J.B.: The U.N. makes projections to the year 2050 every 2 years and every 4 or 5 years they make
a longer year projection.
Not exact matches
At
longer horizons, the 6.3 % growth rate that we've assumed for nominal GDP over the coming
years will begin to bail investors out given enough time, and as a result, our
projection for 10 -
year S&P 500 nominal total returns peeks its head up above zero, at about 2.4 % annually from current levels.
Today he has some
long term
projections for the
years ahead.
2) By extending the
projection horizon by an extra market cycle (~ 6
years - the current half - cycle is quite
long - in - the - tooth from a hisorical perspective) the effect of mean reversion has a greater chance to dominate the occasional noise that emerges (e.g. during the tech bubble) over shorter horizons.
The casino has argued it did not reach revenue
projections in its first
year of operation, largely because competing Seneca Nation - run facilities were no
longer paying the state and were using the extra money to lure customers.
That approach has
long frustrated efforts by many to see «budget gaps» in common - sensical or literal terms, because reported «out -
year gaps» are not the actual differences in spending and revenues between one
year and the next, but instead reflect
projections of how circumstances would look if on auto pilot.
For a start, observational records are now roughly five
years longer, and the global temperature increase over this period has been largely consistent with IPCC
projections of greenhouse gas — driven warming made in previous reports dating back to 1990.
However, the 2015 predictions confirm our
projections on
long - term trends made two
years ago that lung cancer death rates would overtake breast cancer in women around 2015.»
This
projection would be several
years longer if not for the researchers» ability to crunch numbers on «Lincoln,» a supercomputer at the University of Illinois's National Center for Supercomputing Applications (NCSA) powered by 384 NVIDIA Corp..
And she describes sobering trends: The
projection that Switzerland will lose more than half of its small glaciers in the next 25
years; the substantial retreat of glaciers from the Antarctic, Patagonia, the Himalayas, Greenland and the Arctic; the disappearance of iconic glaciers in Glacier National Park, Montana, or reduction to chunks of ice that no
longer move (by definition, a glacier must be massive enough to move).
How much population and development growth there will be is uncertain, so Georgescu and his team set a floor and a ceiling for urbanization
projections up to the
year 2050 based on available data from the Maricopa Association of Governments, the regional agency in charge of
long - term planning.
The extra data spanning many thousands of
years that this study uncovers will go a
long way to matching model
projections with past observations, helping scientists identify the most accurate models for making predictions of future climate change.
But even if activists manage to extend Proposition 30, which fully expires in 2018, and if
projections of a
long stretch of black ink are correct, it will take
years to restore many school districts to pre-recession levels, nevermind to raise base funding from a level that's widely seen as inadequate.
This might be a little higher than
longer term
projections, but it shouldn't be hard to get above 6 % per
year.
But the FPSC says its guidelines «are appropriate for making medium - term (5 to 10
years) and
long - term (10 +
years) financial
projections.»
I've read the asset class
projections but my time horizon is still
longer than five to seven
years.)
So it makes hundreds (or thousands, depending on the software you use) of
projections where the
year - to -
year returns are randomly changed, but in such a way that the average
long - term returns come out right.
Moreover, 7 to 10
years is a very
long time for us to make any dividend
projections.
But if you really want to enhance your
long - term financial security — especially in light of
projections for subpar investment gains in the
years ahead — you'd do better looking for ways to pay less in fees.
By going every
year or so to a retirement income calculator that uses Monte Carlo simulations to make its
projections, you can see how
long your savings might last at your current withdrawal rate, and then adjust withdrawals (and spending) up or down accordingly.
You can get a sense of how
long your savings might last given your current withdrawal rate — and then decide whether you should scale back or boost withdrawals — by going every
year or so to a retirement income calculator that employs Monte Carlo simulations to make its
projections.
A regime - based
projection is one that takes into consideration the reality discovered by Robert Shiller in 1981 that stock prices do not fall in the pattern of a random walk but play out in predictable
long - term patterns in which valuations rise for about 20
years and then fall for about 15
years.
Nobody knows whether value or growth will win over the
long run, but they will go back and forth each
year and my
projection assumes that in the
long run they will be identical.
Just because it falls in one day doesn't mean it won't rally back and even outperform
projections in six months or a
year, perhaps even
longer.
In addition, Value Line has placed Altria in its model portfolio of «Stocks With
Long - Term Price Growth Potential,» which concentrates on
projections 3 - 5
years out.
In celebration of the
longest night of the
year, experimental composer Phil Niblock, 80, returns to Roulette for the third
year in a row, giving a 6 - hour -
long concert of acoustic and electronic music, accompanied by video and film
projections.
