by «the next» decade, Romm does have a point that the result of the paper could more clearly be described as representing «a period of flat global mean temperatures extending somewhat into the coming decade, following by a very rapid rise in temperature leaving the planet on its long - term trend line by 2030.»
Additionally, the observed surface temperature changes over the past decade are within the range of model predictions (Figure 6) and decadal periods of flat temperatures during an overall long - term warming trend are predicted by climate models (Easterling & Wehner 2009).
Linear trends are appropriate for the time period after 1990 where the data are described well by a linear trend plus interannual noise (that's why we show a linear trend for the satellite sea level in our paper), but they don't capture the longer - term climate evolution very well, e.g. the nearly flat temperatures up to 1980.
However, I note that in my Hadcrut3 data, downloaded 14/10/2012 from http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/hadcrut3gl.txt, the global temperature is overall prettty flat during the 1980s within a longer warming trend.
The Global Warming Prediction Project consists of a bunch of gutless wonders, frightened to use any past historical data, preferring instead to concentrate on a flat period where there is no need to apply a long term forcing trend... such as CO2.
The long - term linear trend of the equatorial Pacific SST anomalies are incredibly flat, meaning there is little trend.
Only for the decreasing CO2 we will have to wait longer but, but the CO2 annual growth already plateaued and the trend is negative since 1997 and it's basically flat since 1994.
Also, the current flat trend is now more than 13 years long.
The bottom line is that true bumps, dips, and flat times punctuate the climate record, and need not be spurious in order to understand them to be fluctuations around a longer term trend, which for the past 100 years has been upward, with the years since 1950 well explained mainly by GHG - mediated forcing, plus a smaller contribution from other factors.
If the interval is long enough (where «enough» could be variously defined, but could be cited for example as 17 years), one can begin to get to good idea, statistically, as to whether we are seeing a rising, falling, or flat trend for that interval.
It is possible for the «true trend», as estimated statistically, to be flat because of the composite phenomena operating over the specified interval, even though the longer trend is positive (for the last century) or negative (during certain paleoclimatologic intervals).
Assuming for argument's sake that the IPCC's calculation of the long term trend was broadly correct, would you expect temps to rise in a more or less linear fashion or would you expect there to be periods when temps were flat or even falling?
But if the long term trend is a sine wave, the over all trend is flat across several cycles.
My take - away is that CAGW looks very unlikely, more unlikely every year the temperature continues to flat - line, and that skeptics, by calling attention to their distrust of motivation, are huting the more important goal of educating the public, politicians, and especially journalists that the longer term warming trend we're in is NOT catastrophic.
If the authors don't provide a solid physical explanation for why we should no longer expect to see the observed quadratic trend we have been seeing since 1850 and instead expect no more than a linear trend after 2000, the paper would appear to fall flat on its face (at least as concerns its conclusions that climate sensitivity should be about 1/3 what the IPCC predicts).
A flat line with slope of 0 containing a million data points satisfies your criterion of «non statistically significant trend over a period long enough for the statistical power of the test to be 95 %» but I can't see how it's relevant to the discussion.
The long, flat «handle» of the stick — extending back a full thousand years and sloping slightly downward in a cooling trend from the deeper past toward more recent times — balanced with the dramatic upward jut of the «blade», made a satisfying and even arresting image.
The model outputs are generally presented as an average of an ensemble of individual runs (and even ensembles of individual runs from multiple models), in order to remove this variability from the overall picture, because among grownups it is understood that 1) the long term trends are what we're interested and 2) the coarseness of our measurements of initial conditions combined with a finite modeled grid size means that models can not predict precisely when and how temps will vary around a trend in the real world (they can, however, by being run many times, give us a good idea of the * magnitude * of that variance, including how many years of flat or declining temperatures we might expect to see pop up from time to time).
This was a trend with a lot of early Android Wear smartwatches, such as the Moto 360, but almost all circular Android Wear smartwatches no longer have a «flat tire» and feature fully circular screens.
Flat design trend is very popular and its become more attractive and beautiful with Long Shadow.
Confirming the national trend towards downsizing to more manageable homes, the number of flats and townhouses built has also risen, brought to market by developers who continue to demonstrate confidence in the marketplace, following their return after a long absence in the wake of the 2007 global financial crisis.
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