Solo exhibitions 2018 «Alterity Line», Metro Pictures, New York 2017 «David Malikovic», Dvir Gallery, Tel Aviv 2016 «Vignettes», Annet Gelink Gallery, Amsterdam 2016 «Again and Again», Museum of Contemporary Art Metelkova, Ljubljana 2016 «AAASSEMBLAGE», Dvir Gallery, Brussels 2016 «All Day All
Year», T293, Rome 2016 «The Exhibition is Becoming», VOX Centre de l'image contemporaine, Montreal 2015 «A Retrospective by Appointment», Gallery Nova, David Maljković's studio, Gallery of Croatian Designers» Association, Cinema Tuškanac and Croatian Film Association, Zagreb 2015 «With the gallery», Galleria Massimo Minini, Brescia 2015 «David Maljković», Metro Pictures, New York 2015 «David Maljković», Sprüth Magers, London 2015 «New Collection», Blondeau & CIE, Geneve 2015 «Negatives, with Konstantin Grcic, Centre d'édition contemporaine, Geneve 2014 «In Low Resolution», Palais de Tokyo, Paris 2014 «David Maljković», Georg Kargl Fine Arts, Vienna 2014 «David Maljković», Leal Rios Foundation, Lisbon 2014 «David Maljković», Kunstmuseum St.Gallen 2013 «Afterform», Annet Gelink Gallery, Amsterdam 2013 «New Reproductions», CAC Contemporary Art Centre, Vilnius 2013 «Sources in the Air», GAMeC, Bergamo 2013 Metro Pictures, New York 2013 «Sources in the Air», BALTIC Centre for Contemporary Art, Gateshead 2012 «Sources in the Air», Van Abbemuseum, Eindhoven 2012 «A
Long Day for the Form», T293, Rome 2012 «A
Long Day for the Form», Sprueth Magers, Berlin 2012 «Morgenlied» (w / Latifa Echakhch), Kunsthalle Basel 2012 «Scene, Hold, Ballast» (w / Lucy Skaer), Sculpture Center, New York 2011 «Recalling Frames», Metro Pictures, New York 2011 «La Casa Mila» (w / Rosa Barba), Loop Festival, Barcelona 2011 «Temporary
Projections», Georg Kargl Fine Arts, Vienna 2011 «Images with their own shadows», Vjenceslav Richter Collection, Museum of Contemporary Art, Zagreb 2011 «Exhibitions for Secession», Wiener Secession, Vienna 2010 «Images with Their Own Shadows», Moderna Galerija, Ljubljana 2010 «Images with Their Own Shadows», International Festival of Contemporary Visual Art, Glasgow 2010 «Out of
Projection», Art Unlimited, Art 41 Basel, Basel 2010 «Lost Cabinet», Nogueras Blanchard, Barcelona 2010 «Missing Colours», Annet Gelink, Amsterdam 2010 «Recalling Frames», Sprueth Magers, London 2010 «Retired Forms», Massimo Minini, Brescia 2009 «Retired Compositions», Metro Pictures, New York 2009 «Nothing Disappears without a Trace», ARCO, Madrid 2009 «After the Fair», Georg Kargl BOX, Vienna 2009 «David Maljković», Museo Nacional Centro de Arte Reina Sofia, Madrid 2009 «David Maljković», Fondazione Morra Greco, Naples 2009 «David Maljković», Sprueth Magers, Berlin 2008 «Handed Over» (w / Rosa Barba), Project Art Centre, Dublin 2008 «Lost Memories from These Days», Annet Gelink Gallery, Amsterdam 2008 «Lost Review», Le Plateau, Paris 2008 «David Maljković», Kunstverein Nurnberg, Nurnberg 2008 «Parallel Compositions», Bergen Kunsthall, Bergen 2008 «Shadow Should Not Exceed» (w / Jan St Werner), Pinksummer Contemporary Art, Genova 2007 «These Days», Present Future, Artissima 14, Turin 2007 «Almost Here», Kunstverein Hamburg, Hamburg 2007 «Scene for New Heritage III», Art Unlimited, Art 38 Basel, Basel 2007 «David Maljković», P.S. 1 Contemporary Art Center, New York 2007 «Scene for New Heritage Trilogy», Whitechapel Art Gallery, London 2007 «Days Below Memory», CAPC, Musee d'Art Contemporain, Bordeaux 2007 «Scene for New Heritage Trilogy», The Physics Room, Christchurch 2006 «David Maljković», Salon of Museum of Contemporary Art, Belgrade 2006 «David Maljković», Museum of Modern and Contemporary Art, Rijeka 2006 «These Days» (w / Yael Bartana), Gallery Nova, Zagreb 2006 «It's gonna happen» (w / Rosa Barba), Croy Nielsen, Berlin 2006 «Scene for New Heritage II», Centre de Creation Contemporaine, Tours 2005 «Waiting Tomorrow», Annet Gelink Gallery, Amsterdam 2005 «90s without 90s», MMC Palach, Rijeka 2005 «Scene for New Heritage», Van Abbemuseum, Eindhoven
Mostre Personali 2018 «Alterity Line», Metro Pictures, New York 2017 «David Malikovic», Dvir Gallery, Tel Aviv 2016 «Vignettes», Annet Gelink Gallery, Amsterdam 2016 «Again and Again», Museum of Contemporary Art Metelkova, Lubiana 2016 «AAASSEMBLAGE», Dvir Gallery, Bruxelles 2016 «All Day All
Year», T293, Roma 2016 «The Exhibition is Becoming», VOX Centre de l'image contemporaine, Montreal 2015 «A Retrospective by Appointment», Gallery Nova, David Maljković's studio, Gallery of Croatian Designers» Association, Cinema Tuškanac e Croatian Film Association, Zagabria 2015 «With the gallery», Galleria Massimo Minini, Brescia 2015 «David Maljković», Metro Pictures, New York 2015 «David Maljković», Sprüth Magers, Londra 2015 «New Collection», Blondeau & CIE, Ginevra 2015 «Negatives», with Konstantin Grcic, Centre d'édition contemporaine, Ginevra 2014 «In Low Resolution», Palais de Tokyo, Parigi 2014 «David Maljković», Georg Kargl Fine Arts, Vienna 2014 «David Maljković», Leal Rios Foundation, Lisbona 2014 «David Maljković», Kunstmuseum St.Gallen 2013 «Afterform», Annet Gelink Gallery, Amsterdam 2013 «New Reproductions», CAC Contemporary Art Centre, Vilnius 2013 «Sources in the Air», GAMeC, Bergamo 2013 Metro Pictures, New York 2013 «Sources in the Air», BALTIC Centre for Contemporary Art, Gateshead 2012 «Sources in the Air», Van Abbemuseum, Eindhoven 2012 «A
Long Day for the Form», T293, Roma 2012 «A
Long Day for the Form», Sprueth Magers, Berlino 2012 «Morgenlied» (con Latifa Echakhch), Kunsthalle Basilea 2012 «Scene, Hold, Ballast» (con Lucy Skaer), Sculpture Center, New York 2011 «Recalling Frames», Metro Pictures, New York 2011 «La Casa Mila» (con Rosa Barba), Loop Festival, Barcellona 2011 «Temporary
Projections», Georg Kargl Fine Arts, Vienna 2011 «Images with their own shadows», Vjenceslav Richter Collection, Museum of Contemporary Art, Zagabria 2011 «Exhibitions for Secession», Wiener Secession, Vienna 2010 «Images with Their Own Shadows», Moderna Galerija, Lubiana 2010 «Images with Their Own Shadows», International Festival of Contemporary Visual Art, Glasgow 2010 «Out of
Projection», Art Unlimited, Art 41 Basel, Basilea 2010 «Lost Cabinet», Nogueras Blanchard, Barcellona 2010 «Missing Colours», Annet Gelink, Amsterdam 2010 «Recalling Frames», Sprueth Magers, Londra 2010 «Retired Forms», Massimo Minini, Brescia 2009 «Retired Compositions», Metro Pictures, New York 2009 «Nothing Disappears without a Trace», ARCO, Madrid 2009 «After the Fair», Georg Kargl BOX, Vienna 2009 «David Maljković», Museo Nacional Centro de Arte Reina Sofia, Madrid 2009 «David Maljković», Fondazione Morra Greco, Napoli 2009 «David Maljković», Sprueth Magers, Berlino 2008 «Handed Over» (con Rosa Barba), Project Art Centre, Dublino 2008 «Lost Memories from These Days», Annet Gelink Gallery, Amsterdam 2008 «Lost Review», Le Plateau, Parigi 2008 «David Maljković», Kunstverein Nurnberg, Nurnberg 2008 «Parallel Compositions», Bergen Kunsthall, Bergen 2008 «Shadow Should Not Exceed» (con Jan St Werner), Pinksummer Contemporary Art, Genova 2007 «These Days», Present Future, Artissima 14, Torino 2007 «Almost Here», Kunstverein Hamburg, Amburgo 2007 «Scene for New Heritage III», Art Unlimited, Art 38 Basel, Basilea 2007 «David Maljković», P.S. 1 Contemporary Art Center, New York 2007 «Scene for New Heritage Trilogy», Whitechapel Art Gallery, Londra 2007 «Days Below Memory», CAPC, Musee d'Art Contemporain, Bordeaux 2007 «Scene for New Heritage Trilogy», The Physics Room, Christchurch 2006 «David Maljković», Salon of Museum of Contemporary Art, Belgrado 2006 «David Maljković», Museum of Modern and Contemporary Art, Rijeka 2006 «These Days» (con Yael Bartana), Gallery Nova, Zagabria 2006 «It's gonna happen» (con Rosa Barba), Croy Nielsen, Berlino 2006 «Scene for New Heritage II», Centre de Creation Contemporaine, Tours 2005 «Waiting Tomorrow», Annet Gelink Gallery, Amsterdam 2005 «90s without 90s», MMC Palach, Rijeka 2005 «Scene for New Heritage», Van Abbemuseum, Eindhoven
Surface Tension serves as the backdrop to a video
projection of William Pope.L's 2000 performance «The Great White Way, 22 Miles, 9
Years, 1 Street,» in which he famously crawled 22 miles of sidewalk from the beginning to the end of Broadway — Manhattan's
longest street — wearing a capeless Superman outfit with a skateboard strapped to his back.
I see that mr. Boone, has run into trouble and right now oil is dirt cheap (let us see how
long that lasts) but now that we are officially in recession (two consecutive quarters down) and the oil and gas companies boast record profits and the oil, natural gas, and coal resources will all last
longer than 25
years by most
projections (coal about a hundred
years give or take a decade?)
The envelope of model
projections for the recent
years (discussed here) is easily wide enough to encompass what has actually happened — it has very little relevance to
longer term trends.
Just as I am sure that somewhere in the range of the IPCC
projections (or «forecasts» if you prefer), lies the true course of temperature during the next 20 - 50
years or so (and maybe
longer).
A few
years or months reflecting cooler conditions aren't to be construed as literal sign posts or interpretations the globe is cooling off in
long term
projections?
«Just model - based rubbish» «we find the continued warming stagnation of fifteen
years, 1998 - 2012, is no
longer consistent with model
projections even at the 2 % confidence level» — vonStorch (2013) When a model can't do what it purports to do at even a 2 % confidence level, it IS RUBBISH!
No, it translates to climate models can not accurately represent natural climate variability, which is why they can't project future global temperature at even the 2 % confidence level: «we find that the continued warming stagnation of fifteen
years, 1998 - 2012, is no
longer consistent with model
projections even at the 2 % confidence level» — vonStorch (2013)
When these past megadroughts are compared side - by - side with computer model
projections of the 21st century, both the moderate and business - as - usual emissions scenarios are drier, and the risk of droughts lasting 30
years or
longer increases significantly.
I have then pointed out to you that we will be able to check out your Figure 7
long before
year 2100, and by 2030 (when most of us should still be around) we will either have 0.6 C warming above today or your
projection («scuse me, extrapolation) will have been falsified by the facts on the ground.
A slightly more rigourous application of the steady - state formula to account for transient behaviour should take his
long wavelength temperature
projection to exactly where it should sit in my view — i.e. cutting through the peaks and troughs of the 61
year oscillation.
In addition to
long - term
projections, more detailed climate predictions spanning the next ten
years were performed for the first time.
The current version of the figure gives the impression that the IPCC expected temperature to warm continuously
year on
year, which of course was not the expectation — the
projections shown here are just the
long - term trend either from averaging the GCMs or using simple climate models.
The Master Plan used a 50 -
year projection for the future of wetlands in Louisiana, which was also employed by Tierra Resources as the basis for its analysis to determine annual offsets and value, as well as
long - term potential.
Therefore, the full 1600
year simulation from initial adjustment to near future
projection is only as expensive as the 160
year -
long BBC experiment.
The area of Arctic sea ice was nearly 30 % greater in August than a
year ago, according to recent satellite data, though
projections based on
longer - term trends suggest the sea ice will continue its decline over time.
Thinking
long term, panelists were largely supportive of solar energy, though
projections for the technology to take off varied from a few decades to over a hundred
years.
The other (too ludicrous to have been mentioned by Taleb) is well, we may have missed the 20 -
year projection due to (add in excuses cited above), but our
long term
projection still stands, because these unforeseen factors cancel out over the
long term
5) You could then argue that since it is difficult to have
long term predicted data vs. measured data comparison, we could just go out on a limb and accept the 100
year projections.
Meanwhile, the
long predicted catastrophes are no where in evidence; every
year that passes is another where Mother Nature makes further mockery of past warmunist
projections.
When Hans von Storch writes, ``... we find that the continued warming stagnation over fifteen
years, from 1998 -2012, is no
longer consistent with model
projections even at the 2 % confidence level» (see, Ibid.)
Projections for the
long - term initiative reveal it could take up to $ 10 billion dollars and 10
years to complete.
By comparing the global warming
projection for the next century to natural climate changes of the distant past, and then looking into the future far beyond the usual scientific and political horizon of the
year 2100, Archer reveals the hard truths of the
long - term climate forecast.